Who Is Not Running For The Seat:
Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan
Once a back-bencher in the Georgia House, the former professional baseball player won a surprising runoff victory in the 2018 GOP primary over David Shafer and then raced to a general election win.
In Georgias No. 2 job, hes allied himself tightly to Kemp and was one of the early supporters of Loeffler even as he butted heads with fellow Republicans in the fractious Georgia Senate he presides over.
He earned national attention and Trumps fury during the runoffs as he appeared frequently on cable news to counter false claims of widespread voter fraud and urge Republicans to stand up to Trumps attempts to overturn the election.
Now, he often talks of a GOP 2.0 that tilts further away from Trump and toward big-tent conservativism. He said in March that he wouldnt run for the U.S. Senate. He also is not running for another term as lieutenant governor.
Former U.S. Rep. Doug Collins
A four-term Republican congressman from the conservative bastion of Gainesville, Collins aggressively pitched himself for the open U.S. Senate seat following Isaksons resignation and was spurned by Kemp despite Trumps initial support.
He and his allies pilloried Loeffler as a squishy moderate long before he entered the 2020 Senate race, and the two exchanged vicious barbs throughout the campaign.
Attorney General Chris Carr
Former Chief Justice Harold Melton
State Sen. Burt Jones
Why Donald Trump Is Republicans’ Worst Nightmare In 2024
Analysis by Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large
Earlier this week, amid a rambling attack on the validity of the 2020 election, former President Donald Trump said this: “Interesting that today a poll came out indicating I’m far in the lead for the Republican Presidential Primary and the General Election in 2024.”
“Trump is confiding in allies that he intends to run again in 2024 with one contingency: that he still has a good bill of health, according to two sources close to the former president. That means Trump is going to hang over the Republican Party despite its attempts to rebrand during his exile and its blockade of a Trump-centric investigation into January’s insurrection.”“Manhattan prosecutors pursuing a criminal case against former President Donald Trump, his company and its executives have told at least one witness to prepare for grand jury testimony, according to a person familiar with the matter — a signal that the lengthy investigation is moving into an advanced stage.”
Maryland Gov Larry Hogan
Hogan, 64, is a two-term governor and cancer survivor who underwent chemotherapy while in office. He was declared cancer-free in 2015. A moderate, Hogan told The Washington Post that he saw the 2024 Republican primary as a competition between 10 or 12 or more people fighting in the same lane to carry on the mantle of Donald Trump and another lane straight up the middle that would be much less crowded. Though he said it was too early to say whether he saw himself in that lane, Hogan wrote in his 2020 memoir Still Standing that members of Trumps cabinet approached him about challenging Trump in the GOP 2020 primary.
Florida Gov Ron Desantis
DeSantis narrowly beat out Trump in a straw poll at the Western Conservative Summit in Denver last month, but his greatest strength could also prove to be his greatest weakness. Praised by Republicans as a next-generation Trump, it could put him on a collision course with Trump should both run.
DeSantis is up for reelection next year, and hes purposely avoided Iowa to not drive 2024 speculation, according to Politico. Still, hes building out a gubernatorial record sure to please primary voters. Name a top Republican issue today, chances are DeSantis has signed a bill and/or has run Facebook ads about it.
Hes signed bills banning vaccine passports,restricting ballot drop boxes and voting by mail, and setting mandates for civics curriculum in the state. Another bill prohibiting deplatforming was signed into law in May, but a federal judge issued a preliminary injunction on Wednesday, arguing it likely violates social media networks First Amendment freedom of speech rights. Hes run Facebook ads about critical race theory and transgender athletes in sports.
But DeSantis has backed away from partisanship when responding to the building collapse in Surfside, Florida. The first-term governor welcomed President Joe Biden to the state last week when he visited to meet with families and survivors. Youve recognized the severity of this tragedy from day one and youve been very supportive, DeSantis said of Biden.
Read Liz Cheney’s Full Statement In Support Of Trump’s Impeachment
But five of the pro-impeachment members are battle-tested incumbents in crucial swing seats that Republicans need to hold. That includes Rep. David Valadao , who is close to McCarthy and just won back his seat after losing in 2018; Rep. Fred Upton , a House veteran whom Republicans are desperately trying to prevent from retiring; Rep. Peter Meijer , a freshman who replaced retiring Trump critic Justin Amash; and Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler , one of the only Republicans to represent a district touching the Pacific Ocean.
While the makeup of their constituencies are likely to change somewhat in redistricting, all five ran ahead of Trump to secure their reelections. Trump handily lost Valadaos and Rep. John Katkos districts in 2020 and 2016 and carried the other three with 51 percent of the vote or less.
President Trump can play in any open seat he wants. That’s fine, said Sarah Chamberlain, the head of the center-right Republican Main Street Partnership. But to challenge the Main Street members, frankly, and have them lose a primary with the majority on the line Emmers absolutely right. I don’t know if whoever beats them in a primary can win a general.
If ultra-conservative or pro-Trump candidates were to prevail in primaries for some of those swing seats, the GOP risks losing the general elections in those districts, said Cole, a former NRCC chair. Thats a concern,” he added.
Winning the majority to me is not worth selling our soul, he added.
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Sen Ted Cruz Of Texas
During his remarks at the Faith & Freedom Coalition Road to Majority conference in Florida last month, Cruz said that a conservative revival is coming and hearkened back to the Reagan revolution. It took Jimmy Carter to give us Ronald Reagan, he said. Joe Biden is Jimmy Carter 2.0. Left unsaid, but implied, is that Cruz sees himself as the Reagan 2.0 who will ensure Biden is a one-term president.
Cruz said at that conference that having social conservative or patriotic views can get you canceled, and its time to fight back. He also recited a favorite quote from the late Andrew Breitbart who said politics is downstream from culture, and said the phrase was now outdated. Today, politics is culture, Cruz said, which might help explain why he signaled his support to free Britney Spears from her conservatorship the day after her court testimony.
Cruz has begun making endorsements in other races, including Susan Wright in the runoff for Texas 6th Congressional District later this month, as well as former Rep. Matt Salmon in Arizonas gubernatorial race next year. While Republicans are undoubtedly happy to have Cruzs support, Democrats like it, too, at least in Virginia, where fundraising emails from Democratic gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe that mention Cruzs endorsement of his Republican opponent Glenn Youngkin bring in big bucks, per the Dallas Morning News.
More Gop Challengers Line Up Against Trump More States Cancel Their Primaries
WASHINGTON President Donald Trump now has three GOP primary challengers, but they won’t be given a chance to compete in at least four states after Republicans there decided to scrap their presidential nominating contests in favor of supporting Trump.
The Republican parties of Nevada and South Carolina, both crucial early nominating states, voted this weekend not to hold contests, as did Kansas and Arizona.
“With no legitimate primary challenger and President Trump’s record of results, the decision was made to save South Carolina taxpayers over $1.2 million and forgo an unnecessary primary,” South Carolina GOP Chairman Drew McKissick said in a statement. “President Trump and his administration have delivered for South Carolinians, and we look forward to ensuring that Republican candidates up and down the ballot are elected in 2020.”
Iowa Republican Presidential Caucuses
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The 2020 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on Monday, February 3, 2020, as the first caucus or primary in the Republican Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Iowa caucuses are a closed caucus, with Iowa awarding 40 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention, allocated on the basis of the results of the caucuses. Incumbent president Donald Trump received about 97 percent of the vote to clinch 39 delegates, while Bill Weld received enough votes to clinch 1 delegate.
Heres Whos Running Against Trump
So whos decided to try to run against Trump so far?
Former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld, who ran in the Libertarian VP spot in 2016, is running for President as a Republican.
Donald Trump, by turns arrogant and paranoid, has made no secret of the fact that he wishes to be crowned as President rather than elected. That might be fine in a monarchy, but we overthrew ours two centuries ago.https://t.co/EzHZ2yeFxJ
The One Place House Republicans Want To Be Trump
Republicans are sounding the alarm that his attempts to meddle in primaries could hurt the partys efforts to win back the majority.
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Republicans have a message for Donald Trump: stay out of our primary races.
As Trump ramps up his revenge tour against the House Republicans who voted to impeach him, GOP lawmakers are sounding the alarm that his attempts to meddle in primaries could hurt the partys efforts to win back the House next year, especially in critical swing districts in New York, Michigan and California. With just five seats between the GOP and the House majority, any one race could determine the balance.
The loudest warning shot came Wednesday from Minnesota Rep. Tom Emmer, the head of the National Republican Congressional Committee, who told POLITICO Playbook he planned to urge the former president to refrain from playing in primaries. Thats not going to be helpful, he said. Its probably better for us that we keep these people.
That’s not to say Republicans don’t see Trump still playing a role in the future of the party. But an increasing number of them from across the conference are echoing Emmer, pleading with Trump to back off even as they simultaneously acknowledge the former commander in chief is a private citizen and can do whatever he wants.
I look forward to working with each member of our conference in support of their re-election efforts, McCarthy said in the statement. We will take back the House in November 2022.
Who Is Considering A Run:
Herschel Walker
Georgia Republicans have been buzzing with the rumor that the UGA football legend and friend of Trumps could challenge Warnock next year. And the former president has chimed in, to join the fray.
Walker emerged as a voice for far-right conservative causes during Trumps term in the White House and spoke in support of the president at last years Republican National Convention.
He also has a history of violent and erratic behavior, some of which he outlined in a 2008 book that detailed his long struggle with mental illness. Subsequent reports exposed questionable business dealings, threats he leveled against his ex-wife and other issues that could factor into a campaign.
Polls show him as the front-runner in the GOP race, thanks in part to his soaring name recognition. He would be helped by Trumps boast that Walker would be unstoppable in a campaign.
Former U.S. Sen. Kelly Loeffler
The former financial executive was tapped by Gov. Brian Kemp to fill Isaksons seat in hopes of winning back women and more moderate voters who were disgusted by Trump.
Instead, Loefflers short stint in the Senate turned into a race to the partys right, as she dueled with Collins for the hearts of conservatives and pumped more than $31 million of her own money into her campaign.
Shes said shes weighing a comeback bid but that I dont know if any Republican can win if we dont shore up what were doing around voter registration, engagement and election integrity.
The 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Wild Cards
The first Democratic debate back in 2019 had 20 TWENTY! candidates, so dont be surprised if the Republican field is just as large or larger. We could have some more governors or representatives run, or even other nontraditional candidates, like a Trump family member, a Fox News host or a celebrity, like Dwayne The Rock Johnson, whos said hes seriously considering a run. Stranger things have happened.
What Happened: Arizona Turned Blue In The 2020 Presidential Election But The Republicans Still Control The State
Reflecting broader democratic shifts, recent decades have seen big changes in politics in Arizona: moving from deep red Republican domination to a particular shade of purple over the last decade. Eldrid Herrington maps how these changes have played out in recent years, the 2020 general election, and what they might mean moving forward.
- Following the 2020 US General Election, our mini-series,What Happened? explores aspects of elections at the presidential, Senate, House of Representative and state levels, and also reflects on what the election results will mean for US politics moving forward. If you are interested in contributing, please contact Rob Ledger or Peter Finn .
At 2.14pm on the 6th of January 2021, as Congress conducted its ceremonial Electoral Vote count, Paul Gosar of Arizona was addressing the US House of Representatives, challenging the electoral votes in his own state, when he and his colleagues had to be rushed out of the chamber and taken to safety elsewhere in the Capitol building. Hours later, when the legislature returned, almost all Republican representatives from Arizona persisted in repeating the lie that their party did not, in fact, lose the elections in the state .
Republicans Cannot Promise To Check Biden While Also Claiming That He Lost
A lot is riding on Januarys two U.S. Senate runoff elections in Georgia: For the GOP, winning at least one of these races would mean narrowly retaining control of one house of Congress, and with it the ability to preserve the filibuster rule and maintain a check on the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives and incoming Democratic president. Those two races should be the Republican Partys highest priority.
But the biggest threat to Republicans in those races might not be their runoff opponents or the Democratic Party apparatus. Right now, it might be a Republican: outgoing President Trump.
Its no surprise that Trump has gone all in on questioning the results in his losing reelection bid. After his very first electoral contest, the 2016 Iowa Republican caucuses, which he lost to Sen. Ted Cruz , Trump said that Cruz stole the election and claimed that a new election should take place or Cruz results nullified. Ahead of Election Day 2016, Trump said that election is going to be rigged. Even after he won, and became president, he convened a voter fraud commission, maintaining that fraud was the reason his opponent, former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, had a popular vote tally millions higher than his. It is Trumps approach whenever he loses or expects to lose, including in the election he just lost:
Trump Takes Two Punches From Gop
It’s been a tough week for former President TrumpDonald TrumpProgressive Democratic lawmakers urge Biden to replace Powell as Fed ChairCautious scrutiny of COVID origins marks a win for US intelligence agenciesJan. 6 panel seeks records of those involved in ‘Stop the Steal’ rallyMORE. Trump’s preferred candidate in a special House election in Texas lost on Tuesday to another Republican who was likely boosted by some protest votes against the former president. And on Wednesday, 17 Senate Republicans voted to advance a bipartisan infrastructure deal that Trump spent weeks railing against. While Trump remains a towering figure in the GOP, the back-to-back blows have led some to question whether his influence may have started to wane since he left office.
What Makes The 2024 Presidential Election Unique
The lead up to the 2024 presidential election is different from past years because of former President Donald Trump. Hes eligible to run for a second term, and has publicly toyed with the idea while also weighing in on other Republicans he thinks could be the future of the party. If Trump does run in 2024, hed start out with unparalleled name ID and massive support, but if he doesnt, the field could be wide open for other Republicans hoping to win over his supporters. President Joe Biden said recently he expects to run for reelection in 2024.
Related
Golden Trump statue at CPAC 2021 was no graven image, according to the artist
This early on, wannabe candidates must raise their profiles, show their commitment to the party, and raise money, one Republican strategist said, to get on peoples radars even when your candidacy is in a holding pattern.
Some of the most visible 2024 presidential candidates will surely flame out long before the Iowa caucus, and theres always the chance that the next Republican nominee isnt yet considered a serious player . Theres a million and one things that will happen between now and then that will shape the race in ways we cant now predict, but the invisible primary that comes before any votes are cast has started.
Heres your very early guide to some of 2024s Republican presidential candidates, based on early polling, interviews with Republican donors and strategists and results from online political betting markets.
Four State Republican Parties Cancel 2020 Primaries To Protect Trump’s Re
South Carolina’s move is an attempt to sideline the states former Republican governor, Mark Sanford, who on Sunday declared his intention to challenge the president in the GOP primary. Also in the running against Trump are former Illinois Rep. Joe Walsh and former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld.
Trump was asked Monday if he would debate any of his Republican rivals.
“I don’t know them,” the president responded. “I would say this: They are all at less than 1 percent. I guess it’s a publicity stunt. We just got a little while ago 94 percent popularity or approval within the Republican party. So to be honest, I’m not looking to get them any credibility. They have no credibility.”
He added, “One was a person that voted for Obama, ran as a vice president four years ago and was soundly defeated, another one got thrown out after one term in Congress and he lost in a landslide and the third one Mr. Appalachian trail he wasn’t on the Appalachian trial; he was in Argentina.”
Sanford, a conservative who clashed with Trump when he served in Congress, said on MSNBC on Monday that he’s running because Republicans have turned their back on their values in favor of personal allegiance to Trump.
“Right now, the sun, moon and stars too often basically orbit around Donald Trump, Sanford said of the attitude of the GOP. “And if it’s not personal allegiance to him, not issue allegiance or idea allegiance, but if it’s not personal allegiance, it’s not good enough.”
Roque Rocky De La Fuente
An entrepreneur and businessman whos had a career in car sales, banking, and real estate development, Roque De La Fuente, known as Rocky, is accustomed to running for public office. in 2016, he sought the Democratic party nomination, then ran as Reform Party and self-funded American Delta Party candidate in the same election, coming in eight in the popular vote. In 2018, he sought the nomination in nine senate raceswinning none. In May 2019, De La Fuente announced his candidacy to challenge Trump in the 2020 election.
De La Fuentes name is on the ballot in a dozen states, and he owns businesses and property in several of them. His program reflects the candidate bipartisan inclination. De La Fuente talks about gun control, immigration reform that unites families, not divides them, promises to match immigrants with job shortage, and supports environmental protection and investment in renewable energy.
Age: 65 Years in political office: 0
Who gives him money: Himself.
Biggest idea for the economy: Match immigrants with job shortages, invest in renewable energy to create new jobs.
Social media following: 65,400, : 241,000.
Who will like this candidate: Moderate Republicans, conservative independents.
Who will hate this candidate: Trump supporters.
Florida Mayor: Desantis Is Treating Children As Political Pawns
The passage of a sweeping infrastructure plan in the Senate on Tuesday gives both parties plenty of ammunition heading into a midterm campaign season — look no further than the most competitive Senate seats for how that will play out.
Opinion Polling For The 2020 Republican Party Presidential Primaries
This is a list of nationwide and statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
Democrats Sweat Turnout Disaster In California Without Trump To Run Against
Without Trump on the ballot, California Democrats are trying to motivate voters.
In a heavily Democratic state where Gov. Gavin Newsom beat his Republican opponent in 2018 by 3 million votes, the recall stands within a few percentage points of passing next month. | Jeff Chiu/AP Photo
08/26/2021 02:34 PM EDT
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LOS ANGELES Donald Trump could swing the California governorship to a Republican. Merely by his absence.
Democrats turned out in record numbers when they had Trump to vote against. But in one of the first, large-scale tests of voter enthusiasm for Democrats in the post-Trump era, Californias surprisingly close gubernatorial recall election is laying bare just how hard it may be for the party to motivate its base without Trump as a foil.
Even in this bastion of progressive politics, ominous signs for the Democratic Party are everywhere. A last week found voters who cast ballots for Joe Biden were less likely than Trump supporters to be very closely following the recall and less motivated to vote. In a Berkeley-IGS survey, registered Democrats and independent voters were nearly 30 percentage points less likely than Republicans to express a high level of interest in voting in the election.
Can Democrats win without having Trump as their foil? This is the challenge, said Gray Davis, the former California governor who was recalled in 2003.
Were going to find out pretty soon,” he said in an interview.
He said, We have to rise to the challenge.
