Friday, August 12, 2022

Republican Senators Up For Election

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United States Senate Election In Arizona 2022

Payback Is A Voter: Here Are The Republican Senators Up For Re-Election In Close Races | The ReidOut
Filing deadline: April 4, 2022
Primary: August 2, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022Submit

Voters in Arizonawill elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the general election on November 8, 2022. The primary is scheduled for August 2, 2022. The filing deadline is April 4, 2022.

The election will fill the Class III Senate seat held by , who took office in December 2020 following a special election victory in November 2020.

The previous two Senate electionsheld in 2018 and 2020were both decided by 2.4 percentage points. In 2020, defeated incumbent Sen. in a special election, 51.2% to 48.8%. In 2018, Kyrsten Sinema defeated McSally, 50.0% to 47.6%.

The two most recent presidential elections in Arizona were similarly close. Joe Biden defeated incumbent President Donald Trump by 0.3 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election by 3.6 percentage points.


At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Democratic.

Filed Candidates By Political Party

As of September 7, 2020, 519 candidates were filed with the Federal Election Commission to run for U.S. Senate in 2020. Of those, 402â199 Democrats and 203 Republicansâwere from one of the two major political parties. In 2018, 527 candidates filed with the FEC to run for U.S. Senate, including 137 Democrats and 240 Republicans.

The following chart shows the number of filed candidates by political party.

Potentially Competitive Us Senate Races In 2022

Held by Republicans
State
Maggie HassanBiden +7.4

The Democrats could also have opportunities in Ohio, where Sen. Rob Portman is retiring, and in Florida, home of Sen. Marco Rubio , but both of these once-preeminent swing states have drifted toward the GOP in recent elections and could be tough to pick off in 2022.

The GOPs top two pickup opportunities are also readily apparent: Arizona and Georgia. Both were among the most narrowly decided states that President Biden won, and both have a history of favoring Republicans. Both are home to Democratic incumbents who won their seats in 2020 special elections: Sens. Mark Kelly and Raphael G. Warnock . The GOPs path back to a majority begins with reclaiming these two states.


Beyond that, though, obvious GOP opportunities are harder to come by. Sununus decision not to run leaves less-heralded options in a blue-trending swing state, which went for Biden by seven points last year. Ditto Nevada, where first-term Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto is up for reelection, and the leading GOP candidate is former Attorney General Adam Laxalt, who lost a race for governor in 2018.

Democrats control of the House is arguably more imperiled than their hold on the Senate. Thats a function of the Senate seats that are up for reelection as well as the lay of the land in the House, where Republicans are able to re-draw many more districts in their favor after the 2020 Census.

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Race To 2022 Midterms Begins: Why Pennsylvania Matters Next Year

“Since 1970, when the new election rules took effect, weve never had an open gubernatorial race and open senate race at the same time,” said Yost, who is in charge of the highly-regarded Franklin & Marshall CollegePoll. “Youre going to have a lot more interest than youd normally have because you have two very important statewide campaigns being run.”

Here is a full list of candidates who have filed federal campaign paperwork, and the amount of money they have raised so far, according to federal election filings:


Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report 2020

Senate Republicans all however give up to Trump on wall ...

Ballotpedia’s Annual Congressional Competitiveness report for 2020 includes information on the number of elections featuring candidates from both major parties, the number of open seats, and more.

HIGHLIGHTS

  • More U.S. House races were contested by members of both major parties than in any general election since at least 1920, with 95.4% of races featuring major party competition.
  • Of the U.S. Representatives and U.S. Senators who were eligible to run for re-election in 2018, 55 of them did not appear on the general election ballot in 2020.
  • In the 53 open seats where an incumbent either did not seek re-election or was defeated in a primary, there were 13 races where the incumbent’s district overlapped at least one pivot county in 2008 and 2012, before switching to support President Donald Trump in 2016).
  • In 20 races, only one major party candidate appeared on the general election ballot, the lowest number compared to the preceding decade.
  • Special elections to United States Senate are often required in the event of vacancies. As of December 2021 , there had been no special elections for U.S. Senate scheduled for the 117th Congress.

    Special elections, 2013-2020

    Fifty special elections to the United States Congress were held during the 113th through 116th Congresses. During that time, special elections were called for 16 seats vacated by Democrats and 34 vacated by Republicans.

    Congressional special election vacancies and results, 113th Congress to 116th Congress
    Congress

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    Direct Election Of Senators

    Voters have elected their senators in the privacy of the voting booth since 1913. The framers of the Constitution, however, did not intend senators to be elected in this way and included in Article I, section 3, “The Senate of the United States shall be composed of two Senators from each state, chosen by the legislature thereof for six Years and each Senator shall have one Vote.” The election of delegates to the Constitutional Convention established the precedent for state selection. The framers believed that in electing senators, state legislatures would cement their tie with the national government, which would increase the chances for ratifying the Constitution. They also expected that senators elected by state legislatures would be able to concentrate on the business at hand without pressure from the populace.

    This process seemed to work well until the mid-1850s. At that time, growing hostilities in various states resulted in vacant Senate seats. In Indiana, for example, the conflict between Democrats in the southern half of the state and the emerging Republican Party in the northern half prevented the election of any candidate, thereby leaving the Senate seat vacant for two years. This marked the beginning of many contentious battles in state legislatures, as the struggle to elect senators reflected the increasing tensions over slavery and states’ rights that led to the Civil War.

    The Seventeenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution:

    Attacks Abound In Gop Race

    Running in the 2022 GOP primary against Mandel are author J.D. Vance, former Ohio Republican Party chair Jane Timken, Cleveland car dealer Bernie Moreno and investment banker Mike Gibbons. State Sen. Matt Dolan is also considering a bid and launched a statewide listening tour this summer to inform his decision.

    So, what are their credentials?


    Moreno and Gibbons are wealthy businessmen who have never held elected office. Timken secured her position as GOP chair with Trump’s support. Vance grew up in Appalachia, his family poor and gripped by addiction, before attending Yale and launching a career as a venture capitalist. Mandel is a veteran whose history in politics runs deeper than that of his opponents.

    And as recent financial disclosures showed, Moreno, Timken and Mandel all have huge sums of money to their names.

    “Its kind of hard to claim that youre for the people and youre for the working class when you have seven figures or more in the bank,” said David Cohen, a political science professor at the University of Akron.

    There have been attacks a-plenty since the race started as every candidate clamors for the 45th president’s endorsement. Vance in particular was blasted for bashing Trump and his supporters in 2016, but others have been chided for any ounce of their history that appears out of line with the Trump doctrine.

    They’re also fighting over who’s most likely to raise hell in Washington.


    Vance, for his part, claims that he’s largely ignoring the mud-slinging.

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    Gop Senators Block Debate On Dem Elections Bill

    Republican senators voted on Wednesday to block debate on a Democrat elections bill for the third time this year.

    The Senate voted 50-49 in favor of opening debate on the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act, falling short of the necessary 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Among Republicans, only Senator Lisa Murkowski voted in favor of opening debate.

    Every American deserves equal opportunity to participate in our electoral system and political process, and this bill provides a starting point as we seek broader bipartisan consensus on how best to ensure that, Murkowski said in a statement.


    The bill would have restored provisions of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, requiring districts with a history of voter discrimination to obtain approval from the Justice Department in order to change election rules. The Supreme Court invalidated those provisions of the Voting Rights Act in its decision in Shelby County v. Holder in 2013.

    Video: Senate Dems aim to start debate on voting bill

    Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell took aim at the bill in remarks on the Senate floor before the vote.

    This has become an almost-weekly routine: my friends on the other side trying to give Washington unprecedented power over how Americans vote, McConnell said.

    More on National Review


    General Election Race Ratings

    Republican Sean Parnell suspends Senate campaign in Pennsylvania
    See also: Race rating definitions and methods

    Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

    • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
    • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
    • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
    • Tossup ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

    Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race’s district or state.

    Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Arizona, 2022
    Race tracker

    This section will be updated with information about the political landscape in Arizona.

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    This Is A Charade: Gop Senator Voting Experts Urge Wisconsin Republicans To Halt Election Attacks

    The Republican chair of the Wisconsin Senate elections committee on Monday urged members of her own party to halt their attempts to discredit the bipartisan elections system they created and to oust the states top official.


    The moves began after President Joe Bidens narrow victory over Donald Trump in Wisconsins 2020 presidential race.

    We have a great system here, and no one should falsely accuse election officials of cheating, Sen. Kathleen Bernier, R-Chippewa Falls, said at a state Capitol event organized by Washington, D.C.-based Center for Election Innovation & Research , a nonprofit that works with Republican and Democratic elections officials nationwide. The misinformation and disinformation that has been perpetuated is very frustrating to me.

    Bernier, who oversaw elections for 12 years as the Chippewa County clerk, accused some Republicans of spreading falsehoods about Trumps 2020 election loss to jazz up their political base. And she called on former Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice Michael Gableman to finish his partisan review of the election soon to limit the damage to the Republican Party and Wisconsins democracy.

    I am a Republican. I vote conservative. I want Republicans to win and for our good policies to continue forward. This is a charade whats going on with this constant drumbeat of all the massive voter fraud, she said. Theres a simple explanation for almost everything that people accuse election officials of doing.

    Senate Gop Hires Firm To Review Pennsylvanias 2020 Election

    HARRISBURG, Pa. Republicans in the Pennsylvania Senate said Friday they will pay up to $270,000 over the next six months to have an Iowa consulting firm examine the 2020 election with an eye toward developing changes to state election law.

    The forensic investigation is being launched in response to pressure from Republican supporters of former President Donald Trump upset over his 80,000-vote loss in the state, but is well short of the Arizona-style audit that many of them have clamored for.

    A related subpoena issued by a GOP-controlled Senate committee, seeking voter data from the executive branch, is currently on hold awaiting a hearing in Commonwealth Court next month.

    The contract was signed by Majority Leader Kim Ward, R-Westmoreland, and Envoy Sage, a Dubuque, Iowa-based company. Committee spokesperson Jason Thompson said it will be made public in redacted form in the coming days.

    The company will be paid out of a taxpayer-funded leadership account that Ward controls and the agreement can be extended, he said.

    The goal is to determine what flaws exist in our election system and to fix them through legislation, Thompson said Friday.

    Envoy Sage president Steve Lahr issued a statement saying company officials have no pre-conceived notions for what we will or will not find and that he considers objectivity to be critical.

    I think that it was an honest mistake on his part, Thompson said.

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    Senate Republicans Pay Iowa Firm $270k To Investigate Pennsylvania Elections

      President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a rally Wednesday, Jan. 6, 2021, in Washington.

      Pennsylvania Senate Republicans have agreed to pay an Iowa consulting firm up to $270,000 to investigate the results of the 2020 election, despite a promise to hold off until related legal matters are settled in court.

      Senate Intergovernmental Operations Committee Chair Cris Dush, R-Wellsboro, announced the committee will contract with the Dubuque, Iowa-based consulting firm Envoy Sage to conduct an investigation into the 2020 election and 2021 primary election. The contract, worth up to $270,000 over the next six months, will be paid out of Republican caucus funds, which are taxpayer dollars.

      I am thrilled to announce the selection of such a highly competent, impartial, and experienced vendor that is committed to a fair and thorough investigation of Pennsylvanias elections, Dush wrote Friday in a prepared statement. As a service-disabled veteran-owned small business specializing in research, investigation, program management, and communications, I believe they are uniquely qualified to complete this investigation in a way that will help to restore Pennsylvanians faith in our election system and data.

      The investigation stems from allegations of fraud and irregularities in the 2020 election, mostly from supporters of former President Donald Trump, who lost the state by more than 80,000 votes.

      Handy List Of The 20 Gop Senators Up For Reelection In 2022

      23 GOP Senate Seats Democrats Can Flip in 2020

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      The 2022 midterm elections are fast approaching and Democrats cannot afford to lose both the House and the Senate to the GOP. Midterm elections traditionally favor the party out of power, so its reasonable to assume that Republicans have a good shot of recapturing both the House and the Senate in 2022. Recapturing the House especially favors Republicans given the fact that Republican-controlled states currently have an advantage when in comes to redistrictingthey can add/redraw more congressional districts than Democrats.

      Democrats however, cannot afford to lose the Senate, which is not affected by the redistricting process. If Democrats lose both the House and Senate in 2022, the Biden presidency will for all intents and purposes be overat least until the 2024 general elections. Republicans are already abusing the filibuster to stifle President Bidens legislative agenda, even without control of either chamber , so one can just imagine how reckless they will be, if they take over both the House and the Senate in 2022. Simply put, they will block all of President Bidens legislative proposals and judicial nominations until the 2024 elections. The upcoming 2022 elections are therefore crucially important for the Biden-Harris agenda.

      34 U.S. Senate seats are up in 2022. Out of these 34, 20 are currently held by Republicans, and 14 by Democrats. The map below gives a breakdown of the states where the 34 Senate elections will be held in 2022.

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      United States Senate Elections 2024

      U.S. Senate Elections by State
      Arizona California Connecticut Delaware Florida Hawaii Indiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Jersey New Mexico New York North Dakota Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
      U.S. House Elections

      Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on , and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress.

      Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 21 seats were held by Democrats and 10 seats were held by Republicans as of July 2020.

      Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 33 regular elections on November 5, 2024, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2025.

    • 7Footnotes
    • The State Of Ohio’s Gop

      The primary for next year’s Senate race is months away, giving the campaigns more than enough time to rise or crumble. That means it’s too soon to say who has an edge, particularly when all of the candidates have some measure of credibility and funding to back them, observers say.

      But what is certain is the appetite among many Ohio Republicans for a more populist, Trumpian candidate not another Portman.

      “One of the things Ive learned over my time in politics is that your representatives and candidates often reflect the electorate themselves,” said strategist Hartley.

      Some believe there are voters who crave a less disruptive, policy-focused Republican candidate. Beth Hansen, a consultant who worked for former Gov. John Kasich, said the most dramatic shift in the Ohio GOP has been among the activists most heavily involved in politics.

      Trump’s message appealed to angry Ohioans, particularly in rural areas, and something similar will likely prevail in next year’s Senate race, Hansen said. But she contends the party structure will change in the future as other politicians take office and Trump supporters find themselves disinterested in elections without his name on the ballot.

      “The party will begin to reflect those people, those candidates,” Hansen said. “For right now, absolutely the party structure has shifted, but my sense is that its going to shift again over time.”

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