Ron Desantis’ Odds Of Winning The 2024 Us Presidential Election
The biggest riser on the presidential election odds board is DeSantis, who was +6,600 a year ago, +550 at the start of July, and is now at +200 .
DeSantis won his first gubernatorial race by less than a percentage point but triumphed by nearly 20 points this time around, making a case that he has a better chance of defeating the Dems in a general election.
At 44 years old, DeSantis is just entering his political prime and has become a Republican firebrand figure for his laissez-faire policies during the COVID-19 pandemic, his enactment of the Stop WOKE Act, and his efforts to curb illegal immigration.
If DeSantis does announce he intends to run for the party nomination things could get messy between the former allies with Trump already mocking him as “Ron DeSanctimonious.”
Trump warned DeSantis against entering the presidential race on Tuesday, telling reporters, “I would tell you things about him that won’t be very flattering I know more about him than anybody other than, perhaps, his wife.”
What To Know About Kevin Mccarthy Who Wants To Be Next House Speaker
The California Republican has said he wants to be a “check” on Democrats.
House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy is, for the second time, seeking to become speaker — and for the second time is facing a possibly insurmountable challenge from his party’s right flank.
While the California representative failed to earn enough support to win the gavel during the first vote — the first such defeat in a century — he remains the favorite of most of his conference to ultimately run the House after it convened for the new Congress on Tuesday.
But what would he do with that power?
McCarthy would not only be second in line to the presidency, he would also have influence over the legislation that is considered in one half of Congress and which Republicans hold sway on committees overseeing the Pentagon, federal agencies and more.
But should he be speaker, he will continue to have to manage tensions between various factions in his party, each of whom will see their power rise in a narrowly divided chamber.
Here’s how McCarthy again arrived on the precipice of the House speakership and what he’s said about his goals.
Key Points From This Article
Donald Trumps bid for a third Republican presidential nomination opens the 2024 presidential election.
The former president achieved only limited victories in the 2022 national and state elections.
But the structure of the Republican party provides him with many institutional advantages in the nomination race.
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Democrats Are Throwing Away A Chance To Have Kevin Mccarthy In The Palms Of Their Hands
It is axiomatic that Democrats will find a way to profit whenever chaos occurs. It is difficult to understand, therefore, why any of them failed to come to the rescue of Commie California Republican Kevin McCarthy as his bid to become speaker of the House actually started to unravel.
It has been clear for days that McCarthys plan to lead the chamber has been imperiled by colleagues from within the Republican Party who have for months been plotting against him. Its not that they think him too liberal its that they regard him as untrustworthy.
Thats not the kind of breach that can be healed with concessions, as McCarthy found out on the first ballot. Of the 222 Republicans slated to be members of the Republican Party Conference, 19 voted for someone besides him to be the speaker.
This is where the Democrats had an opening. Chaos is coming, no matter who ultimately is elected. The issues with McCarthy are not and will never be easily papered over.
Putting him in the chair thus leaving him in their debt over the next two years would have been an ironclad guarantee the new speaker would have spent more time fighting for his political life than for the spending restraints he has identified as central to what he wants to do.
Having a Republican Party speaker actually if not just theoretically in debt to the opposition for his position would send the anti-Biden plan straight into a brick wall.
Donald Trump Political Prop Bets
We have a page that specifically covers bets that lie outside the standard betting lines for candidates, including current Donald Trump political prop bets.
You will find prop bets for Presidential debates, which party will win, odds Trump will be impeached , and even which nicknames Donald Trump will call his various Democrat opponents via Twitter .
Mini Mike Bloomberg is one of his latest masterpieces, though Andrew Coma is perhaps his most biting of the last few years.
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Presidential Election Odds: Who Will Run For President In 2024
Although New York sports betting laws do not allow betting on presidential elections, as soon as Joe Biden had been declared the winner over 45th President Donald Trump, sports betting sites across Europe where political betting is legal began pricing up who would win the 2024 election.
If you’re interested in event betting in New York please visit:
Bidens Best Hope For 2024 Might Be Donald Trump
President Biden sees himself as the Democrat with the best chance of beating former President Trump.
The president is suffering from anemic approval ratings, with a recent poll showing a majority of Democrats dont want him to be the partys nominee in 2024.
Hes facing record high inflation, a turbulent political and media environment, and deep frustration within his party over its inability to protect abortion rights and take action on climate change.
Its no wonder many are beginning to look for alternatives in two years as Democrats face the prospect of a tough midterm election in which they could lose the House and Senate majorities.
Yet the same New York Times-Siena College poll that had terrible news for Biden also showed he would still beat Trump in a head-to-head match-up 44 percent to 40 percent if the next presidential election were held today.
Its pretty clear that the strongest argument for Biden 2024 is a Biden vs. Trump rematch, said Democratic strategist Joel Payne.
In the Times poll, Bidens approval rating hit a low of 33 percent, and it showed a majority of Democrats want someone other than him to run in 2024.
Yet one top Democratic donor said the poll showing Biden beating Trump, who could announce a new run for the White House any day, is giving the president some life at a time when he really needs it.
Given Bidens political problems, the 2024 scenario is setting itself up as quite the conundrum for Democrats.
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Kamela Harris is strong as a newcomer with 13 per cent. Harris has the advantage of being U.S. Senator from voter-rich California. If Biden continues to stumble, she could be in the thick of the hunt against Sanders.
Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren lies in fourth place with 8 per cent. While many liberals begged her to run in 2016, she opted out, probably not wanting to run against Hillary. Some say her time has passed, but she is still within striking distance. Her disadvantage now is that she may no longer be liberal enough for the party of Sanders and Carmen.
Beto has parlayed his stump speech and strength in Texas to already garner 7 per cent which places him squarely in the race. His Texas roots help him. As others fall out of the race, he could move up.
Five per cent like New Jersey Senator Cory Booker. as their favorite while liberal Minnesota Amy Kobuchar claims 3 per cent.
Will Trump Run In 2024 Odds
As for Trump, he remains the favorite at +333. There are plenty of long shots on the board this time around given the current political climate. The US elected Trump, who had no previous political experience, in 2016. Simply being a celebrity with a sizable following seems to be enough these days. Its why names like Dwayne Johnson, Tucker Carlson and Dave Portnoy have been on the board for months.
The first deciding events in an election year are the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, which usually take place in February. Although the winners of these party-specific races arent necessarily shoe-ins for their partys nominations, the results of these events can impact the odds greatly.
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Pete Buttigieg Mayor Of South Bend Ind
After rising to the top of the polls in Iowa, Mr. Buttigieg finally found himself under assault at a debate.
He sought to defuse the attacks against him by arguing that his critics were being naïve about what it will take to defeat Mr. Trump and that he was a more formidable candidate than his age 37 may suggest.
This is our only chance to defeat Donald Trump, and we shouldnt do it with one hand tied behind our back, Mr. Buttigieg said in response to Ms. Warrens criticism about his fund-raising practices.
And when Ms. Klobuchar targeted him for losing a statewide election and his bid for Democratic National Committee chairman, he fired back by highlighting his own capacity to win in the Midwest.
If you want to talk about the capacity to win, try putting together a coalition to bring you back to office with 80 percent of the vote as a gay dude in Mike Pences Indiana, Mr. Buttigieg said.
He proved his dexterity by parrying the attacks against him, but the question is now if he can sustain his advantage after having doubts raised about his candidacy in such stark fashion.
The Rock’s Odds Of Winning The 2024 Us Presidential Election
What would election betting odds be without some celebrity long-shots? For one, Kanye West emerged as a massive underdog candidate in the last election. Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson is also currently sitting at a relatively high +4,000 , ahead of former presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.
The former WWE champion and current action movie star has shown interest in politics and even stated in a Vanity Fair interview that he has done research into what that could entail.
That said, he’s also been very frank about his lack of experience in politics and recently ruled out the prospect of running for president, saying “it’s off the table.” You might as well take a lighter to your money if you consider betting on The Rock at this point in the election cycle.
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Opinionkamala Harris Candidacy Requires A Nuanced Debate About Her Record Race And Gender Is The Left Ready
When it comes to Bidens likability, he soars among almost every demographic and is more favorable than Donald Trump . However, Biden also sits atop all the potential 2020 candidates as the only candidate with a favorability over 50 percent, according to late December Quinnipiac polling.
Biden has a track record of working across the aisle to get things done. Biden was the guy who negotiated the fiscal cliff deal with Senator Mitch McConnell as well as a major part of the 2010 deal that extended the Bush tax cuts, because he doesnt view Republicans as enemies, he knows he needs to work with them in order to get things done. This is exactly the right tone that needs to be set on the campaign trail especially as Republican voters in general and Trump supporters in particular feel vilified by the media.
Just this week, he responded to criticism of himself in the New York Times for being bipartisan saying, I read in the New York Times today that one of my problems if I were to run for president, I like Republicans. OK, well bless me father for I have sinned.
Final Thoughts On Republican Odds
All in all, the biggest threat to Trump not being the nominee in 2024 isnt another candidate, but time itself. If he isnt the nominee, it is unlikely to be because he ran a credible campaign and lost, but more likely to be because either health concerns or legal liability kept him out of the race. While both of those concerns are valid things to concern prospective Trump bettors, it is hard to say that those make it so anybody, even Ron DeSantis, should be considered a favorite in Republican odds over the former President.
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Can Bernie Sanders Defeat Biden And Trump
Avowed Socialist Bernie Sanders has become a force to be reckoned with in the Democratic Party since he came within a nose of defeating Hillary Clinton for the 2016 nomination. Sanders has taken the party far to the Left in his role as a Socialist.
One drawback for Sanders may be bitter Hillary Clinton supporters who believe he cost her the election to Trump in 2016. He has filed as an Independent for Senator and as a Democrat for president.
Will Clinton supporters fight Bernie in the nomination process this year? Some of their antagonism toward him are based on the fact Sanders failure to run only as a Democrat confused many voters into thinking there isn’t much difference between the Republican and Democratic parties. Therefore, many voters may have supported Trump.
Ron Desantis Wins In 2024
DeSantis is the bookies favorite, the bettors favorite and leads both Trump and Biden in the polls right now. He has the support of his growing base and plenty of financial muscle to mount a successful presidential campaign. Two big questions are out there. Will DeSantis run? Can he survive a primary against Trump? Can anyone? Will the Republican Party split in two?
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Can Donald Trump Run Again In 2024
Yes, Donald Trump can run for re-election in 2024.
Only Grover Cleveland has served two non-consecutive terms as president in US history, serving his first from 1885-1889 and his second from 1893-1897. Despite the fact that Trump just got the second-most votes for a presidential candidate in US history, there is one big reason why he may have an uphill climb to secure a third nomination from the Republican Party.
In June of 2024, Trump will turn 78 years old. That would make him the oldest major-party presidential candidate in US history, setting him up to be pushing 83 when his potential second term would end.
UK books currently favor Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, and Ivanka Trump to be the GOP nominee in 2024. Either Haley or Ivanka Trump would be the first female presidential nominee in the history of the Republican Party. Ivanka Trump would also be the first daughter of a president to receive such a nomination.
Who Has The Best Chance To Beat Trump
Reflecting recent polls, readers dont agree on a particular candidate.
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To the Editor:
The election is going to be won or lost depending on which party gets voters to show up to vote, and who sits at home.
For over 30 years, the moderate wing has controlled the Democratic Party sometimes successfully, too often not. Moderates have wasted valuable time and effort trying to negotiate with Republicans when Republicans see negotiation as a sign of weakness. Rather than leading with ideas, Democratic leaders check the latest polls before making a decision. Far too often they have run timid instead of standing up for what they believe.
Now we are faced with the most important election of our lives, and moderates are telling us how terrible it will be if we nominate a liberal. I dont agree with Bernie Sanders on a lot of issues and would much rather see Elizabeth Warren as the leader of the liberal wing of the party, but both have the passion and fight to stand up for what they believe.
If we want minorities and young people to show up on Election Day, I would trust either of them over Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Michael Bloomberg or Joe Biden.
I fear that a moderate candidate will lose to President Trump.
John HallinanStoughton, Wis.
To the Editor:
Tim Taylor
Charles BeckerNovato, Calif.
To the Editor:
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Where Trump Stands In Early 2024 Polls
The former presidents support has not collapsed. But Republican voters appear strikingly open to another Florida-based politician.
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Donald Trumps support in the Republican Party has not collapsed, and perhaps it never will. But a look at the major polls taken since Election Day suggests that the ice is shifting beneath his feet.
The data also shows Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida gaining ground in hypothetical 2024 matchups, even though he has yet to declare his intentions.
And it underscores the careful line any presidential hopeful must walk with Republican voters whatever they might think about Trumps third bid for the White House, theres little evidence of a clear anti-Trump majority that wants to repudiate him altogether.
One of the sharpest articulations of this point Ive seen came from Nate Hochman, a conservative writer. If DeSantis allows himself to be defined as the Never Trump or even the anti-Trump candidate, he will be permanently discredited in the eyes of many of the voters he needs to win, Hochman wrote in an essay for Unherd. If he can convince those voters that he is the next step in the MAGA movement, he may just have a chance.
