Monday, October 3, 2022

Will Jews Vote For Trump

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Trump Insists Democrats are ‘Bad’ for Israel

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Trump Versus Biden Voters

While the results reported above may hold true for our sample in general, we see strong differences between Trump and Biden voters, with our overall data being heavily influenced by the preponderance of the latter.

If we separate out the Trump voters , we see that their unequivocal support for Israel is much more definitive. Among those who voted for Trump, close to 87% were able to endorse the yes option on Q7 while only 11.9% chose the option The term is too vague for me to give a yes or no answer. On the question of the importance of Israel-related issues in their decision on how to vote, Biden voters rated a 42 while Trump voters rated a 68. Also, while only 20% of our sample of Biden voters stated that their Jewish identity played a role to a great deal in their voting, 32% of the Trump sample felt that way. While we must caution that the sample size of Trump voters is relatively small, the trend is noticeable and warrants further study.

Trump voters pro-Israel attitude

Biden voters pro-Israel attitude

Could The Jewish Vote Decide The Election

These are the places Jewish voters could swing the election

A map showing the distribution of the Jewish electorate across the country.


In the run-up to the presidential election, BrandeisNOW asked faculty to provide analysis and insight into some of the most pressing issues facing the country. This story is part of the series.

If the 2020 presidential election is anything like 2016, it will be decided by a relatively small number of voters in a handful of battleground states. American Jews, who comprise less than 2.5% of the population, are small in number. Nevertheless, as the political upset in 2016 has made clear, every vote matters.

Historically, Jewish adults vote at rates higher than the national average, with some estimates putting the rate between 80 to 85%.

Because of their concentration in a few states and their relative homogeneity in political outlook, Jewish voters are an important part of the electoral math, especially in states or districts that are considered competitive.

In our research, we use Bayesian Multilevel Regression with Poststratification to synthesize data from hundreds of national surveys to develop profiles of the US Jewish population that include their geographic and demographic distributions. Our most recent work was a synthesis that included data from over 1.3 million US adults to provide Jewish population estimates within US congressional districts.


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One Last Dig Into The 2020 Jewish Vote

Two weeks have passed since election day, and theres nothing anyone wants more than to put this whole thing behind us. But before we do so, we need to settle the least important question of these elections, yet the one most likely to come up during your Thanksgiving, Passover or whatever family dinner table: How did the Jews vote?

As everyone probably knows, this question is far from being settled.

Ask Democrats, and theyll point to a J Streetexit poll which found that the Jewish vote went 77:21 percent in favor of Bidenan increase compared to Hillary Clintons results among Jewish voters in 2016.

Ask Republicans, and youll get a different answer. Theirpoll found that Trump increased his share of Jewish voters to 30.5 percent, while 60.6 percent voted for Biden.


Its a pretty big gap, but not one that surprises experts. Were not only talking about a tiny slice of the population, which is hard to measure in these types of polls, but also one that is not precisely defined .

For most, the difference is meaningless because the bottom line remains the same: American Jews vote by a large margin for Democratic candidates and did so this time.

But are there any scenarios in which tiny shifts in Jewish voting trendlines make a difference in real-life politics?

Sure.

Is there a bottom line?


A Jewish Revolving Door

Trump Says Jews Who Vote Democrat Show Either a Total Lack of ...

Where do administration figures go when the pond freezes over?

No need to worry they all find jobs. Thats what corporate boards and think tanks are for.

For Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner, the future entails going back to their business operations, though it is still unclear if theyll do so from New York , or move with Donald to Florida.

Steve Mnuchin? He, too will probably go back to the business world.

Stephen Miller? That will be a more challenging fit, but the Breitbart/OANN/Newsmax ever-expanding ecosystem could be a good match.


And then theres David Friedman, Trumps ambassador to Israel does he stay on to live in the Holy Land? If he moves back, look for him to be the most sought-after speaker, board member, or even leader of any right-wing Jewish organizations.

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Critics Say Comments Echo Anti

U.S. President Donald Trump beat back criticism of his comments accusing American Jews who vote for Democrats of “great disloyalty” and went a step further on Wednesday, saying any vote for a Democrat is a vote against Israel.

“I think that if you vote for a Democrat you are very, very disloyal to Israel and to the Jewish people,” Trump told reporters as he left the White House.

The Republican president drew outrage on Tuesday from Democratic presidential candidates and U.S. Jewish groups after accusing American Jews who vote for Democrats of “great disloyalty.”


Critics said Trump’s comments echoed an anti-Semitic trope accusing American Jews of dual loyalties to the United States and Israel.

Trump initially responded on Twitter on Wednesday by quoting a conservative columnist as saying American Jews “don’t know what they’re doing.” The Republican president thanked the commentator, Wayne Allyn Root, who likened Trump to the “king of Israel” and said Israelis “love him like he is the second coming of God.”

Thank you to Wayne Allyn Root for the very nice words. President Trump is the greatest President for Jews and for Israel in the history of the world, not just America, he is the best President for Israel in the history of the world…and the Jewish people in Israel love him….

& mdash

Poll: Trump Tops 30% Of Jewish Vote Highest Total For Republican In Over Three Decades

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Election officials work in a ballot room, at the Kenosha Municipal Building, in Kenosha, Wisconsin, Nov. 4, 2020. Photo: Reuters / Daniel Acker.

JNS.org US President Donald Trump received the highest percentage of the Jewish vote for a Republican presidential candidate in Tuesdays election, while former Vice President Joe Biden received the lowest for a Democratic presidential nominee in 32 years, according to a poll released on Wednesday.

Trump received 30.5 percent of the Jewish vote, while Biden got 60.6 percent, according to a Republican Jewish Coalition survey conducted by Basswood Research and McLaughlin & Associates.


Bidens share of the Jewish vote was the lowest for any Democratic presidential candidate since 1988, while Trumps share of that demographic was the highest since that year.

In 2016, Trump received 24 percent of the Jewish vote six percentage points lower than what presidential candidate Mitt Romney got in 2012.

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Republican Jewish Committee Backs Trump’s Comment

The Republican Jewish Committee sided with Trump, saying, “President Trump is right, it shows a great deal of disloyalty to oneself to defend a party that protects/emboldens people that hate you for your religion.”

Trump is popular in Israel. He delighted many Israelis while appalling other world powers by recognizing Jerusalem as their capital, moving the U.S. Embassy there, withdrawing from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal and recognizing Israeli sovereignty over the occupied Golan Heights.


The office of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, which has particularly close ties with the Trump administration, declined to comment on his remarks.

Israeli President Reuven Rivlin wrote on Twitter that he had spoken with House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi, the top U.S. elected Democrat, about strong U.S.-Israel relations he said were “not dependent on the links with either party.”

Trump has for weeks been attacking Tlaib and Omar, accusing them of hostility to Israel and anti-Semitism. He repeated his attacks on Tlaib on Wednesday, accusing her on Twitter of wanting to cut off aid to Israel, a U.S. ally that has long enjoyed bipartisan support.

In February, Omar, who along with Tlaib supports a boycott of Israel over its policies toward the Palestinians, said U.S. Jews have divided loyalties. She apologized for those remarks after being widely condemned by many in her own party.

The Younger Voter Under 60

Trump says Jews disloyal if they vote for Democrats

Showing the same trends, younger Jewish voters choose character and trust far more than other issues as their most important or second most important issue with 57.9% selecting that option. Other issues ranked far behind, as in the general sample.


Under-60 choices for most important and second most important issue

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Trump Says ‘american Jews Don’t Love Israel Enough’ Because They Did Not Vote For Him

Former US President Donald Trump has accused American Jews of not loving Israel “enough” due to the demographic’s consistent support for the Democratic party.

The former president, in an interview with the Brooklyn-based ultra-Orthodox weekly Ami, criticised American Jews for not voting for him in larger numbers during the US’s last presidential elections despite his unprecedented support for Israel.

“American Jews don’t love Israel enough,” Trump told the weekly in comments published on Wednesday.

Trump On Reps Aoc Tlaib And Omar: They Are Anti

This is why Trump is so obsessed with walls and more than happy to ban Mexicans, Muslims and others whom he sees as outside his own white Christian identity group. It’s why he talks about immigrants as being part of an “invasion” language also used by the El Paso shooter. And it’s why he said that congresswomen of color, including Tlaib and Omar, should “go back” to the places they “originally came from.”

Trump often speaks as if Jewish people don’t belong, either. In 2017, for example, Trump suggested that Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, who is Jewish, should have to justify his opposition to Trumps Iran policy to Israel. The implication was that Schumer owed some kind of loyalty to Israel and its government. And now Trump has explicitly said that Jews who vote for Democrats are not displaying sufficient loyalty to the Jewish state.

But why should American Jews defer to Israel? The vast majority of us aren’t citizens of Israel. And most of us don’t like Netanyahu his government’s approval among American Jews stands at a dismal 41 percent.

The answer from Trump’s perspective is obvious. America was founded by and for white Christians like himself. Jews are ethnic and religious others who don’t inherently belong.

Anti-Semites have often argued that Jews have no home. Joseph Stalin called us “rootless cosmopolitans” a people lacking in the proper ethnic and nationalist attachments to be part of a powerful, unified, loyal state.

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Are Jewish Democrats And Republicans More Divided Than Ever

It was a heated election season for Jewish politics.

Accusations hurled by each side were harsher than in previous election cycles, especially when related to endorsing or accepting anti-Semitism and white nationalism.

The tone was also different.

In the past, the battle between Jewish Democrats and Republicans seemed like friendly banter between old time rivals at the shul kiddush table. Now, perhaps as a reflection of the overall angry tone that has defined the past four years, Jews on both sides seem to have taken the gloves off. This shift was apparent in testy between the campaigns, as well as in the outpouring of anger, and at times hate, toward the candidate from the rival party, in events and gatherings hosted by the staunch margins on both sides: progressive Democrats, ultra-Orthodox Trumpists and Israeli-American Republicans.

Republican Politicians Trump Above All Have Failed To Grasp That Israel Policy Has Never Had Much Impact On The Voting Behavior Of American Jews

Trump says Jews who vote Democrat show

In 2016, Jewish voters chose Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by 71% to 24%. In two weeks, 75% say theyll vote for Joe Biden and 22% for Trump, according to a survey released this week by the American Jewish Committee. In the swing states of Florida and Pennsylvania, where Jews make up 3%-4% of the voting population, a new poll by J Street shows margins of 75%-22% and 73%-22% respectively.

Jews, of course, have been stalwart Democratic voters for a long time nearly a century, to be precise. Seventy-one percent voted for Al Smith in 1928 and then, with the onset of the Great Depression, they jumped into the New Deal coalition with both feet. Eighty-two percent voted for Franklin Delano Roosevelt in 1932, 85% in 1936 and 90% in 1940 and 1944.

Since then, theyve backed off their Democratic partisanship somewhat, from time to time going so far as to give a GOP candidate 30%-40% of their votes. But despite the hopes and prayers of conservatives, they have to paraphrase the old crack of American Jewish Committee official Milton Himmelfarb continued to vote like Puerto Ricans even as theyve earned like Episcopalians.

There is a major development, however, in Jewish voting patterns: the embrace of Republicanism by much of the Orthodox community, as against the other religious streams Conservative, Reform, Reconstructionist and secular which remain strongly Democratic.

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Florida And Georgia Voting Laws

As you may know, Republican legislatures in Florida and Georgia have recently passed laws impacting access to voting and changing the way elections are conducted. Democrats say these laws target people of color and make it harder for them to vote. Republicans say these laws are necessary to stop election fraud and ensure election integrity. How concerned are you about the impact of these laws on our elections?

Overall Us Jews Remain Largely Democratic And Liberal

U.S. Jews are still a largely Democratic and politically liberal group today, as they have been for decades. Overall, about seven-in-ten identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party, including 68% of Jews by religion and 77% of Jews of no religion. Just 26% of U.S. Jews overall identify with the Republican Party or lean toward the GOP.

Jews by religion are considerably more likely than U.S. Christians to identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party they look much more similar to religiously unaffiliated Americans in this regard, with Democrats making up about two-thirds of each group. Among Christian subgroups, only Black Protestants show higher levels of Democratic support .

Pew Research Center political surveys conducted over the past two decades show Jews have consistently identified with the Democratic Party over the GOP by a wide margin.

Furthermore, the new survey finds that 50% of Jews describe their political views as liberal, triple the share who say they are politically conservative . Jews of no religion a group that is considerably younger, on average, than Jews by religion are especially likely to call themselves liberal .

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With National Election Pool Not Posting Jewish Results Backers Of Democrats Or Republicans Publish Their Own Conflicting Numbers But Agree Most Voters Backed Biden

JTA â Itâs a Jewish ritual: Every four years after a presidential election, the question arises about how American Jews voted.

âCheck the Jewish exit pollsâ is the rallying cry.

Those days may be over.

Blame apples and oranges and other assorted fruit: There is no longer a single exit poll to compare and contrast. Thatâs left the field open to partisan Jewish groups to post polls claiming movement in the direction they favor.

For instance, a poll commissioned by the Republican Jewish Coalition found that 30.5 percent of Jewish voters voted for GOP incumbent Donald Trump nationally compared to 60.6% for Democratic challenger Joe Biden.

âItâs not just the embassy that moved. Jewish voters are moving, too,â Ari Fleischer, George W. Bushâs former press secretary, said on an RJC conference call November 4, the day after the election.

Meanwhile, a poll commissioned by the liberal group J Street found that 77% of Jewish Americans voted for Biden and only 21% for Trump.

âTrump pushed the Jewish vote further to the Democrats,â the groupâs pollster wrote in a memo summarizing the results.

The two polls align on the big picture that the vast majority of Jewish voters supported the Democrat, as has long been the case in national elections. But is either group correct about the change they say happened over the past four years?

In both surveys, foreign policy and Israel were among the lowest-ranked issues.

Thank you,

Poll: Trump Biden Hit New Highs Lows Among Jewish Vote

Trump Urges Jews Not to Vote for Democrats

U.S. President Donald Trump received the highest percent of the Jewish vote for a Republican in decades, while former Vice President Joe Biden hit a new low for a Democratic candidate in recent years, according to a poll released on Wednesday.

Trump received 30.5 percent of the Jewish vote, while Biden got 60.6 percent, according to a Republican Jewish Coalition survey conducted by Basswood Research and McLaughlin & Associates.

According to the RJC poll, Bidenâs share of the Jewish vote was the lowest for any Democratic presidential candidate since 1988, while Trump is the highest since that same election. In that election, former Republican President George H.W. Bush won 35 percent of the Jewish vote, while the Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis won 64 percent.

In 2016, Trump received 24 percent of the Jewish voteâsix percentage points lower than what presidential candidate Mitt Romney got in 2012.

Meanwhile, 78 percent of Republican Jews voted for Trump, 86 percent of Jewish Democrats voted for Biden and 41 percent of Jewish Independents voted for Biden, while 38 percent went for Trump.

Some 70 percent and 19 percent of Orthodox Jews supported Trump and Biden, respectively 57 percent and 36 percent of Conservative Jews supported Biden and Trump, respectively 80 percent and 13 percent of Reform Jews voted for Biden and Trump, respectively while those who are not affiliated with any movement voted 57 percent to 32 percent for Biden and Trump, respectively.

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