Team Gop Plan: Chess Or Checkers
The opinion reflected in, Team GOP, whats your plan now? is short sighted when it implies that President Trump lost because of his personality. That implication ignores two inconvenient truths for many Republicans who buy in to the Democrat and media narrative that blame the candidate instead of the reality on the ground.
First is the reality that whoever the Republican presidential candidate, he or she would have been vilified as have been Republican presidential candidates and Republican presidents for decades.
President Reagan throughout his two terms in office was repeatedly denigrated in the media and by Democrats as a clown, and actor. President Herbert Walker Bush, a World Word II combat veteran, was depicted on the cover of Newsweek magazine during his campaign for president against then Arkansas Governor Clinton , as having the wimp factor. President George W. Bush throughout his eight years in office was repeatedly accused of stealing the presidential election and labeled as illegitimate. Those who questioned the result of his election in 2000 were heralded as heroes of democracy, and freedom of speech to question the election was passionately defended by Democrats, Republicans, and media alike.
Sydney Dean is an attorney in Huntsville and proud Army veteran.
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But First How Different Parts Of The Country Voted
If you paid any attention to the US presidential election we just had, youve probably seen some version of the map below. I made this one using the county-level election data I mentioned. Darker red means a higher percentage of that county voted for Trump. Lighter red means the county still went Republican overall , but by smaller margins. Same concept goes for the blues, for counties that went for Biden.
So much red! Any map like this is, of course, misleading. Lands dont vote. People vote. Joe Biden won ~51.4% of the popular vote, versus Donald Trumps ~46.9% a difference of more than seven million votes. Thats why I like what the web comic xkcd created: an election map oriented around population instead of land.
Now, to the question that this project set out to answer: are TV show preferences correlated with voting behavior? It turns out the answer is actually yes, much more so than I ever expected.
Meta Reflections From This Data Project
I wanted to come up with a clever wrap-up to this blog post, but honestly, theres nothing that tops hot dogs. May you entertain yourself this evening with a TV show true to your political self.
Annie L. Lin is a People Operations and Business Operations leader who thinks in numbers and talks in charts. She tells data stories about business, culture, politics, and everyday life. Shes on a perpetual quest for interesting datasets and cheesy puns.
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Who will win the political election in your house?
Because the Democratic candidates are not yet known, youll obtain two empty podiums to play currently. As soon as the candidate is selected, you will certainly be alerted to finish your set. The 2020 Fight For The Political Chess Set As Seen On TV also comes with an independently numbered Certificate of Authenticity.
Political Views Of Chess Greats
There was a recent article by a well-known dating site that suggested you have a good chance of guessing a potential partner’s political sympathies by asking whether they prefer simple or complex people around them. A preference for more complexity is correlated with being on the left of the American political spectrum.
This got me thinking: do chess players, given the complexity inherent in the game, have a tendency to also be leftists or liberals? Of course, some players prefer clearer, “simpler” positions–Capablanca, for instance–so it may not be entirely true.
We know that Kasparov is likely somewhere in the liberal area of the political spectrum, given his open opposition to the Putin government in Russia . I suspect Karpov may be similar, given his candidacy for the FIDE presidency against Ilyumzhinov. I have heard some things suggesting Najdorf may have been on the far left , but this is disputed by his family, and his allegedy sympathy with the Cuban revolution would, in its early days, have hardly been out of the political mainstream.
What, then, do we know about the politics of other noted chess players?
Pigeonholing individuals is probably the dumbest and most divisive activity devised by the human race.
Botvinnik was a commited communist. Korchnoi is sexist and both him and Bronstein joined black propaganda against the Soviets. Fischer was a misogynist and racist. Kasparov is a die hard liberal right winger. Karpov is whatever works for him.
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You will receive two empty podiums to play now. When the democratic nominees are announced, you will be notified to complete your set.
Assume theyll charge you extra for the nominees, and again for a new rook should Biden be either.
Embedded above is the television ad for the set, described by Jimmy Traina as the most batshit crazy commercial Ive ever seen.
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This Is A Real Thing: The 2020 Election Chess Set
Or, as Driftglass calls it, Ã¢If Chris Cillizza Was a Board Game.Ã¢
I am absolutely convinced the only reason they put this out was to portray Mike Pence as a Republican Queen.
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Break With And Ejection From Fide
With the World Champion title in hand, Kasparov began opposing FIDE. In November 1986, he created the Grandmasters Association , an organization to represent professional chess players and give them more say in FIDEÃ¢s activities. Kasparov assumed a leadership role. GMAÃ¢s major achievement was in organizing a series of six World Cup tournaments for the worldÃ¢s top players. A somewhat uneasy relationship developed with FIDE and a sort of truce were brokered by Bessel Kok, a Dutch businessman.
This stand-off lasted until 1993, by which time a new challenger had qualified through the Candidates cycle for KasparovÃ¢s next World Championship defence: Nigel Short, a British grandmaster who had defeated Anatoly Karpov in a qualifying match and then in the finals held in early 1993. After a confusing and compressed bidding process produced lower financial estimates than expected, the world champion and his challenger decided to play outside FIDEÃ¢s jurisdiction, under another organization created by Kasparov called the Professional Chess Association . At this point, a great fracture occurred in the lineage of the FIDE World Championship. In an interview in 2007, Kasparov called the break with FIDE the worst mistake of his career, as it hurt the game in the long run.
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An Exploration Of The Connections Between Tv Show And Presidential Candidate Preferences
Last year, I came across this 2016 Upshot article from The New York Times. Besides being an example of beautiful data storytelling, the premise of the content intrigued me. Is there actually a connection between what TV shows people like and how they vote in elections? NYTimes claims so. But as much as I loved the article, I was left wanting more. The article never went into detail on the actual correlations between TV and politics. So I decided to investigate further, through the lens of the most recent U.S. presidential election.
The New York Times article used data from Facebook page likes for TV shows. I do not have access to these data, so I used as my proxy for show preferences. Google Trends allows users to see how popular a particular search term or topic is in a given geography over a given period of time. So if I type in Queens Gambit, the relatively new hit Netflix miniseries , I can see all types of information about the show. Like, for example, how its popularity has evolved over time, as measured by the volume of Google searches:
The show came out on October 23rd, 2020 right where that graph peaks in the chart above. We can also see where the show was most popular over the past year:
It looks like within the U.S., Washington, DC, and Vermont are particularly fond of the show, or at least fond of Googling the show. North Dakota, on the other hand, doesnt care.
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Bringin It All Together
I expected TV preferences and political preferences to be related. I did not quite expect the correlations to be this significant or widespread.
Heres how our top 12 shows stack together, in descending order of how strongly affiliated it is with presidential preference:
So apparently, your choices in TV shows can say a lot about your politics. Next time you want to fly your partisan flag loud and proud, suggest Schitts Creek or Young Sheldon as the evening entertainment. If, however, you want to avoid stirring the pot at your Thanksgiving family gathering, put on Chicago PD or Cobra Kai.
And of course, if your goal is to maximize looks of bewilderment, you should stream Tiger King. Obviously.
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Why Do Muslims Side With The Democrats In The Us
The Democrats tend to defend Muslims in the United States. However, the Democrats also seem to defend a lot of values that are not necessarily shared by many Muslims.
For example, just like among Christians, abortion is a topic of concern for Muslims. But the Democrats are very strong supports of abortion.
Homosexuality is also an issue, and sodomy is prohibited in some Muslim countries- . But the Democrats support homosexuality and now transgenderism.
So how do we make Islam compatible with the ideology of the Democrats? Or would a lot of Muslims be Republicans if not for Donald Trump and people like him on the side of the Republicans?
In some restaurants, when you order your food, the waitress will ask you: What would you like for a drink, Pepsi or Coke?
Why does she think that we should choose only between two drinks that incidentally happen to taste and look quite similar to each other?
We should be careful not to fall into the trap of EITHER THIS OR THAT mentality. The Either/Or mentality is strongly promoted by the American system of government. They offer you only two choices, and they expect you to be submissive and choose between what they offer you.
The American political system must be overhauled, and people must form new political parties that promote both righteous social values and just economic and foreign policies.
Its called democracy.
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Democrats Are Playing Checkers While Trump Is Playing Chess
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For Democrats, the warning shots are coming thick and fast.
More than half of Americans dont think Donald Trump is fit to serve as president, yet he has a clear path to winning reelection, Doug Sosnik, who served as President Bill Clintons political director, wrote in the Washington Post last week. Are Democrats Headed for a McGovern Redux? Alan Greenblatt asked in Politico on Oct. 9. On the same day, a New York Magazine headline declared: No One Should Rule Out a Trump Re-election in 2020.
What can Democrats do?
A Pew Research Center survey released earlier this month documented the growth of the partisan divide: the median Republican is now more conservative than 97% of Democrats, and the median Democrat is more liberal than 95% of Republicans. The two accompanying charts illustrate the heights partisanship has reached.
Much of the current polarization is driven by difference of opinion on issues of race and immigration. Ashley Jardina, a political scientist at Duke who has focused much of her research on the racial attitudes of whites, emailed me to comment:
Disrupting this linkage is an uphill battle for Democrats:
Belcher pointed out that
Significantly, Belcher contends, the anxiety about rapid social change is politically salient. Offering economic palliatives will not adequately address that anxiety, he said: