Patriots Back In The Postseason
After a rocky 1-3 start to the year, the New England Patriots found their form. They now sit at 10-6 and the No. 5 seed in the AFC. Theyve won eight of their last 10 games, and rookie quarterback Mac Jones has settled into his role effectively.
Not only that, but New England is seeing the benefits of a strong offseason. Free agent additions such as linebacker Matt Judon have helped bring the franchise back to where everybody expects them to be playing football in January. With both the Bills and the Patriots at 10-6, the division title is still up for grabs. Also up for grabs? The AFC crown and the No. 1 seed.
There is just one game between the No. 1 and No. 5 seed in the AFC, with Tennessee currently holding the top spot. However, for the Patriots to finish the No. 1 seed, they need to win, have the Texans beat the Titans, the Jets beat the Bills, the Broncos beat the Chiefs, and the Browns beat the Bengals. All of that seemsunlikely.
Unless the Bills lose to the Jets, the Patriots will remain the No. 5 seed, even if they beat the Dolphins. Either way, they will need to be ready for a tough postseason route to the Super Bowl in a conference that is totally up for grabs.
New England Patriots Vs Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in the last eight games
- The Dolphins are 7-1 SU in the last eight games
- The Dolphins have hit the under in seven of the last nine games
- The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in the last eight games against New England
- The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in the last ten games
- The Patriots are 8-2 SU in the last ten games
- The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in the last eight games on the road against Miami
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Patriots Future Bets Before Week 18
The AFC East is Buffalos to lose heading into the last week, but the Patriots have punched their ticket to the playoffs.
Patriots to win the AFC +650
Patriots to win the Super Bowl +1500
Editors note: All odds are provided by our partner, PointsBet. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links
How Much Are Dolphins Vs Patriots Tickets
NFL tickets at Hard Rock Stadium for the upcoming game are starting as low as $250.00 for upper-level seats. Typically, discount tickets will be available. Seats located in the lower levels and near the 50-yard line will be priced higher. Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots tickets are going for prices as high as $2939.00 for the best available seats including club level and VIP options. View the notes for premium seating. A single ticket to this football game currently has an average price of around $702.00.
Get Into Space In The Running Game
The Titans game was an off-day for the Dolphins after seven straight wins, but it also can be seen as a blueprint of sorts on how to attack their defense. Tennessee, for example, found tremendous success on the ground: the team of another ex-Patriot, linebacker-turned-head-coach Mike Vrabel, gained 198 yards on 40 carries for an average of 5.0 yards per rushing attempt it also scored two touchdowns.
One big reason for the Titans success was the blocking up front. Their offensive line dominated Miamis linemen and linebackers, repeatedly allowing backs to get into the second or third levels of the defense.
The Patriots will likely not copy Tennessees game plan one-for-one, though. The Titans are an outside zone team, while New England relies primarily on man blocking concepts up front. Nonetheless, they can adapt to find success by stressing one area in particular: getting into space.
Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, for example, could call toss plays to get his running backs into space:
This particular concept is called Toss 39, and sees the running back attack to the strong side of the formation. The Patriots employ man-to-man blocks up front, but use the right guard on a pull to get to the second level and take on the off-the-ball linebacker .
The Patriots also could use sprint concepts behind a seven-man line:
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Dolphins Stats And Trends
- Against the spread, Miami is 9-7-0 this year.
- The Dolphins have been underdogs by 6.5 points or more three times this season and covered the spread once.
- Miami’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under in 37.5% of its opportunities .
- The Dolphins rack up just 2.4 more points per game than the Patriots surrender .
- Miami is 9-4 against the spread and 8-5 overall when the team scores more than 16.9 points.
- The Dolphins collect just 4.0 fewer yards per game than the Patriots allow .
- Miami is 5-2 against the spread and 4-3 overall when the team amasses over 311.6 yards.
- The Dolphins have 26 giveaways this season, while the Patriots have 30 takeaways.
Home And Road Insights
- At home this season, Miami is 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 overall.
- At home, the Dolphins have one win ATS as 6.5-point underdogs or greater.
- In four of eight home games this year, Miami has hit the over.
- This season, Dolphins home games average 43.9 points, 3.4 more than this contest’s over/under .
- On the road, New England is 5-2 against the spread, and 6-1 overall.
- On the road, the Patriots have one win ATS as 6.5-point favorites or more.
- This season, in seven road games, New England has gone over the total twice.
- The average point total in Patriots away games this season is 44.0 points, 3.5 more than this contest’s over/under .
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The Dolphins End Their Season With A 9
The Miami Dolphins have ended their 2021 season on a high note, moving above .500 to 9-8 after taking down the New England Patriots on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, 33-24.
Miami began the day jumping out to a 17-0 lead — which included a pick-six by cornerback Xavien Howard — and were able to stay in front of New England for the entire game. That initial scoring run proved to be enough of a cushion for the Dolphins even as the Patriots began to claw back into the game. In the second half, New England did cut the lead to a field goal, but Miami was able to run down enough clock in the fourth quarter to make a comeback unattainable.
Tagovailoa finished his day completing 15 of his 22 passes for 109 yards and a touchdown. Meanwhile, the Dolphins ground game led by Duke Johnson was what truly moved the offense throughout the day. They totaled 195 yards as a team with Johnson accounting for 117 of those yards on a 4.7 yards per carry clip. On the Patriots side, Jones completed 20 of 30 passes for 261 yards, a touchdown and a pick. Brandon Bolden led the team in rushing and had two total touchdown on the day.
This loss did prove to be moot point in the Patriots, who had already clinched a playoff spot entering Week 18, hopes of winning the AFC East as the Buffalo Bills were able to beat the New York Jets at home. To see a more in-depth breakdown of how this game unfolded, check out our takeaways below.
The Dolphins Will Seek To Sweep The Series And Close The Season With Dignity
For Dolphins coach Brian Flores, there’s a bit of history waiting too, as there are 120 coaches who have faced Belichick in his 22 seasons with the Patriots. And of them, four, Dave Wannstedt, Mike Shanahan, Tom Coughlin and Tony Dungy, are the only ones in that span to have beaten Belichick three times in a row. Flores, a former Patriots assistant who spent 15 years on the team with three Super Bowl wins with Belichick, can join that group this afternoon.
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Patriots Vs Dolphins Betting Odds: Week 18 Moneyline Spread
The New England Patriots are officially postseason bound.
The Patriots clinched a spot in the playoffs with their 50-10 wallopping of the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. The win bumped Bill Belichicks squad to 10-6 on the season as they sit in the No. 5 seed in the AFC.
Mac Jones got back on track, finishing 22-of-30 for 227 yards and three touchdowns. Jakobi Meyers had eight catches for 73 yards and a touchdown, while Kristian Wilkerson, freshly promoted from the practice squad, grabbed four catches for 42 yards and two touchdowns in his first NFL contest.
In the ground game, Damien Harris rushed for 35 yards and two touchdowns early before the Patriots let Rhamondre Stevenson roll, who tallied 107 yards and two scores of his own. Defensively, the Pats picked off Trevor Lawrence three times, including another interception for J.C. Jackson.
New England wraps up the regular season the same way they started with a matchup against the Miami Dolphins. After ripping off seven consecutive wins, the Dolphins fell to the Tennessee Titans 34-3 in Week 17, eliminating them from the playoffs.
While the Patriots already have a playoff spot, their seeding is on the line in Week 18 and there is still a chance for the Pats to get the AFC East. However, they need a win and the Buffalo Bills to lose to the New York Jets in order to grab the division title.
Here is the betting info for Sundays game:
Tua Scores Two Rushing Tds As Dolphins Pound Patriots In 22
MIAMI GARDENS So, how do the Miami Dolphins win a game without their four leading receivers?
that has not existed during the first two seasons of the Brian Flores era until Sunday.
Dolphins rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa scored two rushing touchdowns, rookie running back Salvon Ahmed scored one of his own with 114 of Miamis 250 rushing yards on the day, and Miami beat the New England Patriots 22-12 at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday.
Dolphins running back Matt Breida added 86 yards, cornerback Xavien Howard forced a fumble to extend Miamis turnover forced streak to 20 consecutive games.
More importantly, the Dolphins clinched a winning season for the first time since 2016, under Flores, the second-year coach tasked with reshaping the team into a winner.
Since Day 1, there wasnt a doubt in my mind after I met coach Flores and joined the organization that we could do some good things, said Christian Wilkins, Miamis first draft pick when its rebuild under Flores and general manager Chris Grier began in 2019.
Hopefully good things can continue. Im excited to be part of it.
The Dolphins playoff chances this season also increased to nearly 40%, according to analytics site FiveThirtyEight, with Miami needing wins against the Las Vegas Raiders this Saturday night and AFC East champion Buffalo Bills on Jan. 3 to reach the postseason.
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Dolphins Vs Patriots Highlights Final Score: Tagovailoa Jones Go Head To Head
The Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots game brought everything a divisional battle should. Yet, it was the Dolphins who left victorious.
The Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots game could have ended either way. However, it was the Dolphins who left New England victorious. Still, there are questions that need to be answered on both sides.
Week 18 Nfl Picks For Dolphins Vs Patriots
Before you tune in to Sunday’s Patriots vs. Dolphins game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,200 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 18 of the 2021 season on an incredible 135-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
For Dolphins vs. Patriots, the model is backing the Patriots to cover the spread on the road. After going 7-9 a season ago and generally struggling in their first season without Tom Brady, it looked like the Patriots might be in for more of the same when they opened the season with a 17-16 loss to the Dolphins.
However, rookie quarterback Mac Jones learned the ropes relatively quickly and has delivered reliably steady performances while Bill Belichick’s defense has been dominant. New England ranks first in the NFL in scoring defense , third in total defense and third in takeaways , which could be a big problem for a Miami offense that has turned the ball over 26 times.
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Dolphins At Patriots Head
The longtime division rivals split their two meetings in 2020. New England picked up a 21-11 victory in Week 1 at Gillette while Miami picked up a 22-12 victory at home in Week 15.
The Patriots covered the spread as 7.5-point favorites in the first meeting while Miami comfortably covered at home as a 1.5 point underdog in the December game. Both games hit the Under.
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Patriots Vs Dolphins Betting Trends
These two end the season as they started it against each other. In the Week 1 matchup, the Dolphins won the game despite being 3.5-point underdogs. The contest itself cashed the under by 10 points. The game line was marked at 43 points, with the final score being 17-16 Miami.
The Patriots have won eight of their last 10 games, both outright and against the spread . New England is 8-8 on over/unders.
On the other side, the Dolphins have also won six of their last eight games, as the defense has come together. Jaylen Waddle continues to help carry the offense. Tua struggled last week against the Titans, but he had shown some promising signs prior to that.
The Dolphins are 8-7-1 ATS this season and favor the under for the year, with a 6-10 record cashing overs.
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Tv Channel Nfl Best Bets Picks For Miami Dolphins Vs New England Patriots On Cbs And Paramount+
Two AFC East rivals collide when the Miami Dolphins host the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon. The Patriots scored 50 points last week in a win over the Jaguars, while the Dolphins snapped a seven-game win streak with a lopsided loss against the Titans. The Patriots could win their 12th AFC East title in 13 years with a win and some help. New England can clinch the division with a win and a Bills loss or tie to the Jets. In select markets, you can stream the game on Paramount+.
Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Caesars Sportsbook lists New England as a six-point favorites in the latest Patriots vs. Dolphins odds. The over-under for total points scored is 41. In select markets, Sunday’s matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.
Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.
Three Things To Watch
1. Can Miami’s defense rebound against an explosive New England offense?Heading into the Week 14 bye, New England had won seven in a row and had scored at least 24 points in all but two games since the start of October with one of the two exceptions a 14-10 Week 13 win on a Monday night in windy, snowy conditions. In other words, the Patriots’ offense had been clicking on all cylinders before the bye but followed the break with just 38 total points across losses to Indianapolis and Buffalo.
Last week, though, the Patriots welcomed in the new year with their second 50-point output of the season in the romp over the Jaguars. Four first-half touchdowns including two rushing scores by Damien Harris paved the way for a 28-3 lead before Rhamondre Stevenson notched two of his own and Kristian Wilkerson brought in his second touchdown pass of the game from Mac Jones.
The Dolphins, meanwhile, allowed 24 points just once during their seven-game winning streak after six of their seven previous losses came to teams eclipsing that mark. But their 34-3 loss at Tennessee last week brought many of the defense’s struggles to light once again, as quarterback Ryan Tannehill in his first game against his former team threw for two touchdowns while D’Onta Foreman and Dontrell Hilliard each found the end zone on the ground. If Miami is unable to bounce back from its struggles in Nashville, look for New England to have its way offensively on Sunday.
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