What Would Make You Change Your Mind About Donald J Trump
When Michael Tesler, a political scientist at the University of California Irvine, tries to explain the amazing stability of Trumps approval in his classes, he starts with a question. He asks his students if theres anything Trump could do to make them support him. And hes invariably met by a sea of shaking heads. If you went into Trumps presidency thinking hes a racist, sexist, xenophobic, immoral, narcissistic, corrupt, and incompetent person beliefs held by most Clinton voters then theres literally almost nothing he could do to change your mind, says Tesler.
The same is true in reverse. If you see Trump as the protector of Western Civilization, as Charlie Kirk called him the other night at the RNC, or the protector of white America, as Desmond King and Rogers Smith have called him, defending cherished American values from atheist, left-wing socialists who want to take your guns and put Cory Booker in charge of diversifying your neighborhoods, then theres almost nothing that would make you abandon him, Tesler continues.
But how do we know if were being governed with a bare level of competence?
Former Trump Lawyer: Poll Shows Shift Towards Desantis Over Trump In Early Primary State
Poll of the week: A new Quinnipiac University poll finds that President Donald Trump’s approval rating stands at 34%, while his disapproval is at 61%. The same pollster put Trump at a 33% approve to 60% disapprove split last week.
What’s the point: Before we bid adieu: This story has been updated with more poll numbers released in Trump’s final days as president.
Latest Donald Trump Approval Rating Plummets To 24 Percent
Well, Donald Trump is not the prettiest girl at the ball any longer. Oh, he believes that he is, but the pumpkin coach and footmen are waiting for him right outside of the castle entrance waiting to take him back to Never Never Never Land. The clock has ticked past midnight, and his gown has gone back to its tattered self. He is just pitiful, limping around the dance floor, his own raggedly self. Apparently, he lost one of his breaking-glass slippers when he was jumping up and down during a televised wrestling match trying to get his face all over the camera, trying to capture Americas attention. See what we mean.
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say, 63% to 37%, that Trump should be the leader of the Republican Party. But they are about evenly split over whether having the defeated former President back on the ticket in 2024 would be an advantage.
Trump came across as a real loser:
Fifty-one percent say that Republicans have a better chance of retaking the presidency if Trump is the nominee, with 49% saying the party would be better off with a different nominee. Thats a very different landscape from 2019 when more than three-quarters of Republicans said their party had a better shot in 2020 with Trump as their nominee than they would with a different candidate.
Subsequently, the former presidents support does not reflect an equal distribution:
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Whats Weighing Down Americans
Runaway inflation is by far the top concern in the US. Of those surveyed by CNN, 75 per cent highlighted an issue related to the cost of living, including 38 per cent who mentioned inflation and rising costs generally, 29 per cent who mention gas prices, and 18 per cent who mention the cost of food.
Likewise, in the CNBC poll, inflation garnered twice as many votes as the next response: abortion, which was presented as a survey option for the first time. That was followed by crime, immigration and border security, jobs, and climate change. The coronavirus ranked last.
Donald Trump’s Approval Ratings Flounders Amid Jan 6 Revelations
Donald Trump has faced a dip in his popularity according to a Fox News poll taken after the first January 6 hearing.
The opinion poll was conducted between June 10 and June 13, according to a Fox News report. This is days after the first January 6 hearing that was held on June 9.
The poll, which also highlighted that President Joe Biden has seen his popularity fall, showed the fluctuation in the former president’s popularity.
According to the poll, 55 percent of registered voters asked have an unfavorable opinion of Trump, compared to 44 percent holding a favorable opinion.
The poll also highlighted data taken from previous polls of the former president.
In February, 54 percent of registered voters held an unfavorable opinion of Trump, this is compared to 45 percent favorable. In December 2021, Trump received the same percentage of favorable and unfavorable votes.
According to the poll, the last time Trump held such a small favorable opinion vote of 44 percent was in late October 2020. In this poll, 55 percent of participants held an unfavorable opinion of him.
In June 2018, 45 percent of Fox News poll participants held a favorable opinion of Trump while 53 percent held an unfavorable opinion.
Newsweek has contacted Donald Trump‘s office for comment.
The first January 6 hearing, which was televised during prime time, was able to focus on Trump and his role, if any, in the January 6 Capitol riot.
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President Bidens Approval Rating Has Hit Its Lowest Level During Is Tenure We Took A Look Back At The Rates For Past Presidents
President Bidens approval rating is hovering under forty-percent, raising concerns over how the numbers will impact the performance of Democrats this fall. FiveThirtyEight has tracked President Bidens approval rating at 38.4 percent, just under the level of support for Donald Trump had when he left office.
. breaks down possible reasons why Pres. Bidens poll numbers have dropped:
Donald Trump has yet to announce his candidacy but if reports are correct, and he does plan to run again, we could see the two face off again in 2024. Many Republicans running across the country have incorporated the idea that 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump. In a recent poll by Quinnipiac University, only fifteen percent of voters said that this would make them more likely to vote for a candidate. More than third of respondents said that this would have no impact on their decision to vote for a candidate, which is a bit shocking.
It could be that the approval rating of the president is falling because of the high levels of economic uncertainty. The same Quinnipiac poll found that only thirty-six percent of respondents believed that the president had a lot of power to control inflation. Interestingly sixty-five percent of Republicans were on this opinion, whereas only ten percent of Democrats agreed that the president has the power to lower prices.
A different question
Trumps Approval Rating Rises Boosting Chances Of Winning Second Term
New Gallup poll gives Trump a 49% rating, first net positive for the president since January 2017
Donald Trumps popularity rating is improving at a key moment in election year boosting his chances of winning a second term in the White House.
As Bernie Sanders stormed to victory in the Nevada caucuses, establishing a grip on the Democratic primary, a new Gallup poll gave Trump a 49% approval rating and a disapproval rating of 48%. It was the first net positive for the president in the poll since the beginning of his presidency in January 2017.
The FiveThirtyEight website average of popularity polls shows Trumps approval rising since September, when impeachment proceedings began.
Acquitted in his Senate impeachment trial, Trumps average approval rating now stands at 43.3%, to 52.2% disapproving.
Presidents with approval ratings between roughly 46% and 54% at this point usually face close re-election battles. Presidents with approval ratings at 45% or below usually lose. If past history holds, Trumps approval rating may continue to rise just enough to make him a favourite.
On Sunday, a CBS News poll said 65% of Americans think Trump will win re-election in a tight race against the eventual Democratic nominee.
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The Sample And Margin Of Error
Pollsters cant realistically contact every American adult throughout the country and ask their opinion on a given issue. Instead, they try to contact a representative sampleusually anywhere between 1,000 and 2,000 individualsthat accurately represents the countrys population as a whole. Pollsters, with the help of statisticians, demographers, and data experts, use a variety of techniques to create a representative sample. This typically involves using probability formulas and algorithms to ensure random sampling and to increase the likelihood of contacting an accurate cross-section of the U.S. adult population. Some pollsters also create panels of respondents that they believe reflect the actual population and poll them repeatedly over a span of time. These polls are usually called tracking polls. Oftentimes, pollsters weigh their respondents to account for various demographic measurements. For example, a pollster might weigh more heavily the responses from a specific demographic group if that group was poorly represented in the random sample in relation to the countrys estimated demographic composition. The same might be done if a group appears to be overrepresented.
Approval Ratings Of Past Presidents
When former-President Trump left office, his disapproval rate stood at fifty-seven percent, with 38.6 percent of the public supporting him. The highest approval rating Trump had while in office was in In April, Congress passed the CARES Act which distributed the first round of stimulus checks and bolstered unemployment benefits for the more than twenty-million workers who lost their jobs.
However, a few short months later, Donald Trumps approval rating took a nose dive to its lowest point in his presidency as he left office —in part as a result of the events on January 6th.
When former-president Obama was elected, he entered office with a historic approval rating of sixty-four percent. However, with the impacts of the financial crisis led this level of support to began to fall. Aside from a few peaks in popularity, the majority of Obamas term, the disapproval rate was above fifty percent. However, unlike Donald Trump, he left office with a net positive approval rate.
George W. Bush
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Real Clear Politics Trump Approval Rating: 408 Percent
In mid-September, Real Clear Politicswhich tracks numerous polls to find an averagefound the president to have a 40.8 percent approval rating, compared to 53.6 percent who disapproved of him.
The number was a downturn for Trump, who Real Clear Politics found had a 42.9 percent approval rating in mid-July, a notch higher than his 42.4 percent approval rating the month before.
The website found that the presidents approval rating has been declining since late August, amid criticism of his handling of Sen. John McCains death and guilty pleas by his former lawyer Michael Cohen and former campaign chairman Paul Manafort.
Quinnipiac Trump Approval Rating: 38 Percent
In early September Quinnipiac found that only 38 percent of those polled approved of Trump as president, compared to 54 percent who disapproved and 8 percent who werent sure.
In early July the universitys polling arm found Trump with a 40 percent approval rating, similar to what it was in June.
The same poll found that 48 percent of those polled disapprove strongly of Trump, compared to just 27 percent of people who approve strongly of him.
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Gallup Trump Approval Rating: 40 Percent
Gallup, which tracks the presidents approval and disapproval ratings weekly, found that 40 percent of those polled approved of Trumps time in office. The pollster found that the presidents disapproval rating was 54 percent.
The figure is a sharp decline from mid-June, when the president was found to have a 45 percent approval rating. Since then, he has hovered in the mid-to-low 40s, according to their weekly poll, with one week in August reaching 39 percent.
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President Trumps job approval rating soared to its highest point since he entered the White House in 2017, according to a poll that was conducted amid the Senate impeachment trial.
It found that 49 percent of registered voters approve of the job the president is doing, while 50 percent disapprove and only 1 percent are undecided, the Gallup poll released Tuesday showed.
Trumps previous job-approval high was 46 percent in April 2019.
Among Republicans, Trumps approval rating hit 94 percent a 6-point increase from Gallups results early last month.
Independents gave Trump a 42 percent approval rating, up 5 points.
Democrats approval of the president fell to 7 percent from 10 percent.
The 87-point gap between Democrats and Republicans surpassed the highest rate for both Trump and former President Barack Obama by one point.
Obama hit that milestone in November 2012.
Trump achieved the 86-point differential level five times since taking office.
Voters were evenly split 50-50 on whether Trump deserves to be re-elected in November.
The Gallup poll was conducted between Jan. 16-29, as the Senate was debating the two impeachment articles against the president.
The House impeached the president on Dec. 18 over his July phone call to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelesnky in which he sought an investigation into former Vice President Joe Biden.
Following a two-week trial in the Republican-controlled Senate, Trump is expected to be acquitted in a vote Wednesday afternoon.
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Us President Joe Bidens Approval Numbers Have Dipped To 36 Per Cent One Point Lower Than Donald Trumps Worst Rating Rising Prices And Fears Of Recession Are To Blame For The Dismal Numbers
US President Joe Bidens approval ratings have taken a massive hit in recent months, and now stand lower than they ever were for his predecessor, Donald Trump.
And that is saying something. During his four turbulent years in the Oval Office, Donald Trump was impeached twice. However, due to a number of factors, Joe Bidens approval numbers have dipped to 36 per cent, one point lower than Trumps worst rating, within 18 months of being sworn in.
According to CNBCs July All America Economic Survey, rising prices and a general sense of gloom have sent public approval of Bidens fiscal management hurtling to 30 per cent, the lowest in his presidency. This is a far cry from Trumps lowest ever economic approval rating of 41 per cent.
Even Barack Obama, who became President amidst the 2008 financial crisis, had enjoyed better economic standing — the worst being 37 per cent in his eight-year term, the CNBC report states.
Among survey participants, 51 per cent believe Bidens efforts to combat inflation are making no difference, and 30 per cent think they are actually making things worse. Just 12 per cent say they are helping.
Bidens popularity has been on a downward trajectory for months now. A poll conducted by CNN shows that among Democrats, the party Biden belongs to, the Presidents approval numbers have plummeted by 13 points since the spring to 73 per cent now, while remaining unchanged for the most part among Republicans and Independents.
Trump’s Approval Rating Craters In Final Days
After four years of stability, the outgoing presidents poll numbers have reached new lows following last weeks Capitol insurrection.
President Donald Trumps slide means he will leave the Oval Office historically unpopular compared with most of his predecessors.
01/13/2021 06:00 AM EST
Tarnished by last weeks riot at the Capitol, Donald Trump is ending his presidency with his lowest-ever poll numbers.
A new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll pegs Trumps approval at just 34 percent, the lowest in four years of tracking opinions of the presidents job performance. More than six in 10 voters 63 percent disapprove.
That matches other polls conducted over the past week showing Trumps approval rating sliding roughly 10 points following the Capitol riots which Democrats and some Republicans say Trump incited with his false and bellicose rhetoric about the 2020 presidential election.
For nearly four years, Trumps approval ratings have been extraordinarily stable, ranging between the high 30s and high 40s. Trumps denial of the election results and the sacking of the Capitol, however, have managed to do what a failed effort to repeal Obamacare, the white-supremacist violence in Charlottesville, Va., impeachment and other scandals couldnt: erode his once-durable support to new lows.
The drop among independents was similar: Fewer than three in 10 independent voters now approve of Trump 29 percent, down from 38 percent in December.
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Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Among Republicans Is Far Less Impressive Than He Suggests New Poll Indicates
President Donald Trump has often touted his strong approval ratings among Republican voters in recent weeks. But, according to poll data released Tuesday, that support may be far less impressive than he makes it out to be.
The survey, conducted by The Washington Post, originally found that Donald Trump’s approval rating among Republicans was about 85 percent. Those results were on par with similar polls done in recent months, including one by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News from July that found his approval rating among conservative voters was as high as 88 percent.
But then, the Post‘s split poll-takers who identified as Republican into three separate groups: people who strongly identify with the GOP, people who identify as Republican but not strongly and the remaining group who technically call themselves independents but say they lean toward the Republican Party. The results after these distinctions were made showed glaring discrepancies.
Trump’s overall approval rating for those who identified as strongly Republican is an overwhelming 93 percent. But voters who identified themselves in this category make up less than 20 percent of Americans likely to vote in elections.
On Sunday, Trump tweeted that his approval ratings are “very good” and that they may even lead to a “Red Wave” this November.
Do not underestimate the UNITY within the Republican Party!
Donald J. Trump