Monday, October 18, 2021

What Is Trump’s Approval Rating Among Republicans

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Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Among Republicans Is Far Less Impressive Than He Suggests New Poll Indicates

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President Donald Trump has often touted his strong approval ratings among Republican voters in recent weeks. But, according to poll data released Tuesday, that support may be far less impressive than he makes it out to be.

The survey, conducted by The Washington Post, originally found that Donald Trump’s approval rating among Republicans was about 85 percent. Those results were on par with similar polls done in recent months, including one by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News from July that found his approval rating among conservative voters was as high as 88 percent.

But then, the Post‘s split poll-takers who identified as Republican into three separate groups: people who strongly identify with the GOP, people who identify as Republican but not strongly and the remaining group who technically call themselves independents but say they lean toward the Republican Party. The results after these distinctions were made showed glaring discrepancies.

Trump’s overall approval rating for those who identified as strongly Republican is an overwhelming 93 percent. But voters who identified themselves in this category make up less than 20 percent of Americans likely to vote in elections.

On Sunday, Trump tweeted that his approval ratings are “very good” and that they may even lead to a “Red Wave” this November.

Do not underestimate the UNITY within the Republican Party!

— Donald J. Trump October 26, 2017

Trump Approval Remains Stable In New Nbc Poll With Republicans Unmoved After Capitol Violence

WASHINGTON — Donald Trump is the only president in history to be impeached twice — this time for his role in encouraging a deadly assault on the Capitol by his supporters — but he is poised to leave office with a job approval rating that is fairly typical of his entire time in office.

A new NBC News poll found that 43 percent of voters nationwide gave Trump a positive job approval rating, just barely down from 45 percent who said the same before the November election and the 44 percent who approved of his performance shortly after he took office in 2017.

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Half Of Republican Respondents Said Former President Should Play Major Role In Partys Future

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Former president Donald Trump’s popularity rating among Republicans has begun to bounce back since he left office, with half of respondents saying they think he should play a “major role” in the GOP’s future.

According to tracking by Morning Consult, 81 per cent of Republican voters polled between 23 to 25 January hold positive views of Mr Trump, including 54 per cent who do so strongly.

The number marks an improvement on the 76 per cent low of Republican voters who favoured him in tracking between 10 and 12 of January ahead of his impeachment when those who strongly favoured Mr Trump sat at 49 per cent.

Fifty percent of Republican voters in a poll by the company between the 22 and 25 of January also think Mr Trump should maintain a significant role in the party’s future, an increase of nine percentage points since the insurrection.

The former president’s popularity dropped following the 6 January when pro-Trump supporters attacked the Capitol as lawmakers gathered to certify Joe Biden’s win, vandalising and looting the building.

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% Of Republican Voters Approve Of The Outgoing President Up 3 Points From Last Weeks Nadir

  • 20% of GOP voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance, similar to the share who support a Senate conviction in the upcoming impeachment trial.

  • The bulk of Republican voters disapprove of the way Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has handled impeachment proceedings.

  • Overall, 55% of voters back Trump’s conviction and removal by the Senate, 5 points more than the share who did so ahead of the chamber’s February 2020 vote for his first impeachment trial.

President Donald Trump’s approval rating among Republican voters is back on the uptick after it dropped earlier this month following the deadly Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol by a group of Trump supporters, underscoring the political risk facing Senate Republicans who are set to decide the president’s fate in their chamber’s upcoming impeachment trial. 

Morning Consult Political Intelligence tracking conducted Jan. 15-17 found 79 percent of Republican voters approve of the outgoing president, up 3 percentage points from 76 percent in polling conducted Jan. 10-12, before 10 House Republicans joined all Democrats in voting to impeach Trump on a charge of inciting the insurrection that resulted in the deaths of five people, including a Capitol Police officer.

The samples included responses from more than 4,400 Republican voters, with margins of error of 1 point.

Nearly half of Republican voters disapprove of McConnell’s approach to impeachment, while 32 percent approve of how he’s tackled the issue.

Not Only Is Trumps Approval With Republicans Not 96 Percent Energy Appears To Be Slipping

Trump Approval Rating

So here’s this again.

That’s from late Tuesday night, but President Trump has made the same claim repeatedly. He said his approval among Republicans was 96 percent on June 8, on June 6, on May 21, on May 12, on May 2, on April 21 and on April 10, which was the first time he claimed his approval was 96 percent. For about a year prior, he had consistently claimed it was 95 percent. Before that, he kept saying it was 94 percent.

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As we’ve repeatedly pointed out, this isn’t how approval ratings work. You don’t earn a new level and stay at that level for months on end. If Trump’s approval rating was at 94 percent over and over in 2018, it would probably have jumped to 96 percent once or twice if only because of margins of error — and he would have tweeted about it.

But it’s also obviously false because there’s no public poll showing anything similar. In fact, despite Trump’s claim that 24 out of 25 Republicans view his job performance with approval, recent polling suggests energy within his party for his performance as president might actually be slipping.

The Economist conducts a national poll each week in partnership with YouGov. Each week, it asks respondents both whether they approve of the job that Trump is doing and whether they view Trump favorably as an individual.

For the most part, those views are static: Fewer than half of Americans view Trump with approval, but most Republicans do. The same pattern holds for favorability.

A Large Share Of Republicans Want Trump To Remain Head Of The Party Cnbc Survey Shows

A CNBC survey conducted in the days before former President Donald Trump‘s impeachment trial finds a large share of Republicans want him to remain head of their party, but a majority of Americans want him out of politics.

The CNBC All-America Economic Survey shows 54% of Americans want Trump “to remove himself from politics entirely.” That was the sentiment of 81% of Democrats and 47% of Independents, but only 26% of Republicans.

When it comes to Republicans, 74% want him to stay active in some way, including 48% who want him to remain head of the Republican Party, 11% who want him to start a third party, and 12% who say he should remain active in politics but not as head of any party.

“If we’re talking about Donald Trump’s future, at the moment, the survey shows he still has this strong core support within his own party who really want him to continue to be their leader,” said Jay Campbell, a partner with Hart Research and the Democratic pollster for the survey.

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But Micah Roberts, the survey’s Republican pollster, and a partner with Public Opinion Strategies, emphasized the change from when Trump was president. Polls before the election regularly showed Trump with GOP approval ratings around 90%, meaning at least some Republicans have defected from Trump.

Squawk on the Street

Trump’s Approval Rating Holding Steady At 43 Percent With 55 Percent Disapproving

The same poll found that 35 percent of voters — including 74 percent of Republicans but just 30 percent of independents and 3 percent of Democrats — believe President-elect Joe Biden did not win the election legitimately.

Sixty-one percent of all voters — but just 21 percent of Republicans — say Biden did win legitimately.

While a record 10 House Republicans broke ranks to vote for Trump’s impeachment last week, his approval rating among Republicans shows that GOP voters are widely disillusioned with him.

Almost 9 in 10 Republicans — 87 percent — give Trump a thumbs-up, compared with 89 percent who said the same before the November election.

And even for the half of Republicans who say they prioritize the GOP in general over allegiance to Trump, his high approval remains unmoved by recent events.

Among Republicans who say their primary loyalty is to Trump over the party, 98 percent approve of his performance. For those who say they prioritize the party over the president, his approval still stands at 81 percent — virtually unchanged from October.

In the NBC News survey, nearly a third of GOP voters surveyed — 28 percent — said Trump’s words and actions related to the violence at the Capitol reinforced their vote for Trump.

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Just 5 percent said they now regretted their support for him, and two-thirds — 66 percent — said their feelings had not changed.

An additional 9 percent say Trump is “not as good as most.”

A Key Question Moving Forward: Is Trumps Grip On The Gop Stronger Than His Bases

An odd fight broke out earlier this week that may well have escaped your notice. A former senior member of Donald Trump’s administration released the results of polling arguing that the former president’s grip on the Republican base has weakened. Trump and his team pushed back hard, but that was largely ignored because of the release of the verdict in the Derek Chauvin trial and Trump’s diminished voice in the public sphere.

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The argument made by a super PAC associated with former national security adviser John Bolton centered on the extent to which Republican voters were still likely to follow Trump’s political lead. The desired outcome here is obvious: Bolton, who became a vocal Trump critic, wants to suggest to Republicans that the political cost of bucking Trump has faded. Ergo, the poll.

It centered on three points: that Trump’s favorability has fallen, that his endorsement isn’t critical and that many Republicans don’t plan to support him in a possible 2024 bid. Each of those arguments, though, isn’t very strong. The favorability drop compares two polls and shows a small shift from “very favorable” views to “somewhat favorable.” The endorsement point leverages a format — would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Trump, etc. — that is notoriously iffy.

The 2024 polling still shows Trump at 50 percent among Republican voters, 39 points above the second-place contender. Not exactly a weak position in a crowded field.

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Joe Biden Approval Rating Down With Democrats But Up 8 Percent With Republicans

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President Joe Biden‘s approval rating among Republicans has increased by eight percent in the last two months even as his overall approval has taken a hit, according to a new poll.

A Monmouth University poll taken between June 9 and 14 shows Biden’s approval rating now stands at 48 percent against 43 percent disapproval – a decline of six points since April.

However, Biden’s approval among Republican voters has risen from 11 percent to 19 percent over the same period, bucking a trend that has seen fewer Democrats and independents saying they approve of the job he’s doing.

Pence ‘Not a Traitor’ Says Kevin McCarthy, ‘Stood Right by President Trump’

The poll released on Friday showed that Biden’s approval among Democrats had fallen to 86 percent from a high of 95 percent in a Monmouth University poll conducted between April 8 and 12.

June’s poll surveyed a national random sample of 810 adults aged 18 and above, while April’s poll surveyed 800 people on the same basis.

Biden’s approval has also fallen among independents and currently stands as 36 percent. This is a significant fall from the 47 percent of independents who expressed a positive view of him in the April poll.

Biden’s overall approval rating stood at 54 percent and disapproval at 41 percent in April. However, the president is currently doing better among Republican voters despite a general decline.

Newsweek has asked Monmouth University for comment.

A Third Of The Gop Is Skeptical Of Trump But Half Of That Group Prefers Trump

President Biden’s approval ratings have been unusually stable for a very simple reason: Democrats like him a lot, and Republicans don’t. That’s a majority of Americans with strong, mostly unmoving opinions, meaning that variations that occur won’t move the top-line number very much. It’s an artifact of the sharp polarization the country has been experiencing for years — and is not something unique to Biden. President Donald Trump saw a similar effect for nearly all of his time in office as did President Barack Obama after an initial honeymoon period.

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One effect of that stability is that we don’t spend very much time talking about Biden’s approval numbers. News organizations tend to focus on what’s new or otherwise notable, and months of slightly-above-50-percent polling ain’t that.

What is unusual, though, are the number of Republicans who, despite their skepticism of Biden, approve of his handling of the coronavirus pandemic. About a third of Republicans think Biden is handling the pandemic well, according to new polling from Quinnipiac University. That’s about four times as many Republicans as approve of Biden’s performance overall or view him favorably. It’s an unusual bit of semi-bipartisanship; getting a third of Republicans to say anything positive about Biden seems remarkable.

Among Republicans, it continues to not be enough for Biden simply to not be Trump.

A Popular Theory For Trumps Popularity Among Republicans Appears To Be Wrong

It is not the case, despite President Trump’s regular assertions, that his approval rating among Republicans is a consistent 95 percent. Although that figure appears regularly in the president’s Twitter feed, there appears to be no basis for it in public polling.

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It is, however, the case that Trump is broadly popular among Republicans. In YouGov’s most recent poll with the Economist, 88 percent of his party approves of the job he’s doing — somewhat offsetting the disapproval he garners among 89 percent of Democrats.

To Democrats, the level of support for Trump within his party seems occasionally baffling. How could someone they hate so much be viewed so positively by the other party? Over the course of Trump’s presidency, a theory emerged: He’s so popular among Republicans because Trump-skeptical Republicans have simply given up on the party. Wring all the skeptics out of the party, and you’re left with a more unanimous, if smaller, core.

There’s a public example of how this would work, after all: Had Rep. Justin Amash not left the party in July, the vote to impeach Trump in the House would not have been unanimously opposed by Republicans. Instead of Republicans voting 195-to-1 against impeachment, it was 195-to-0. This, perhaps, is how Trump’s approval also works.

Unfortunately for that theory, though, the numbers don’t really back it up.

The numbers haven’t changed much.

Even If It Were True 94 Percent Republican Approval Would Not Be A Record

It’s not the case that Trump’s approval rating among Republicans is 94 percent, but even if it were, it wouldn’t be the “record” he claims.

As Politifact detailed in June, when Trump claimed during a news conference with then-British Prime Minister Theresa May that “I have a 90 to 94 percent approval rating, as of this morning, in the Republican Party … an all-time record,” he was discounting George W. Bush’s GOP approval rating in the immediate aftermath of 9/11, which hit 99 percent. In fact, Trump’s Republican approval rating during his first 30 months in office lagged behind not just George W. Bush, but George H.W. Bush as well.

So Trump’s claim is a lie about a lie. But that sort of thing is par for the course for him.

Republican Approval Doesnt Matter As Much As Trump Seems To Think It Does

Trump Approval Underwater After GOP

According to Gallup’s latest numbers, a mere 27 percent of Americans currently identify as Republicans, compared to 29 percent who identify as Democrats and 40 percent who identify as Independents.

So while Trump’s approval rating among Republicans is no doubt strong, it doesn’t necessarily mean a whole lot — especially when compared to his broader approval rating, which is mired in the low 40s, and his bleak numbers in hypothetical matchups against the 2020 Democratic frontrunners.

But Trump’s falsehoods about his Republican approval rating do say something about the ease and shamelessness with which he lies. The president is not only willing to cherry-pick polls to portray himself as more popular than he really is, but in this case he’s apparently willing to pluck numbers out of thin air.

Approval For Gop At 50 Per Cent For First Time Against Former President

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Trump says he is ‘beyond seriously’ considering 2024 presidential run

Donald Trump’s popularity among registered Republicans has fallen in the 100 days since the end of his presidency, according to a recent poll.

The NBC News poll found that Republican support for the party was greater than the support for the former president, who was favoured by 44 per cent of Republicans.

The figure for registered Republicans in favour of the party over the former president, in comparison, was at 50 per cent.

It was the first time in almost two years that support for the Republican party was greater than that for Mr Trump, NBC News reported, and the first time support for the GOP reached 50 per cent against the former president.

Among all respondents to the poll, Mr Trump was favourable for 32 per cent, and unfavourable for 55 per cent – a slight worsening of January’s figures, when the former president was 40 per cent favourable and 53 percent unfavourable among all registered voters.

When compared to the poll for November, Mr Trump was also 9 per cent less favourable and 2 per cent more unfavourable among all respondents to the NBC News poll.

In fact, a number of congressional Republicans have visited Mar-a-Lago to meet with the former president, as well as to seek his endorsement, in the 100 days since Joe Biden’s presidency began.

Among all adults, as few as 21 per cent said so.

How Do Americans View Bidens Handling Of The Pandemic And The Economy

Most Americans think Biden is handling the coronavirus pandemic far better than Trump. Sixty-two percent approve of how Biden has managed the U.S. response so far. Another 30 percent say they disapprove.

Chart by Megan McGrew/PBS NewsHour

The public’s approval of Biden’s actions far exceeds that earned by Trump’s leadership during the pandemic. His highest approval rating was 18 points lower, at 44 percent in March 2020, the same month the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 to be a pandemic and Trump labeled it a public health emergency. From there, his approval on handling the pandemic dropped as low as 37 percent, recovering slightly to 39 percent by the time he left office in January.

But Americans have less faith in Biden’s ability to heal the nation’s wounded economy compared to Trump. While 46 percent of U.S. adults approve of how Biden has managed the economy, another 41 percent do not approve. During Trump’s last days in office, half of Americans said they approved of the former president’s handling of the economy, a sentiment thatTrump leveraged throughout his presidency and in his 2020 campaign for a second term.

Keanu Adams, 25, of Vacaville, California, said he voted for Biden and hopes the president recognizes the country needs more than public health and economic fixes right now.

The nation needs to uproot systemic problems to address what is really wrong, Adams said.

Trumps Approval Rating Among Republicans Is Not As High As He Claims

First off, Trump’s approval rating among Republicans isn’t the 94 percent he claims — it’s actually about 10 points lower. The Washington Post provided an overview of the relevant polling last month, after Trump posted a tweet on August 23 touting the fake Republican approval number he loves to cite:

A Monmouth University poll released Thursday found 84 percent of Republicans approve of Trump’s job performance, while an AP-NORC poll found that 79 percent do. His highest recent approval mark among fellow Republicans was 88 percent in a Fox News poll of registered voters earlier this month.

Trump’s claim of 94 percent approval among Republicans is also higher than in a Zogby Analytics poll released earlier this month that Trump has touted. That firm, whose surveys do not rely on a random sample of U.S. voters and whose pre-election polls have often been inaccurate, put Trump’s approval rating among Republicans at 86 percent.

In short, it’s unclear where Trump is getting his “94%” number from. But whatever its origins, it is not coming from a reputable source.

How Racial Justice Protests Have Started A Contemporary Culture War

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This lack of crossover support for presidents in their first term in office points toward one of the most animating forces in American politics today: Increased disdain and hatred of one’s political opponents, known as “negative partisanship.” As the chart below shows, opinions about the other party have become far more unfavorable since the late 1970s. In other words, it’s not that surprising that Americans are far less likely to approve of — and more likely to intensely dislike — presidents from the other party right from the moment they take office.

Such hostile sentiments reflect a world in which each major party increasingly believes the other poses a threat to the country’s well-being. Consider that in 2019, the Pew Research Center found that about three-fourths of Americans thought that Democrats and Republicans not only disagreed over plans and policies, but that they also couldn’t agree on basic facts. This is certainly borne out in attitudes toward the economy: Democrats thought the economy was immediately doing worse once Trump took office, while Republicans immediately thought it was getting worse after Biden won the 2020 election. And in the lead-up to the 2020 contest, Pew also found that about 9 in 10 of both Biden and Trump supporters felt that the victory of the other party’s presidential nominee would lead to lasting harm, a sign of how each side increasingly finds the other to be an unacceptable political alternative.

Trump’s Approval Rating Dropping Among Independents Republicans

As part of a January national survey of likely voters, Data for Progress finds that a majority of voters support efforts to impeach the president following a deadly insurrection at the Capitol on January 6th. On the 12th of January, House Democrats officially introduced articles of impeachment against the president for his role in inciting the deadly attack, and a vote on impeachment is expected next week. As part of the same survey, we also measured the president’s job approval ratings among likely voters. We find that disapproval of the president has grown, with many Republicans and Trump 2020 voters now signaling that they disapprove of the job he’s doing. 

Trumps Popularity Falls Among Republicans According To New Poll

Former US President Donald Trump

Donald Trump’s popularity among registered Republicans has fallen in the 100 days since the end of his presidency, according to a recent poll.

The NBC News poll found that Republican support for the party was greater than the support for the former president, who was favoured by 44 per cent of Republicans.

The figure for registered Republicans in favour of the party over the former president, in comparison, was at 50 per cent.

It was the first time in almost two years that support for the Republican party was greater than that for Mr Trump, NBC News reported, and the first time support for the GOP reached 50 per cent against the former president.

Among all respondents to the poll, Mr Trump was favourable for 32 per cent, and unfavourable for 55 per cent – a slight worsening of January’s figures, when the former president was 40 per cent favourable and 53 percent unfavourable among all registered voters.

When compared to the poll for November, Mr Trump was also 9 per cent less favourable and 2 per cent more unfavourable among all respondents to the NBC News poll.

The findings follow reports of Mr Trump’s continued control over the Republican party from his Mar-a-Lago resort in southern Florida – even after election defeat, the end of his single-term in office and his alleged support for the 6 January insurrection on the US Capitol.

Among all adults, as few as 21 per cent said so.

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Roughly Half Of Americans Approve Of What Biden Has Done So Far

About half of Americans — 49 percent — said they approve of how Biden has served as president so far, less than two months into his presidency, according to the latest poll. But as was the case with his predecessor, whose last year in office was marred by the pandemic, much of that support comes from people who identify as members of his own party. Among Democrats, Biden’s approval rating was 87 percent. But only 11 percent of Republicans and43 percent of independents said they approved of the president.

Chart by Megan McGrew/PBS NewsHour

Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents.

Still, Biden currently has a higher job approval rating than former President Donald Trump ever reached during his four years in the White House, according to Marist polling data. And support for Biden seems to be growing. In this latest poll, 52 percent of Americans said they had a favorable impression of him. That’s up from 41 percent in October 2019 in the midst of Trump’s first impeachment. Since then, Biden has inched up in favorability.

Republicans in Congress face steeper job disapproval, with 64 percent of Americans saying they do not like what they are seeing, an increase of 6 percentage points over January 2019, including 38 percent of Republicans and 85 percent of Democrats.

Why Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Is So High Among Republicans

A Correction: Here’s How Trump Is Doing Among Republican ...

PoliticsDonald TrumpRepublicansPolls

As the U.S. experienced mass unrest over police brutality and racial inequality, a huge spike in unemployment, and on the current count more than 116,000 coronavirus deaths, President Donald Trump’s approval rating took an unsurprising turn for the worse.

But there is one group of voters who have remained squarely in Trump’s corner in spite of the triple crises facing the nation: Republicans.

Over the past few months, the president has frequently gloated about his high party-approval figures. Tweeting about his approval rating among Republicans on Tuesday night, Trump wrote: “96% Approval Rating in the Republican Party. Thank you!”

As The Washington Post reported at the end of May, the president’s evidence-free claim to have a 96 percent approval rating among GOP voters is not grounded in actual polling data.

Nevertheless, his rating among the Republican base has been consistently high over the last three months.

A new Morning Consult/Politico poll of 653 Republicans found 83 percent approved of Trump’s record, a fall of only 5 percentage points from the pollster’s March survey. The latest poll, conducted between June 12 to 14, has a 2 percentage point margin of error.

So how has the president’s approval rating among Republicans stayed so high, even amid unrest over race relations, unemployment, and public health?

Poll: Trumps Approval Rating With Gop Voters Rebounds To 81%

David Krayden

Former President Donald Trump’s popularity with Republicans has rebounded with an 81% approval rate, according to a Morning Consult/Politico poll.

The poll indicated that approval for Trump among GOP voters has risen by 5% since it hit 76% in mid-January following the Capitol riot and just before the House of Representatives voted to impeach the former president.

Then-President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump on stage after speaking to supporters at Joint Base Andrews before boarding Air Force One for his last time as President on Jan. 20, 2021 in Joint Base Andrews, Maryland.

GOP women led the way with 15% more of them indicating their support for Trump than had earlier in January.

Of those Republicans polled, 50% also believe that Trump should continue to have a “major role” in the party, an increase of nine percentage points since the Capitol riot.

Since his departure from public life, Trump has said little about any political plans but has reportedly discussed the creation of a third political force in American politics, called the “Patriot Party.” Although a party calling itself the MAGA Patriot Party filed papers with the Federal Election Commission Monday, the Trump campaign disavowed any affiliation with the organization on Tuesday.

Trump Is A Barometer For Republican Views Of Supreme Court

Hassan Kanu

A person holds a sign during a rally to protest the results of the election, in front of the U.S. Supreme Court, in Washington, U.S., December 12, 2020. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst

– The U.S. Supreme Court has been issuing rulings that tend to favor conservatives, but its approval ratings have dropped among Republicans as well as Democrats, according to an analysis by my Reuters colleagues and a recent Gallup poll, both released on July 28.

A year ago, 58% of Americans approved of the court, its highest rating in about 11 years, according to the poll. This year, the court’s approval rating dipped to 49%, and a historical gap between Republicans and Democrats narrowed to nothing: Members of both parties have identical approval ratings of 51% .

The court’s reputation has taken a hit among Republicans, despite it taking a sharp turn toward the right, both in terms of its membership and decisions.

Former President Donald Trump appointed three new justices since 2017, moving the court further to the right than it had been for decades. Republican approval of the court expectedly surged in Gallup’s polls after those appointments.

And, a recent Reuters analysis of the court’s “shadow docket” rulings from the past 12 months found that the court’s 6-3 conservative majority repeatedly favored religious groups and Trump’s administration, while denying almost 100 other emergency applications by private individuals and groups.


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