A Timeline Of Donald Trumps Election Denial Claims Which Republican Politicians Increasingly Embrace
From 2016 to today, Trump made election criticism a key part of his campaigns.
This story is part of the ABC News series Democracy in Peril, which examines the inflection point the country faces after the Jan. 6 attacks and ahead of the 2022 election.
Six years ago, Texas Republican Sen. Ted Cruz responded in no uncertain terms to then-candidate Donald Trumps claims of a rigged GOP primary election, for which Trump didnt have evidence.
Apparently, when anyone votes against him, its an act of theft, Cruz, who was running against Trump, told Glenn Beck in April 2016.
Some five years later, Cruz rose on the floor of the Senate in support of Trumps renewed but unfounded argument that the presidential election he had recently lost was rigged against him. In a speech on Jan. 6, 2021, Cruz said he was voting not to accept the Electoral College results showing Trump was defeated because so many Americans had been persuaded that Trump had, in fact, won.
For those who respect the voters, simply telling the voters, Go jump in a lake, the fact that you have deep concerns is of no moment to us that jeopardizes, I believe, the legitimacy of this and subsequent elections, Cruz said in that speech, mere minutes before an angry mob breached the Capitol.
Poll: Biden Now Leads Trump By Widest Margin In 6 Months
As President Bidens approval rating continues to bounce back from its summertime lows, a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll now shows him leading former President Donald Trump in a 2024 rematch by the widest margin since March.
The survey of 1,634 U.S. adults was conducted from Sept. 2 to Sept. 6 immediately after a combative primetime speech last Thursday, in which Biden blasted Trump and the MAGA Republicans as extremists who threat the very foundations of our republic.
The poll found that if the next presidential election were held today, 48% of registered voters would choose Biden, while 42% would choose Trump. Bidens new 6-point lead is 3 points larger than his edge in the previous Yahoo News/YouGov survey from late August and 4 points better than his average lead across all Yahoo News/YouGov surveys conducted between April and July . The polls margin of error is approximately 2.6%.
The last time Biden led Trump in a Yahoo News/YouGov poll by 6 percentage points or more among registered voters was in March 2022 . The time before that was in May 2021 . Notably, Bidens support today matches those previous highs.
None of which means Biden is a lock to defeat Trump in 2024. The election is still years away, and Trump won in 2016 despite losing the national popular vote . Meanwhile, more Americans still disapprove than approve of Bidens performance in office.
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Maine Democrat Gideons Senate Campaign Says Key Race May Not Be Called For Days
One of the last competitive Senate races on the 2020 election map may take a while to resolve.
The Maine contest pitting Republican Sen. Susan Collins against Democratic state House Speaker Sara Gideon was too early to call early Wednesday, according to NBC News. Gideons campaign suggested it could take days to declare a winner.
Its clear this race will not be called tonight and we are prepared to see it through to the finish, campaign manager Amy Mesner said. Over the coming days, we will make sure that every Mainer has their voice heard in this election.Collins projected confidence to her supporters on Tuesday night, saying that with any luck at all, well keep on going for Maine and for America.
If no candidate wins more than 50% of the vote, the states ranked-choice voting system would kick in. If that happens, it could take days to decide the winner.
Jacob Pramuk
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Democrats Close The Enthusiasm Gap
Despite Bidens approval rating and the GOPs lead in congressional preference , the NBC News survey shows an improvement for Democrats since earlier this year.
For one thing, Democrats have closed the enthusiasm gap.
According to the survey, 68% of Republicans express a high level of interest in the upcoming election registering either a 9 or 10 on a 10-point scale versus 66% for Democrats.
That 2-point GOP advantage is down from 17 points in March and 8 points in May.
The pollsters who conducted the survey attribute the increased Democratic enthusiasm to the June Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade.
The Supreme Court ruling has shaken up the electorate, said Horwitt, the Democratic pollster.
Indeed, the poll finds that 58% of voters disapprove of the Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v. Wade and ended the constitutional right to an abortion, compared with 38% who approve.
And the poll finds that threats to democracy has overtaken the cost of living as the most important issue facing the country, and that the climate and health care legislation Biden signed into law last week is more popular than unpopular .
Heres Where Biden And Trump Stand In The Polls 100 Days Out From The Presidential Election
The 2020 presidential election is only 100 days away and former Vice President Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump in most of the recent national and battleground state polls.
Ipsos, YouGov and Morning Consult polls conducted in mid-July among likely voters all found Biden was leading Trump by at least 7 points nationally. Biden also began gaining ground on Trump over the last couple of months in swing states and continues to hold that lead with fewer than four months to go before the election on November 3.
The 2016 Democratic presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton, lost each of the six key swing statesArizona, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Wisconsin to Trump nearly four years ago. Aside from Arizona and North Carolina, which also went red in 2012, the four other swing states flipped for Trump after leaning blue in the previous presidential election.
Biden became the presumptive Democratic nominee in April after Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders dropped out of the race, the last of Bidens Democratic competitors to do so. A few days after Sanders suspended his campaign, he joined several of his previous Democratic competitors in announcing his support for the former vice president.
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How Herschel Walker Entered The Political Arena: A 2020 Speech Defending Donald Trump
Before he ran for Senate in Georgia, Herschel Walker made his political debut in a starched white button-up, dark suit and red-and-blue geometric tie, a silver medallion of an angel wielding a sword dangling from his neck.
Speaking directly into the camera in a three-minute speech for the 2020 Republican National Convention, he cast President Donald J. Trump as a family man and a close friend who cared about everyday American workers and was not racist.
I take it as a personal insult that people would think Ive had a 37-year friendship with a racist, Mr. Walkertold viewers watching the remote event unfold on their screens during the coronavirus pandemic. Growing up in the Deep South, Ive seen racism up close. I know what it is, and it isnt Donald Trump.
The remarks by Mr. Walker, a former football star, helped fast-track his political rise. He is now running as Mr. Trumps handpicked candidate in the heated and closely watched runoff election against Senator Raphael Warnock, a Democrat.
But Tuesdays election will serve as the ultimate test of that association. Mr. Walker has struggled to shore up support with moderate and Black voters in a year when Mr. Trumps election denialism and political baggage have hurt him in key battlegrounds across the country. As the race headed to a runoff, Mr. Trump stayed away.
Mr. Walker defended Mr. Trumps political approach.
Trump Team Slams Out Of Control Classified Doc Probe In Response To Doj Appeal
More registered voters approve of Mondays FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago than disapprove, according to a new poll which also found that a plurality would rather see former President Donald Trump run for the White House in 2024 than President Biden.
The Politico/Morning Consult survey released Thursday found that 49% strongly or somewhat approve of the FBIs search, while 37% strongly or somewhat disapproved. Another 13% said they didnt know or had no opinion.
Reactions to the raid were split along partisan lines, with 84% of Democrats saying they approved and only 15% of GOP voters saying the same. Among independents, 47% approved and 32% disapproved.
Nearly three-quarters of Republicans said they disagreed with the Mar-a-Lago raid, while only 6% of Democratic voters said the same.
Unsurprisingly, 69% of Republican respondents said they believed the search was politically motivated a claim only 11% of Democrats agreed with. While 81% of Democrats said the search appeared to be related to evidence of a crime, only 16% of GOP voters said the same.
A majority of respondents 54% said they thought the raid was conducted due to mishandling of classified information, while 58% said they believed Trump definitely or probably broke the law during his four years in the White House.
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Trumps Popularity Slips In Latest Military Times Poll And More Troops Say Theyll Vote For Biden
The latest Military Times poll shows a continued decline in active-duty service members views of President Donald Trump and a slight but significant preference for former Vice President Joe Biden in the upcoming November election among troops surveyed.
The results, collected before the political conventions earlier this month, appear to undercut claims from the president that his support among military members is strong thanks to big defense budget increases in recent years and promised moves to draw down troops from overseas conflict zones.
But the Military Times Polls, surveying active-duty troops in partnership with the Institute for Veterans and Military Families at Syracuse University, have seen a steady drop in troops opinion of the commander in chief since his election four years ago.
In the latest results based on 1,018 active-duty troops surveyed in late July and early August nearly half of respondents had an unfavorable view of the president, compared to about 38 percent who had a favorable view. Questions in the poll had a margin of error of up to 2 percent.
Among all survey participants, 42 percent said they strongly disapprove of Trumps time in office.
Even with the steady decline, Trumps popularity in the poll remains better than former President Barack Obama. Obama had a 36 percent favorable rating and a 52 percent unfavorable rating in a January 2017 Military Times poll.
Poll limitations
Policy disagreements
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At The Polls: In A Democratic Bastion Anxiety And Irritation Over Walkers Chance At Victory
ATLANTA As Democrats across the country nervously await the outcome of Georgias U.S. Senate runoff election, voters in the heart of the states bluest county shared their anxiety, along with some irritation.
Many leaving the Buckhead Library, a voting location in north Atlantas upper-crust Buckhead neighborhood, said they were surprised that the race between Senator Raphael Warnock and his Republican opponent, Herschel Walker, was close enough in November to push the contest into the runoff. Mr. Warnock outpaced Mr. Walker on Nov. 8 by about 37,000 votes, but fell short of the 50 percent threshold needed to win outright.
Democrats in Buckhead, which sits in Fulton County, Georgias largest and most Democratic county, said that the two candidates were so starkly different that the choice for Georgians should not be a difficult one.
I think its very obvious, but for so many people to not see that makes me understand that the world is halfway blind, said Ackylla Burke, a 35-year-old business manager and registered Republican who said she tends to support Democratic candidates. Ms. Burke, who is Black, said that Mr. Walker being in the Senate would only further stoke division in the state and endanger its Black citizens, despite Mr. Walker being Black as well.
Were going to go back into six years of hate if he wins, she added.
Let the Republicans have a say. Democrats have had two years. Its better to have a balance in our power, Mr. McIntyre said.
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The Accurate Election Polls That No One Believed
- Save this story for later.
During the past three election cycles, also known as the Trump era, polling developed into something akin to an addiction for political junkies and concerned citizens alike. But its accuracy appeared to be declining, in ways that have caused acute psychological harm to many Democratseach of the previous three national elections featured polling averages that, to varying degrees, understated Republican support. In the 2016 Presidential election, Donald Trump shocked Hillary Clinton by outperforming the polls in a number of states, especially in the Midwest and Pennsylvania, with their high concentration of white voters without college degrees. In 2020, Trump lost to Joe Biden, but beat his national polls by more than three points, and did even better than that in many swing statesagain in the Midwest, and in Florida. In between, in the 2018 midterms, polls were more accurate but missed Republican strength in several critical battlegrounds Democrats failed to recapture the Senate that year, even while picking up forty-one seats in the House. This week, the mystery was not simply whether the polls would come within respectable proximity to the result it was whether they would continue to be off in the same direction, and further disappoint Democrats already bracing for a red wave.
Joe Rogan Reveals If He Will Ever Host Donald Trump On His Podcast
We refused any payment. Some said that Trump was suspicious of those he paid, worried that he was being ripped off. We felt that by turning down any formal role in the campaign, we could skirt the infighting that raged inside, Morris said.
We also decided, jointly with the president, that the calls and our consulting role should be kept secret. And so it remained for the ensuing seven months.
Morris also chuckled about what he learned about Trump: You cant change his aggressive, forceful personality.
Trump is Trump. Like it or lump it. Hell never change, and I came to realize that his manner could not be divorced from his successful outcomes. Change one, and you would forfeit the other, he said.
He previously said the 2024 contest could be a rematch between Trump and Hillary Clinton.
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The Former President Remains A Potent Force In Republican Politics
- Losing Support: Nearly half of G.O.P. voters prefer someone other than Donald J. Trump for president in 2024, a Times/Siena College poll showed.
- Trump-Pence Split: An emerging rivalry between Mr. Trump and Mike Pence, his former vice president, reveals Republicans enduring divisions.
For Mr. Trump, bleeding that amount of Republican support would represent a sharp increase compared with the already troubling level of the partys vote he shed during his last race.
In 2020, 9 percent of Republicans voted for someone other than Mr. Trump, while Mr. Biden lost just 4 percent of Democrats, according to AP VoteCast, a large study of the 2020 electorate by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press.
Kenneth Abreu, a 62-year-old pharmaceutical executive from Pennsylvania, said he had voted Republican for three decades but would support Mr. Biden instead of voting again for Mr. Trump.
Unlike all these other people who believe every word he says, Im done, Mr. Abreu said. All the garbage hes been talking about, the lies, Jan. 6, the whole thing I just lost all respect for him.
How Times reporters cover politics. We rely on our journalists to be independent observers. So while Times staff members may vote, they are not allowed to endorse or campaign for candidates or political causes. This includes participating in marches or rallies in support of a movement or giving money to, or raising money for, any political candidate or election cause.
The Shadow Of 6 January
Mr Trump won’t just have to run on his policy record as president, either. He will have to defend the way he handled the end of his presidency and his role in the 6 January 2021 attack on the US Capitol.
The images of that day, with supporters waving Trump banners amid the teargas as they ransacked the Capitol and temporarily halted the peaceful transition of power, will not be easily forgotten.
The midterm elections demonstrated that what happened that day – and Mr Trump’s words and actions in the weeks leading up to it – may still be influencing voter behaviour.
Many Republican candidates who offered full-throated support for Mr Trump’s refusal to accept the results of the 2020 election lost. Lots of them underperformed other Republican candidates in their states who were not outspoken in their election denial.
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% Of Republican Voters Said Theyd Back Trump In A Hypothetical 2024 Contest Up From 54% In July
Former President Donald Trump has used the intense investigative scrutiny he is facing to energize his supporters. Its working with Republicans, according to a new Morning Consult/Politico survey conducted after the Federal Bureau of Investigations raid of his Mar-a-Lago home, but much of the broader electorate isnt buying his claims of a political witch hunt.
Baggage Is As Baggage Does
There are three things which could, in principle, make Mr Trump less formidable: the depredations of age, legal sanctions and political misjudgments. On the first, at 76 a sudden, severe deterioration in health is obviously possible. That said, the former president appears hale and hearty.
His legal jeopardy seems more acute. The fbis dropping by Mar-a-Lago is only one of his problems. His business dealings are under investigation in New York. The House Committee on Ways and Means is making progress in its efforts to look at his tax records. State prosecutors in Georgia have empanelled a grand jury that is investigating his exhortation that Mr Raffensperger find 11,780 votes somewhere in the state in order to overturn his election loss. It has already issued subpoenas to compel testimony from allies such as Rudy Giuliani, Mr Trumps lawyer, and Lindsey Graham, a senator from South Carolina. Investigators at the Department of Justice are closely following the work of the January 6th committee and have been seizing mobile phones and documents from those most closely involved in the efforts to keep Mr Trump in power.
The possibility of indictments may hasten Mr Trumps announcement of his candidacy, the better to play the victim. Casting the prosecution of a presidential candidate as a deep-state conspiracy is peculiarly compelling.
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