Which Senate Seats Are Up In 2022
However, the GOP may have one big advantage in 2022: a Republican-leaning national environment. As we saw in 2018 , midterm elections are usually bad for the. GOP senators facing reelection in 2022 keep mum on McConnell amid divisive fight with Trump. Republican senators are trying to stay out of the fray between former President Donald Trump and their.
Map 1 shows the seats up in two years. Republicans are defending 20, Democrats are defending 13, and one other seat is not yet determined: The victor in the Georgia special election runoff, either Sen. Kelly Loeffler or the Rev. Raphael Warnock , will have to defend the seat again in 2022. Map 1: 2022 Senate race The 2022 United States Senate elections will be held on November 8, 2022, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two. There are rumors that Several 3rd and 4th Political Parties are forming together, untied as ONE, to defeat RATS. There are 23 RAT up for Re-election in 2022 and only 10 IF this United Political Party can join together, hopefully, they can find Candidates to oppose them and Force them to work and Champaign, which something they aren’t probably wanting to do
Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report 2020
Ballotpedia’s Annual Congressional Competitiveness report for 2020 includes information on the number of elections featuring candidates from both major parties, the number of open seats, and more.
Effect Of Republican Retirements
Indeed, 2020 was actually a Democratic-leaning year, with Biden winning the national popular vote by 4.5 percentage points. So theres a good chance that states will be at least a bit redder in 2022 than they were in 2020.
That could make these retirements less of a blow to Republicans than they first appear. Whats more, by announcing their retirements so early, Burr, Toomey and Portman are giving the GOP as much time as possible to recruit potential candidates, shape the field of candidates in a strategic way in the invisible primary and raise more money for the open-seat campaign. And in Ohio specifically, Republicans still look like heavy favorites. Even in the Democratic-leaning environment of 2020, Trump won Ohio by 8 percentage points, implying that its true partisan lean is probably even more Republican-leaning. Ohio is simply not the quintessential swing state it once was dating back to the 2014 election cycle, Democrats have won just one out of 14 statewide contests in Ohio and that was a popular incumbent running in a blue-wave election year .
|Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley, FiveThirtyEight|
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These 3 Senators Opposing Electoral Vote Certification Are Up For Re
Three of the Republican Senators planning to oppose the Electoral College vote certification on Wednesday are up for re-election in 2022.
Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, James Lankford of Oklahoma and John Kennedy of Louisiana will face voters in the next midterm elections.
The men are among the 11 GOP senators and senators-elect led by Ted Cruz of Texas who announced Saturday they would vote to oppose Congress certifying the Electoral College vote, unless an audit of the election results is conducted.
“We intend to vote on January 6 to reject the electors from disputed states as not ‘regularly given’ and ‘lawfully certified’…unless and until emergency 10-day audit is completed,” the Republicans said in a statement.
Also signing on were Steve Daines of Montana, Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee and Mike Braun of Indiana, along with senators-elect Tommy Tuberville of Alabama, Roger Marshall of Kansas, Bill Hagerty of Tennessee and Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming.
Cruz, Blackburn and Braun don’t face re-election until 2024, while Daines alongside the senators-elect were voted in this year. A Senate term is six years.
In a Sunday appearance on NBC News’ Meet the Press, host Chuck Todd asked Johnson if his actions were an attempt to curry favor with President Donald Trump‘s constituents ahead of his re-election bid.
Outside of the Cruz-led coalition, Senator Josh Hawley of Missouri also said on December 30 that he would object to the certification.
Incumbents Retiring From Public Office
- 4 Democrats
|Retiring from public office, 2022|
U.S. House members seeking a seat in the U.S. Senate
- 4 Republican members of the U.S. House
- 3 Democratic member of the U.S. House
|Running for Senate, 2022|
U.S. House members running for governor
- 1 Democratic member of the U.S. House
- 1 Republican member of the U.S. House
|Running for governor, 2022|
|April 8, 2021|
U.S. House members running for another office
- 1 Republican member of the U.S. House
|Running for another office, 2022|
|March 22, 2021|
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Republican Senators Up For Reelection In 2022
Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 34 regular elections in 2022 will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2023. Fourteen seats held seats held by Republicans are up for election in 2022. Republicans are defending two Senate seats in states Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin These 34 United States Senators Are Up for Re-Election in 2022: United States Senator Michael Bennet > State of Colorado United States Senator Richard Blumenthal > State of Connecticut United States Senator Roy Blunt > State of Missour Republican Senators whose seats are up in 2022 include Richard Shelby , Roy Blunt , Rob Portman , Pat Toomey , Richard Burr -all of whom are retiring -plus Lisa Murkowski , Marco Rubio , John Boozman , Mike Crapo , Todd Young , Chuck Grassley , Jerry Moran , Rand Paul , John Neely Kennedy , John Hoeven , James Lankford , Tim Scott , John Thune , and Mike Lee , Ron Johnson this month is already the fifth among the 20 GOP senators..
Grassley’s Longevity Seen As A Strength And A Weakness
Although Grassley enters the race in a strong position, he’s not without weaknesses.
Historically, Grassley’s approval ratings have been among the highest in the state even hitting the 80% threshold on occasion. But today, his approval rating is at one of its lowest points ever.
According to the Register’s Iowa Poll, 47% of Iowans approve of the job he’s doing, another 40% disapprove and 13% are not sure.
In interviews with poll respondents and event attendees across the state, some Iowans say they remain fond of Grassley but worry he’s been in office for too long.
He was first elected to the Iowa Legislature in 1958 at the age of 23, and he’s held elected office continuously ever since. He was elected to his first term in the U.S. Senate in 1980. Today, he is 88 years old and would be 95 at the end of another term.
Paula Crow, a registered Republican from Centerville who responded to the Register’s June Iowa Poll, said she likes that Grassley stands up to the left and thinks he handled the pandemic well. But she would like to see a different Republican take his seat.
“So far, I agree with his policies as a Republican. And I agree with the things he is doing so far, she said. But my reasoning for thinking we should have someone new is: I believe there should be terms and limits for how long they should be able to serve in the Senate.”
Others, though, say Grassley’s longevity is a boon for the state, giving Iowa outsize influence in Congress.
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Handy List Of The 20 Gop Senators Up For Reelection In 202
Nevada was more competitive than expected this year, and Republicans are likely to take it seriously in 2022, when Sen. Masto is up for reelection after the former Nevada Attorney General narrowly defeated Joe Heck by a margin of 2.6% in 2016 to succeed majority leader Harry Reid. 8. Florida – Sen. Marco Rubio by Senator’s State See also Class II Senators See also Class I Senators (Up for Reelection in 2024
Gov Chris Sununu Dashes Hopes Of Trump Mcconnell To Run Against Incumbent Sen Maggie Hassan
New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu said he would run for a fourth term as governor.
WASHINGTONNew Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu said he wont run for the Senate, dealing a setback to Minority Leader Mitch McConnells efforts to recruit top candidates in the Republican Partys effort to reclaim control of the chamber.
Republicans had called Mr. Sununu, who has governed mostly as a centrist, one of their best hopes to win a Democrat-held seat if he ran. Mr. Sununu said at a press conference Tuesday morning that he wont challenge incumbent Sen. Maggie Hassan for her seat and would instead run for a fourth term as governor.
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Republican Senators Up For Reelection In :
Republicans have a majority in the Senate as of now, with 53 seats. However, 23 Republican senators are up for reelection in 2020 compared to 12 Democrats.
So, it increases the worry of the Republicans, as nearly twice the number of their senators are running for reelection compared to the Democrats, leaving them vulnerable to lose their majority in Senate.
Republican senators up for reelection in 2020 and their opponents who are ready to challenge them on November 3 are given below.
Senate Republicans Wait On Reelection Bids As Majority Hangs In Balance
“Delay usually puts you at a disadvantage,” warned the campaign chief for the Democrats, who have only one undecided incumbent.
Sen. Ron Johnson alongside Sen. Mike Lee and Sen. Josh Hawley speaks to members of the media on Capitol Hill on Aug. 4, 2021. |
08/13/2021 04:30 AM EDT
Ron Johnsons got a piece of advice for Republicans who want him to run for reelection: Dont work with Democrats on crap like the bipartisan infrastructure bill.
Im dead serious. This is not helpful. If you want to retain a U.S. Senate seat in Republican hands in Wisconsin, you dont participate in passing Part One of the ‘Green New Deal,’ Johnson said in a recent interview. Summing up his mood as he mulls a third term, he added, Im not happy.
Johnsons decision, in a critical swing state won by President Joe Biden, is one of several inflection points that could reshape the battle for the Senate majority in 2022. In total, five senators havent yet made up their minds on whether to retire: four Republicans and just one Democrat, Patrick Leahy of Vermont.
The GOP is already defending five Senate seats opened up by retirements two in the battlegrounds of Pennsylvania and North Carolina and three in GOP strongholds Ohio, Alabama and Missouri. Although Republicans are increasingly favored to win the House next year, further retirements would undoubtedly complicate their path back to power in the Senate.
Democrats say the hesitation will hurt Republicans next November.
Did Trump Change The Rules Of Politics
These retirements could be a helpful development for Democrats, too, as they provide the party with potential openings on what was already a decently favorable Senate map for them. Although the Senates rural bias still makes the chamber advantageous to Republicans overall, the 2022 Senate map doesnt force Democrats to compete on red turf nearly as much as the 2020 map or killer 2018 map did. In fact, no Democratic senators are running for reelection in states won by former President Donald Trump in 2020, while Republicans are defending two seats in states won by President Biden: the open seat in Pennsylvania and Sen. Ron Johnsons seat in Wisconsin.
3 GOP retirements so far
Senate seats up in 2022 and their incumbents, by states presidential margin in 2020
However, the GOP may have one big advantage in 2022: a Republican-leaning national environment. As we saw in 2018 , midterm elections are usually bad for the presidents party. If that pattern holds true in 2022, the 2020 presidential results are probably not the best barometer of the partisanship of these states. Indeed, 2020 was actually a Democratic-leaning year, with Biden winning the national popular vote by 4.5 percentage points. So theres a good chance that states will be at least a bit redder in 2022 than they were in 2020.
Mcconnell: 2022 Midterms Will Be ‘very Good Election For Republicans’
Addison Mitchell McConnellTrump mocks ‘Old Crow Mitch’ McConnell over Biden’s infrastructure winGosar’s sister labels lawmaker a ‘sociopath’ after Ocasio-Cortez, Biden tweetMcConnell: Infrastructure bill a ‘godsend’ for KentuckyMORE is predicting Republicans will have a very good election next year, implying the party has a good chance of taking both chambers of Congress.
The GOP winning control of both the House and Senate in 2022 would bring President Biden
I think the fall of 22 is likely to be a very good election for Republicans, McConnell told reporters at the St. Elizabeth Healthcare and Life Learning Center in northern Kentucky.
McConnell hinted that he thinks the 50-50 Senate, which Democrats control because of Vice President Harriss power to break tie votes, is likely to flip to Republicans.
Im very optimistic. We have 50 Republicans senators. I know what a real minority looks like. We had 40 after President ObamaBarack Hussein ObamaOvernight Energy & Environment Presented by ExxonMobil Biden reverses Trump on owl habitatsTelling the truth about critical race theoryBetter growth requires government to spend more money on itselfMORE got elected. And so I think the wind is going to be at our back in both the House and Senate. I think theres a great likelihood of a pretty good election next year, he added.
The bold prediction comes despite a favorable election map for Democrats next year.
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United States Senate Election In Pennsylvania 2022
|Federal and state primary competitivenessBallotpedia’s Election Analysis Hub, 2022|
|U.S. House elections, 2022Submit|
The election will fill the Class III Senate seat held by Pat Toomey , who first took office in 2011.
Incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey is not seeking re-election, making this an open seat race. In 2018, incumbent Bob Casey Jr. defeated Lou Barletta by 13.1 percentage points. In 2016, Toomey won re-election against Katie McGinty by 1.5 percentage points.
The two most recent presidential elections were both decided by less than 2 percentage points. Joe Biden defeated incumbent President Donald Trump by 1.2 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election by 0.7 percentage points.
At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.
Which Senators Are Up For Reelection In 2022
The 15 GOP senators up for re-election in 2022 needn’t bother legislating. Senate GOP messaging trumpets former President Trump more than the candidates. It’s the unorthodox strategy of Sen. Rick Scott whose job is to help the GOP flip the Senate. See more stories on Insider’s business page. Senate Republican reelection chief Rick Scott i The Alaska GOP lined up behind Kelly Tshibaka over incumbent Lisa Murkowski in the 2022 Senate race. Trump has pledged to campaign against Murkowski for her vote in support of his second impeachment
Five Of The Senators Running For Reelection In 2020 Won Their Previous Senate Election With Less Than 50% Of The Vote
Five of the U.S. Senatorsthree Republicans and two Democratsrunning to keep their seats won their last Senate election with less than 50% of the vote: Sens. Doug Jones , Dan Sullivan , Cory Gardner , Thom Tillis , and Mark Warner .
Additionally, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen won her 2014 reelection bid with less than a five-point margin. Shaheen earned 51.5% of the votes her challenger Scott Brown received 48.4%.
Finally, while Sen. Martha McSally was appointed to finish John McCains term after his death, she previously ran for the U.S. Senate in 2018. She lost to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema by almost 2.5 points with only 47.6% of the 2.3 million votes cast.
Hover over each of these senators states below to see President Donald Trumps margin of victory in each state after the 2016 election.