And If He Does Would Republicans Pick Him As Their Nominee
They are the questions hanging over America and, thus, the West. Will the man who tried to overturn the results of the presidential election in 2020, threatened to disband the worlds most powerful military alliance and played footsie with Vladimir Putin, decide that he wants to run again? If so, can he be stopped? It may seem premature to ask. But the first primary of 2024 is closer in time than the last general election, 94 weeks ago. And, despite his poor record in office and his unconscionable behaviour after Americas voters kicked him out, Donald Trumps grip on the Republican Party has strengthened.
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Early polling on whom Republican voters want as their champion in 2024 suggests that about 50% of them say Mr Trump. In a system where a candidate can knock out most rivals with a solid 30% of support in the early states, it is a formidable starting position. A few months ago Republican voters, tiring of Mr Trump, looked as if they might switch to Floridas governor, Ron DeSantis, or anyone else offering maga without the drama. Today Mr DeSantis would be more likely to conclude that his best shot at the White House is as Mr Trumps running-mate.
Joe Rogan Reveals If He Will Ever Host Donald Trump On His Podcast
We refused any payment. Some said that Trump was suspicious of those he paid, worried that he was being ripped off. We felt that by turning down any formal role in the campaign, we could skirt the infighting that raged inside, Morris said.
We also decided, jointly with the president, that the calls and our consulting role should be kept secret. And so it remained for the ensuing seven months.
Morris also chuckled about what he learned about Trump: You cant change his aggressive, forceful personality.
Trump is Trump. Like it or lump it. Hell never change, and I came to realize that his manner could not be divorced from his successful outcomes. Change one, and you would forfeit the other, he said.
He previously said the 2024 contest could be a rematch between Trump and Hillary Clinton.
Psst: The Presidential Campaign Begins In Four Months
Two years removed from the 2024 presidential election, two things appear to be true. First, of all the possible scenarios, the most likely is that there will be a rematch between Democrat Joe Biden and Republican Donald Trump.
Second, as the two men each of them the odds-on favorite for his partys nomination circle each other warily, Americans would very much prefer they both stand down. Its a finding that has been confirmed by multiple polls.
Trump is reportedly eyeing a presidential campaign announcement in September Many in Bidens world believe that Trump running would trigger Biden to officially jump in the race himself.
A recent New York Times/Siena College poll found 64 percent of Democrats hope Biden doesnt run. The same poll found Trump receiving only 49 percent of the vote in a hypothetical Republican primary.
That isnt exactly either base urging either man to run. It also isnt clear that either man could prevent a primary challenge, meaning they would have to subject themselves to a potentially uncomfortable preliminary round before the general election contest.
So just who are the people laying the groundwork for a presidential campaign who arent named Biden or Trump? Here is a list, in no particular order, of five people from each party who could throw their hats in the ring.
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Weighing Donald Trumps Policies And Actions In The White House Many Utah Voters Would Choose Him In 2024
Former President Donald Trump gestures to the audience after speaking at an America First Policy Institute agenda summit at the Marriott Marquis in Washington on Tuesday, July 26, 2022.
Andrew Harnik, Associated Press
Donald Trump says he has made up his mind about whether to run for president again in 2024.
While he hasnt made an announcement yet, many Utahns who voted for him in 2016 would mark the ballot for him again because of the policies he advanced in his one term in the White House and despite his nonstop claims of fraud in the 2020 election.
A new Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics poll ascertained Utah voters thoughts on whether Trump fulfilled his campaign promises and what policies and actions they approved or disapproved of during his presidency.
Based on those responses, the survey sought to find out if those voters would go back to Trump if he were to run in 2024. While nearly eight in 10 previous Trump voters in Utah would support the former president, the poll results appear to leave room for other potential GOP presidential candidates to make inroads.
Given the questions that were asked, the evidence from the survey indicates that while Trump is still likely to be the prohibitive favorite among Utah Republicans, meaningful numbers of former Trump voters may be ready to give other candidates a chance, said Chris Karpowitz, co-director of the Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy at Brigham Young University.
Donald Trump 2000 Presidential Campaign
|Donald Trump for President|
|President of The Trump Organization|
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New York real estate magnate Donald Trump announced the creation of a presidential exploratory committee on the October 7, 1999, edition of Larry King Live on CNN. Although Trump had never held elected office, he was well known for his frequent comments on public affairs and business exploits as head of The Trump Organization. He had previously considered a presidential run in 1988 as a Republican, but chose not to run. For 2000, MinnesotaGovernorJesse Ventura persuaded Trump to seek the presidential nomination of the Reform Party, which was fracturing despite achieving ballot access and qualifying for matching funds as a result of businessman Ross Perot‘s 1996 presidential campaign on the party’s ticket.
After the election, Trump gained greater fame as the host of The Apprentice on NBC. He also notably considered running as a Republican in the 2012 presidential election against incumbent Barack Obama but declined it and began endorsing and supporting eventual nominee Mitt Romney. Four years later, he initiated a full-scale presidential campaign, became the Republican Party’s 2016 presidential nominee and was elected to serve as the 45th president of the United States.
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Candidates Who Did Not Qualify For Either Criteria
Whether they threw their name in the ring late or they’ve struggled to get the support they need, these candidates are still worth keeping an eye on:
- Tom Steyer Hedge fund manager and billionaire who entered the campaign late. Has long campaigned on impeaching Donald Trump and on climate change
- Deval Patrick A former governor of Massachusetts and civil rights lawyer. Hoping to appeal to the same moderate voters being courted by Joe Biden
Wisconsin: A Campaign To Seize Power From A Bipartisan Elections Commission
How Wisconsins election system works:
The success of an effort to put Wisconsins elections in partisan hands would require cooperation from officials up and down the ballot there. Because of the checks and balances the state has put in place, overturning an election would mean getting sign-off from the winners of the secretary of state and gubernatorial races, as well as continued GOP dominance in state legislature contests.
What the GOP is doing:
Trump allies are targeting the Wisconsin Elections Commission, which administers elections and has the authority to investigate and prosecute violations of election laws. It was established in 2015 by the Republican-controlled state legislature and was intended to function similarly to the Federal Elections Commission, with three Republican and three Democratic appointees.
The commission has significant discretion over how elections are conducted, and plays a role in certifying election results. In 2020, after Republicans sought recounts in the large, heavily Democratic counties of Milwaukee and Dane based on false claims of fraud, the commission determined that President Joe Biden had won.
State Republicans have since called for the dissolution of the commission, whose policies, they falsely argue, led to fraudulent votes that cost Trump reelection.
The legislature isnt expected to have a veto-proof majority, however, and that makes who becomes governor important.
How bad it could get:
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Will Donald Trump Run For President In 2020 Seth Meyers Says ‘he Might Be Running From The Feds’
Comedian Seth Meyers has blasted suggestions President Donald Trump will run for re-election in 2020 after his ex-lawyer Michael Cohen was sentenced to three years in prison Wednesday after he pled guilty to charges including campaign finance violations.
Meyers said charges surely weren’t far away for Trump himself, given his alleged involvement in Cohen’s crimes.
Read more: “This was part of a pattern”: Congressman says Cohen’s prison sentence is beginning of the end for Donald Trump
“Today the man who made payments , Trump’s ex-fixer Michael Cohen, was sentenced to three years in jail,” the comedian said during the “A Closer Look” segment of Late Night With Seth Meyers. “And during the hearing, Cohen told the court in no uncertain terms that he committed those crimes at the direction of Donald Trump.”
“Forget running for re-election. In two years, Trump might be running from the feds,” he quipped. “The FBI is going to bust into a cabin in Montana and find Trump with a Unabomber beard surrounded by Burger King wrappers.”
The situation was ironic, given Trump and his colleagues’ fondness of the phrase “America is a nation of laws,” Meyers said. The comedian illustrated his point by showing a clip of Trump giving the line to a journalist in answer to a question about the caravan of asylum-seeking migrants that recently arrived at the U.S. border.
“Well, I won’t get into percentages,” the president replied. “But we are a nation of laws.”
Pennsylvania: Where The Governor Can Unilaterally Shape Elections
How Pennsylvanias election system works:
The biggest threat to the 2024 election in Pennsylvania is state Sen. Doug Mastriano, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee for governor.
Mastrianos an ardent MAGA Republican who bused hundreds of people to Washington, DC, and was outside the US Capitol on the day of the January 6, 2021, insurrection. He was also a key figure in Trumps efforts to overturn the 2020 election results in Pennsylvania. Mastriano organized a state Senate hearing featuring Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani, an unauthorized audit of voting machines that ultimately cost him a committee chair position, and a scheme to send fake electors who were favorable to Trump to Congress.
If elected, he would have the power to appoint Pennsylvanias top election official, the Secretary of the Commonwealth. He hasnt named who he intends to appoint if elected, but hes indicated that it would be an individual who shares his philosophy on elections.
As governor, I get to appoint the secretary of state. And I have a voting reform-minded individual whos been traveling the nation and knows voting reform extremely well, Mastriano told Steve Bannon, former chief strategist for Trump, in an April interview. That individual has agreed to be my secretary of state.
How bad it could get:
He has an ability to galvanize people to turn out in person and harm, said Salewa Ogunmefun, executive director of the voting rights group Pennsylvania Voice.
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Election To The Presidency
On November 8, 2016, Trump received 306 pledged electoral votes versus 232 for Clinton. The official counts were 304 and 227 respectively, after defections on both sides. Trump received nearly 2.9 million fewer popular votes than Clinton, which made him the fifth person to be elected president while losing the popular vote. Clinton was ahead nationwide with 65,853,514 votes to 62,984,828 votes .
Trump’s victory was considered a stunning political upset by most observers, as polls had consistently showed Hillary Clinton with a nationwide âthough diminishing âlead, as well as a favorable advantage in most of the competitive states. Trump’s support had been modestly underestimated throughout his campaign, and many observers blamed errors in polls, partially attributed to pollsters overestimating Clinton’s support among well-educated and nonwhite voters, while underestimating Trump’s support among white working-class voters.The polls were relatively accurate, but media outlets and pundits alike showed overconfidence in a Clinton victory despite a large number of undecided voters and a favorable concentration of Trump’s core constituencies in competitive states.
Trump’s Refusal To Concede
Early in the morning on November 4, with vote counts still going on in many states, Trump claimed he had won. For weeks after the networks had called the election for Biden, Trump refused to acknowledge that Biden had won. Biden described Trump’s refusal as “an embarrassment”. In the wake of the election, the General Services Administration refused to formally acknowledge Biden’s victory, and the White House ordered government agencies not to cooperate with the Biden transition team in any way. Starting in 1896, when William Jennings Bryan established a precedent of formal concession by sending a congratulatory telegram to President-elect William McKinley, every losing major party presidential candidate has formally conceded.
Trump acknowledged Biden’s victory in a tweet on November 15, although he refused to concede and blamed his loss on fraud, stating: “He won because the Election was Rigged.” Trump then tweeted: “I concede NOTHING! We have a long way to go.”
In a June 2021 interview with Sean Hannity, Trump stated that “we didn’t win” and said that he wished President Biden success in international diplomacy, which Forbes declared as Trump ” as close as he’s ever been to conceding his 2020 election loss.”
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Voting Methods In The 2020 Presidential Election
The 2020 election brought a huge change in howAmericans cast their ballots. As some states looked to adapt to challenges in administering elections amid the COVID-19 pandemic, large numbers of voters were offered expanded access to absentee and vote-by-mail options in the 2020 election. As a result, a record number of voters said they cast their ballots this way . And smaller shares of voters said they either voted in person on Election Day or in person before Election Day .
A majority of absentee voters said they had previously voted this way before the 2020 election . Still, a sizable share said the November election was the first time they had cast an absentee or mail ballot.
Sizable shares of voters across racial and ethnic subgroups cast absentee or mail-in ballots in the 2020 election though there are some differences in voting methods when comparing across groups. White voters were most likely to say they voted in person on Election Day . Comparably smaller shares of Black and Hispanic voters said the same.
Black voters were more likely than White or Hispanic voters to say they cast their ballot in person before Election Day .
Voters ages 65 and older stand out in their voting behavior: 55% say they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election 13 percentage points higher than the share of adults under 65 who cast a ballot by mail.
John Harwood Exits Cnn After Calling Trump A Demagogue
CNN White House correspondent John Harwood announced hes exiting the news channel in an abrupt departure that comes amid several changes taking place at the channel as it plans to adopt a politically neutral voice.
Mr Harwood announced his resignation on Twitter on Friday adding that he is going to be figuring out whats next.
The resignation comes a day after the journalist praised president Joe Bidens speech and called Donald Trump a dishonest demagogue on the air.
The core point made in that political speech about a threat to democracy is true, Mr Harwood said on CNN after the address. Now that is something that is not easy for us as journalists to say.
Were brought up to believe theres two different political parties with different points of view, and we dont take sides in honest disagreements between them. But thats not what we are talking about. These are not honest disagreements.
The Republican party right now is led by a dishonest demagogue.
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Political Activities Up To 2015
Trump’s political party affiliation has changed numerous times. He registered as a Republican in Manhattan in 1987, switched to the Reform Party in 1999, the Democratic Party in 2001, and back to the Republican Party in 2009.
Trump first floated the idea of running for president in 1987, placing full-page advertisements in three major newspapers, proclaiming “America should stop paying to defend countries that can afford to defend themselves.” The advertisements also advocated for “reducing the budget deficit, working for peace in Central America, and speeding up nuclear disarmament negotiations with the Soviet Union“.DCCC chair Rep. Beryl Anthony Jr. told The New York Times that “the message Trump has been preaching is a Democratic message.” Asked whether rumors of a presidential candidacy were true, Trump denied being a candidate, but said, “I believe that if I did run for President, I’d win.” In 1988, he approached Lee Atwater asking to be put into consideration as Republican nominee George H.W. Bush‘s running mate. Bush found the request “strange and unbelievable.” According to a Gallup poll in December 1988, Trump was the tenth most admired man in America.