What To Watch For
Trump’s voter fraud claims and the support for them on the right has led to a new push by GOP state lawmakers to impose new voting restrictions nationwide—a Brennan Center for Justice found 361 such bills have been introduced in 47 states as of March 24—though Democrats in Congress are pushing a new voting rights bill, H.R. 1, that would nullify many of the restrictions if it passes.
Question22 Do You Approve Or Disapprove Of The Way Joe Biden Is Handling
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoApprove 39% 10% 68% 36% 35% 43% 50% 30%Disapprove 44 83 15 43 52 37 41 58DK/NA 17 8 18 21 14 21 10 12 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspApprove 29% 43% 39% 49% 32% 41% 37% 57% 42%Disapprove 49 40 45 38 58 47 52 10 36DK/NA 22 17 16 12 10 12 11 32 22
Us Election 2020: Why Trump Gained Support Among Minorities
Despite his election defeat, President Donald Trump can boast a success that has intrigued pollsters – he was more popular with ethnic minority voters than in 2016.
Some might find this surprising given that his critics so accused him of racism and Islamophobia. Trump denies the charges and has accused Democrats of taking African Americans voters for granted.
The Republican president gained six percentage points among black men, and five percentage points among Hispanic women. It means some voters changed their minds, after either not voting or voting for another candidate in 2016.
But it tells us something about Trump’s unique appeal.
“I was definitely more liberal growing up – my grandmother was big in the civil rights movement here in Texas during the 60s, and I grew up with that ideology.”
Mateo Mokarzel, 40, is a graduate student from Houston, Texas and is of mixed heritage, Mexican and Lebanese. He didn’t vote in 2016, and he isn’t loyal to either major party – but this time around he decided to cast his vote for the Republicans.
“The first time Trump ran I really wasn’t convinced. I just thought, here’s this celebrity talk-show host guy that wants to run for president, I didn’t take him seriously – so I was not a Trump supporter the first time he ran. To be honest, I thought he was a ringer for Hillary, so I just wasn’t interested,” he tells BBC News.
But Mokarzel says his upbringing in Texas influenced his view of both political parties.
Question20 Do You Approve Or Disapprove Of The Way Joe Biden Is Handling
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoApprove 48% 9% 84% 43% 39% 56% 57% 36%Disapprove 43 88 7 45 53 33 39 57DK/NA 9 2 9 12 8 10 4 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspApprove 44% 52% 46% 54% 35% 51% 43% 70% 54%Disapprove 42 40 48 39 60 43 51 10 34DK/NA 14 8 6 7 4 7 6 20 12 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME............<30K 30-50 50-100 100-200 200K+Approve 47% 53% 50% 43% 49%Disapprove 37 38 43 52 49DK/NA 16 9 7 5 2
A Large Share Of Republicans Want Trump To Remain Head Of The Party Cnbc Survey Shows
A CNBC survey conducted in the days before former President Donald Trump‘s impeachment trial finds a large share of Republicans want him to remain head of their party, but a majority of Americans want him out of politics.
The CNBC All-America Economic Survey shows 54% of Americans want Trump “to remove himself from politics entirely.” That was the sentiment of 81% of Democrats and 47% of Independents, but only 26% of Republicans.
When it comes to Republicans, 74% want him to stay active in some way, including 48% who want him to remain head of the Republican Party, 11% who want him to start a third party, and 12% who say he should remain active in politics but not as head of any party.
“If we’re talking about Donald Trump’s future, at the moment, the survey shows he still has this strong core support within his own party who really want him to continue to be their leader,” said Jay Campbell, a partner with Hart Research and the Democratic pollster for the survey.
But Micah Roberts, the survey’s Republican pollster, and a partner with Public Opinion Strategies, emphasized the change from when Trump was president. Polls before the election regularly showed Trump with GOP approval ratings around 90%, meaning at least some Republicans have defected from Trump.
Voting Methods In The 2020 Presidential Election
The 2020 election brought a huge change in howAmericans cast their ballots. As some states looked to adapt to challenges in administering elections amid the COVID-19 pandemic, large numbers of voters were offered expanded access to absentee and vote-by-mail options in the 2020 election. As a result, a record number of voters said they cast their ballots this way . And smaller shares of voters said they either voted in person on Election Day or in person before Election Day .
A majority of absentee voters said they had previously voted this way before the 2020 election . Still, a sizable share said the November election was the first time they had cast an absentee or mail ballot.
Sizable shares of voters across racial and ethnic subgroups cast absentee or mail-in ballots in the 2020 election – though there are some differences in voting methods when comparing across groups. White voters were most likely to say they voted in person on Election Day . Comparably smaller shares of Black and Hispanic voters said the same.
Black voters were more likely than White or Hispanic voters to say they cast their ballot in person before Election Day .
Voters ages 65 and older stand out in their voting behavior: 55% say they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election – 13 percentage points higher than the share of adults under 65 who cast a ballot by mail.
Question1a Do You Approve Or Disapprove Of The Way Joe Biden Is Handling His Job As President Combined With: Do You Strongly Or Somewhat Approve/disapprove
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoApprove strongly 34% 6% 63% 29% 25% 43% 44% 22%Approve smwht 14 4 22 13 13 15 12 12Disapprove smwht 6 9 3 9 8 4 7 8Disapprove strongly 34 79 4 32 42 27 31 50DK/NA 11 3 8 18 11 11 6 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspApprove strongly 20% 38% 38% 46% 21% 38% 30% 70% 32%Approve smwht 25 14 10 8 12 12 12 14 21Disapprove smwht 10 5 5 2 8 7 7 3 8Disapprove strongly 26 34 41 37 52 35 43 2 20DK/NA 20 9 6 8 7 8 7 12 19
More Than Half Of Young Americans Are Going Through An Extended Period Of Feeling Down Depressed Or Hopeless In Recent Weeks; 28% Have Had Thoughts That They Would Be Better Off Dead Or Of Hurting Themself In Some Way
Fifty-one percent of young Americans say that at least several days in the last two weeks they have felt down, depressed, or hopeless–19% say they feel this way more than half of the time. In addition, 68% have little energy, 59% say they have trouble with sleep, 52% find little pleasure in doing things. 49% have a poor appetite or are over-eating, 48% cite trouble concentrating, 32% are moving so slowly, or are fidgety to the point that others notice — and 28% have had thoughts of self-harm
Among those most likely to experience bouts of severe depression triggering thoughts that they would be better off dead or hurting themself are young people of color , whites without a college experience , rural Americans , and young Americans not registered to vote .
In the last two weeks, 53% of college students have said that their mental health has been negatively impacted by school or work-related issues; overall 34% have been negatively impacted by the coronavirus, 29% self-image, 29% personal relationships, 28% social isolation, 25% economic concerns, 22% health concerns–and 21% politics .
Question19 Do You Approve Or Disapprove Of The Way Joe Biden Is Handling
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoApprove 65% 34% 89% 65% 59% 70% 76% 54%Disapprove 30 62 8 28 35 26 22 40DK/NA 5 4 3 7 6 4 2 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspApprove 63% 66% 62% 72% 57% 65% 61% 93% 64%Disapprove 30 29 36 24 39 29 34 4 30DK/NA 7 4 2 4 5 5 5 3 6 REGION................... DENSITY............ NEast MWest South West City Suburb RuralApprove 71% 68% 62% 61% 75% 65% 51%Disapprove 22 28 34 33 21 32 41DK/NA 6 4 4 6 4 3 7
Question5 Is Your Opinion Of Donald Trump Favorable Unfavorable Or Haven’t You Heard Enough About Him
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoFavorable 37% 84% 4% 35% 46% 28% 29% 52%Unfavorable 57 13 91 57 47 66 68 44Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 4 2 2 3 1 1REFUSED 3 2 1 5 4 3 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspFavorable 29% 38% 42% 39% 52% 38% 45% 5% 30%Unfavorable 59 57 53 58 44 60 52 82 57Hvn't hrd enough 7 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 10REFUSED 5 3 3 1 3 1 2 9 3
Question34 Do You Support Or Oppose Raising Taxes On Corporations In Order To Pay For Improvements To The Nation’s Infrastructure
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoSupport 61% 28% 87% 59% 56% 66% 67% 50%Oppose 32 66 7 35 39 26 30 44DK/NA 6 6 6 6 5 7 2 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspSupport 67% 60% 54% 65% 51% 60% 56% 76% 71%Oppose 23 34 42 31 46 34 40 16 20DK/NA 9 6 4 4 3 6 4 8 10 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME............<30K 30-50 50-100 100-200 200K+Support 64% 71% 65% 54% 62%Oppose 29 26 34 42 36DK/NA 8 3 1 4 2
Demographic Profiles Of Trump And Biden Voters
As was the case in the 2016 and 2018 elections, the Democratic voting coalition in 2020 looked quite different from the Republican coalition in several respects. Overall, Biden voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters.
In 2020, 85% of voters who cast a ballot for Trump were White non-Hispanic; this compares with just 61% of Biden voters. These differences are roughly consistent with the share of White voters in each party’s coalition in 2016.
Nearly two-in-ten voters who cast a ballot for Biden in the 2020 election were Black, identical to the share of Clinton voters in 2016 who were Black. That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black .
The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections – but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clinton’s 2016 voters.
Overall, urban voters continue to constitute a larger share of the Democratic coalition compared with the Republican coalition. And rural voters remain a significantly larger portion of the Republican electorate.
However, when comparing Clinton’s voters with Biden’s, there are some significant shifts. In 2016, about half of Clinton’s voters described their communities as suburban , while 32% said they were from an urban area and 19% were from a rural area.
The Institute Of Politics At Harvard University
April 23, 2021
A national poll of America’s 18-to-29 year olds released today by the Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School shows that despite the state of our politics, hope for America among young people is rising dramatically, especially among people of color. As more young Americans are likely to be politically engaged than they were a decade ago, they overwhelmingly approve of the job President Biden is doing, favor progressive policies, and have faith in their fellow Americans.
In the March 9-22 survey of 2,513 young Americans, the Harvard Youth Poll looked at views regarding the Biden administration’s first 100 days, the future of the Republican Party, mental health, and the impacts of social media.
“As millennials and Gen Z become the largest voting bloc, their values and participation provide hope for the future and also a sense of urgency that our country must address the pressing issues that concern them,” said Mark Gearan ‘78, Director, Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School.
“What we see in this year’s Harvard Youth Poll is how great the power of politics really is,” said John Della Volpe, the Director of Polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics. “With a new president and the temperature of politics turned down after the election, young Americans are more hopeful, more politically active, and they have more faith in their fellow Americans.”
Top findings of this survey, the 41st in a biannual series, include the following:
Percent Of Republican Voters Think Donald Trump Could Get Reinstated As President This Year
A new from Morning Consult/Politico found that 29 percent of Republican voters in the U.S. think Donald Trump will be reinstated as president this year.
Of the 29 percent who said they believe Trump will be back in the White House, 17 percent of voters said it was a “very likely” scenario and 12 percent said it was “somewhat likely.”
Still, a majority of don’t think it’s likely the former president will regain the Oval Office. Thirty-nine percent thought it was “not likely at all” and 22 percent said it was “not very likely.”
Overall, 72 percent of voters polled said it’s unlikely that Trump will be reinstated as commander-in-chief.
More than three-quarters of respondents, 77 percent, said they believe America’s democracy is being threatened—including 82 percent of Republicans and 77 percent of .
The survey’s findings come roughly one week after New York Times Washington correspondent Maggie Haberman reported that the former president was saying he expects to be back in the White House by the summer’s end.
“Trump has been telling a number of people he’s in contact with that he expects he will get reinstated by August ,” Haberman posted to on June 1.
Haberman’s tweet also reposted a report on Trump supporters and QAnon believers anticipating a Myanmar-style coup to restore Trump’s presidential power.
Soon after, The Washington Post reported that pro-Trump lawyer Sidney Powell said she believed Trump should be “reinstated” this year.
Question12 Do You Think The Democratic Party Is Moving In The Right Direction Or The Wrong Direction
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoRight direction 44% 7% 80% 38% 35% 52% 51% 33%Wrong direction 46 92 9 50 55 37 43 59DK/NA 10 2 11 13 10 11 6 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspRight direction 38% 45% 44% 51% 30% 48% 39% 69% 44%Wrong direction 44 46 51 44 64 44 54 20 33DK/NA 18 10 5 5 6 8 7 11 23
Question2 Do You Approve Or Disapprove Of The Way The Republicans In Congress Are Handling Their Job
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoApprove 25% 54% 11% 21% 26% 23% 16% 33%Disapprove 64 36 80 67 65 63 80 58DK/NA 11 9 9 12 9 14 4 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspApprove 22% 28% 27% 24% 29% 26% 27% 17% 22%Disapprove 59 61 64 70 65 66 66 71 56DK/NA 18 11 9 7 7 8 7 12 22
With Nearly Unanimous Republican Support Donald Trump Is The 2024 Gop Frontrunner
Despite losing his 2020 re-election bid, President Donald Trump is in a unique position to maintain his power over the Republican Party through 2024 as he currently has the support of 90 percent of GOP voters.
A roundup of year-ending 2020 polls and surveys shows that Trump holds the support of about 9 in 10—or in some cases even higher percentages—of self-identified Republicans. With no clear messaging or successor to the outgoing president, Trump’s approval rating stands at a staggering 89 percent within the GOP, the latest CNN and Gallup polls show. In the modern polling era of U.S. politics, no one-term losing president has ever left the White House with more party support than Trump.
However, in what may become just a two-party, binary battle of turnout in 2024, Trump only holds the support of between 1 and 2 percent of Democrats, the same voters who just successfully propelled President-elect Joe Biden to the Oval Office.
With job performance averages hovering at about 90 percent, Trump’s post-election polling numbers are the strongest of any president who lost their re-election campaign for a second term. No other potential 2024 GOP prospects—including Vice President Mike Pence and former U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Nikki Haley—come within 70 percentage points of Trump.
Question13 Would You Say That Joe Biden Is Doing A Better Job As President Than You Expected A Worse Job Or About What You Expected
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoBetter 21% 4% 38% 17% 19% 24% 24% 16%Worse 24 57 2 23 30 18 24 33As expected 52 39 58 56 50 55 51 49DK/NA 3 1 1 4 2 4 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspBetter 15% 25% 22% 26% 17% 19% 18% 37% 22%Worse 15 24 29 27 34 26 30 1 15As expected 65 49 48 44 48 51 50 59 57DK/NA 5 2 1 2 1 3 2 3 5
Question27 As You May Know President Biden Has Decided To Withdraw All Us Troops From Afghanistan By September 11 2021 Do You Approve Or Disapprove Of President Biden’s Decision
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoApprove 62% 41% 75% 63% 61% 62% 65% 54%Disapprove 29 49 15 29 32 26 26 37DK/NA 9 10 9 7 7 12 8 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspApprove 66% 62% 64% 57% 59% 56% 58% 78% 64%Disapprove 22 30 29 34 34 33 33 14 25DK/NA 12 8 7 9 7 11 9 8 11 Mltry HshldApprove 59%Disapprove 36DK/NA 5
% Would Support Him In A Hypothetical 2024 Primary A Return To Pre
-
59% of GOP voters said Trump should play a “major role” in the Republican Party going forward, up 18 points since a Jan. 6-7 survey.
-
The share of Republicans who said Trump is at least somewhat responsible for the events of Jan. 6 is down 14 points, to 27%, from early January.
-
Overall, 51% of voters disapproved of Trump’s acquittal by the Senate.
Former President Donald Trump has emerged from his second impeachment trial relatively unscathed with Republican voters in yet another sign of his continued strength with the party’s base.
According to a Morning Consult/Politico poll conducted at the conclusion of the Senate’s weeklong trial, a majority of Republican voters said they would support Trump in a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary election – matching the share who said the same in late November, before his standing dipped in a survey conducted shortly after the deadly Jan. 6 riot at the Capitol.
Trump has not said whether he will take another shot at a second term, but suggestions that the trial and fallout from the insurrection would doom the former president’s comeback chances are not borne out by trend data among Republican voters.
The base’s increased appetite for the former president’s continued presence on the political stage came as Republican voters became less likely to blame Trump for the events that led to the riot.
Question11 Do You Think The Republican Party Is Moving In The Right Direction Or The Wrong Direction
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoRight direction 30% 66% 12% 24% 34% 25% 19% 40%Wrong direction 57 22 77 60 53 61 75 49DK/NA 13 12 11 16 13 14 6 12 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspRight direction 29% 27% 32% 34% 38% 27% 33% 16% 26%Wrong direction 55 59 56 57 55 61 58 68 51DK/NA 16 14 12 8 7 12 10 16 23
Question24 Do You Approve Or Disapprove Of The Way Joe Biden Is Handling
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoApprove 29% 11% 46% 29% 27% 31% 35% 22%Disapprove 51 78 34 47 57 46 49 60DK/NA 20 11 20 24 16 24 16 17 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspApprove 14% 34% 31% 42% 23% 29% 27% 38% 40%Disapprove 64 49 51 40 64 50 57 30 38DK/NA 22 17 18 19 12 21 17 32 22
Most Republicans Still Believe 2020 Election Was Stolen From Trump Poll
May opinion poll finds that 53% of Republicans believe Trump is the ‘true president’ compared with 3% of Democrats
A majority of Republicans still believe Donald Trump won the 2020 US presidential election and blame his loss to Joe Biden on baseless claims of illegal voting, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll.
The 17-19 May national poll found that 53% of believe Trump, their party’s nominee, is the “true president” now, compared with 3% of Democrats and 25% of all Americans.
About one-quarter of adults falsely believe the 3 November election was tainted by illegal voting, including 56% of Republicans, according to the poll. The figures were roughly the same in a poll that ran from 13-17 November which found that 28% of all Americans and 59% of Republicans felt that way.
Biden, a Democrat, won by more than 7m votes. Dozens of courts rejected Trump’s challenges to the results, but Trump and his supporters have persisted in pushing baseless conspiracy theories on conservative news outlets.
US federal and state officials have said repeatedly they have no evidence that votes were compromised or altered during the presidential election, rejecting the unsubstantiated claims of widespread fraud advanced by Trump and many of his supporters. Voter fraud is extremely rare in the US.
Still, 67% of overall respondents say they trust election officials in their town to do their job honestly, including 58% of Republicans, according to the poll.
Despite The State Of Our Politics Hope For America Is Rising And So Is Youths Faith In Their Fellow Americans
In the fall of 2017, only 31% of young Americans said they were about the future of America; 67% were fearful. Nearly four years later, we find that 56% have hope. While the hopefulness of young whites has increased 11 points, from 35% to 46% — the changes in attitudes among young people of color are striking. Whereas only 18% of young Blacks had hope in 2017, today 72% are hopeful . In 2017, 29% of Hispanics called themselves hopeful, today that number is 69% .
The Latest Sign Of Donald Trump’s Hold On The Gop
Analysis by Lauren Dezenski, CNN
A vast majority of Republicans are still all in on former President Donald Trump — and a new CBS/YouGov poll reveals just how deep the obsession within the party goes.
- 89% want a Trumpian take on economic issues.
- 88% want to follow Trump’s example on immigration issues.
- 77% prefer Trump’s model for how to treat the media.
In each episode of his weekly YouTube show, Chris Cillizza will delve a little deeper into the surreal world of politics. Click to subscribe!
put itCheney’s stand against TrumpThe Point: Bad news for those searching for signs of a non-Trump path within the Republican Party. Right now, the vast majority of GOP members are still very big on the former President — and not much else.
