Registered Democratic Voters Outnumber Republicans By Nearly 90k In Nevada
The Nevada secretary of states office on Friday reported there are 1,464,819 active registered voters statewide who are eligible to participate in the Nov. 8 general election.
CARSON CITY The Nevada secretary of states office on Friday reported there are 1,464,819 active registered voters statewide who are eligible to participate in the Nov. 8 general election.
There are 577,679 Democrats, 488,861 Republicans and 304,528 nonpartisans. The rest are minor- party registered voters.
Democrats represent 39.4 percent of the total active registered voters, Republicans 33.4 percent and nonpartisans 20.8 percent.
The numbers were released one day before early voting for the general election begins in Nevada.
The total number of active registered voters is up by 251,626, an increase of 21 percent, compared to the 2014 general election close-of-registration figures.
In the last presidential election in 2012, there were 1,257,621 active registered voters, with 526,986 Democrats and 436,799 Republicans. President Barack Obama won Nevada in 2012.
Active Democratic voters in 2012 were 41.9 percent compared to 39.4 percent this year; Republicans accounted for 34.7 percent in 2012 and 33.4 percent in 2016. The biggest gain over the four years was in nonpartisan voters, from 17.4 percent in 2012 to 20.8 percent this year.
Democrats have voter registration edges in three of Nevadas four congressional districts,
Y Affiliation By State
Party affiliation by state Switch to:State by political party
% of adults who identify as
|Democrat/lean Dem.||Sample Size|
|Sample size = 511. Visit this table to see approximate margins of error for a group of a given size. For full question wording, see the survey questionnaire.Sample sizes and margins of error vary from subgroup to subgroup, from year to year and from state to state. You can see the sample size for the estimates in this chart on rollover or in the last column of the table. And visit this table to see approximate margins of error for a group of a given size. Readers should always bear in mind the approximate margin of error for the group they are examining when making comparisons with other groups or assessing the significance of trends over time. For full question wording, see the survey questionnaire.|
Are There More Democrats Than Republicans In The United States
I have been thinking about the Democratic Party and whether or not its members are more numerous than the opposing faction.
Evidence to suggest this is the case:
This suggests that the partisan lean the American electorate is about D+4. I believe that it might be closer to D+5 now for various reasons and the fact that 2012 was the mean result. This can get a little bit fuzzy because of independents.
If we look at opinion polling, Gallup has collated party affiliation polls back to 2004. The most recent poll at the time of writing gives a D+11 advantage. Looking just at the net Republican/Democrat advantage, ignoring Independents, we can create the graph below â with positive percentages representing a Democrat lead, and negative percentages representing a Republican lead.
To give a theoretical perspective on this:
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Voter Registration And Turnout Totals
The post is correct in its accounting of Trump’s vote totals. He received more than 74 million votes. The vote total for Biden, 81 million, also is correct, putting the overall total at more than 155 million votes cast.
What the tweets get wrong is the number of voters. There are more than 234 million people eligible to vote;in the U.S. Not all of those people are registered voters, however.
In its thread of tweets, the account MSM Fact Checking;provided conflicting calculations without citing sources. The;initial;post;claimed there were;133 million registered voters.;In another tweet, it;claimed there were 213 million registered voters with a voter turnout rate of 62.5%.;All of these numbers are false.
We know, after weeks of counting, that there were roughly 159 million ballots cast in the presidential election. According to the Election Project, this accounts for 66.7% of the eligible voting population of;239 million Americans..
The U.S. Census Bureau publishes voter registration totals for the nation; its 2020 numbers are not yet available.;
But for example,;in the 2016 presidential election, there were 157 million registered voters. Of those, 137.5 million voted. And there were 224 million American citizens age 18 or older.;All;figures are higher than the number in the claim regarding the 2020 election, when voter registration and turnout broke records.
Unvaccinated Americans Whiter More Republican Than Vaccinated
Americans who say they will definitely not get vaccinated against COVID-19 are overwhelmingly white and Republican, according to polling by the Kaiser Family Foundation.;Meanwhile, the group that plans to wait and watch for problems is disproportionately Black and Hispanic. ;;The United States is falling just short of President Joe Bidens goal of having 70% of Americans receive at least one dose of vaccine by July 4. ;;While about one-third of Americans have not been immunized against COVID-19, their reasons and intentions break down largely along racial and political lines. ;;
Hard no;Only 14% of Americans say they will definitely not get vaccinated. But this group is 69% white, compared with 7% Black and 12% Hispanic. Republicans make up 58% of this group, while Democrats account for 18%.;From the beginning of the pandemic, weve seen political divides in attitudes towards COVID itself, not just the vaccines, said Liz Hamel, director of KFFs Public Opinion and Survey Research program. ;;For example, she said, believing that the media has exaggerated the seriousness of the pandemic thats something that we heard President Trump saying when he was in office. Its something that Republicans are more likely to agree with than Democrats. And people who believe that the pandemic has been exaggerated are much less likely to say they want to get the vaccine.;More than half of those who said they would not get vaccinated said they did not need it.;
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Minor Parties In Gubernatorial Races 1857
The following table includes state-by-state information on when a minor partyâs candidate for governor won at least 5 percent of the vote between 1857 and 2012. In four states , a minor party candidate for governor had not won 5 percent or more of the vote since the 19th century. A total of 17 states saw minor party candidates win at least 5 percent of the vote for governor between 1982 and 2012. The information was compiled by Richard Winger of Ballot Access News.
|When did a minor party last poll 5% for governor?|
Crime Statistics Show Democrat Voters Much More Criminal Than Republicans But What About Democrat Politicians
It has been know for a longtime that heavily Democrat voting areas have much higher violent crime than heavily Republican voting areas. The chart at the left takes one swing state, Ohio, then compares the Violent Crime Rate of the biggest city, Celina, in the most Republican voting county at 77%, Mercer County;;;to the state as a whole and then to the most Democrat voting city, Cleveland, and then to an extremely Democrat voting neighborhood in Cleveland the 96%+ Democrat Cedar Ave Area.;
The Violent Crime Rate geometrically skyrockets as the percent of Democrat voters goes up.; From 1 in the least Democrat area to 114 in the most Democratic area.; This is all documented in the movie Who Wins When America Loses.
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The Income Tax Arrives
190119021904190619071908190919101913A hand from Washington will be stretched out and placed upon every mans business; the eye of the Federal inspector will be in every mans counting house . . . The law will of necessity have inquisitorial features, it will provide penalties, it will create complicated machinery. Under it men will be hailed into courts distant from their homes. Heavy fines imposed by distant and unfamiliar tribunals will constantly menace the tax payer. An army of Federal inspectors, spies and detectives will descend upon the state . . . Who of us who have had knowledge of the doings of the Federal officials in the Internal Revenue service can be blind to what will follow? I do not hesitate to say that the adoption of this amendment will be such a surrender to imperialism that has not been since the Northern states in their blindness forced the fourteenth and fifteenth amendments upon the entire sisterhood of the Commonwealth.1914-1915191619171918-1919Audio clip:McAdoo on the need for tax reduction, probably 1919.1920Audio clip: George White, on Republican tax promises1921Andrew Mellon19241926against19281929-1932whether
Flood Of Absentee Ballots Could Delay Primary Election Results
One possibility here is that people here feel that registering for the Democratic Party is more likely to deliver, either a particular outcome that they want, or a particular degree of insult, Schmidt said.
He said David Truman, a political scientist from the 1950s and 1960s, coined the term disturbance theory to describe the type of voter reaction that seems to be occurring now. He said most Americans dont pay long-standing attention to politics they react to things that disturb them, Schmidt said. And we could be seeing voters who are disturbed, maybe by the president, maybe by racism maybe by everything that is 2020 and theyve made the resolution that the best way to resolve everything is within the Democratic Party itself.
Maines latest registration data also does not align with the most recent biweekly poll on U.S. party affiliation done by Gallup, a global analytics and polling company. Gallups May 28 to June 4 survey of U.S. voters found that 31 percent of U.S. voters considered themselves Democrats, 25 percent Republican and 40 percent independent.
Affiliation breakdown in Maine usually mirrors national numbers fairly closely, so the dramatic shift to the left over a relatively short period, coupled with a steady longer-term decline in unenrolled voters, is probably good news for Democrats, said Michael Franz, a government professor at Bowdoin College, who also studies political campaigns and campaign financing.
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Which Party Is The Party Of The 1 Percent
First, both parties receive substantial support. Much of it comes from registered voters who make $100K+ annually. However, Democrats actually come out ahead when it comes to fundraising for campaigns. In many cases, Democrats have been able to raise twice as much in private political contributions. But what about outside of politicians? Does that mean Democrats are the wealthier party? Which American families are wealthier? Republicans or Democrats?
Honestly, it is probably Republicans. When it comes down to it, the richest families in America tend to donate to Republican candidates. Forbes reported out of the 50 richest families in the United States, 28 donate to Republican candidates. Another seven donate to Democrats. Additionally, 15 of the richest families in the U.S. donate to both parties.
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Pandemic Doesnt Slow Digital Hunt For Young Voters
In Texas, voters dont register by party affiliation like many other states, making it unclear exactly how many Republican or Democratic voters are in the state.
But about one-third of the 1.3 million new voters since November 2018 come from three counties: Harris, Travis and Bexar all deeply bluesince 2016.
Harris and Bexar being at the top of the list doesnt surprise Antonio Arellano, who is the leader of Jolt, a voter advocacy group focused on registering young Latino voters and getting them involved in politics. He said his group has been on the ground in those two counties.
While the coronavirus made registration drives impossible in traditional locations such as libraries, county fairs and large events, younger voters can still be found with direct messages on social media, text messages and digital ads. The virus hasnt affected those efforts at all.
We harness culture, art and technology to get it done, Arellano said.
Residents leave the polling location at Lee G. Alworth Building after voting on the final day of early voting, Thursday, July 9, 2020, in Conroe.
Each year in Texas, 200,000 Latinos turn 18 a population that is Jolts main focus.
In recent months, political unrest around the nation, particularly in minority communities since the killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis, has also helped Democratic registration pushes.
We are clearly in a moment that is charged emotionally and politically, Warford said.
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Democratic Edge In Party Identification Narrows Slightly
The balance of party identification among registered voters has remained fairly stable over the past quarter century. Still, there have been modest fluctuations: The new analysis, based on combined telephone surveys from 2018 and 2019, finds that the Democratic Partys advantage in party identification has narrowed since 2017.
Overall, 34% of registered voters identify as independent, compared with 33% who identify as Democrats and 29% who identify as Republicans. The share of registered voters who identify with the Republican Party is up 3 percentage points, from 26% in 2017, while there has been no change in the share who identify as Democrats. The share of voters who identify as independents is 3 points lower than it was in 2017.
When independents and those who dont align with either major party are included, 49% of all registered voters say they either identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party; slightly fewer say they identify with or lean toward the GOP. In 2017, the Democratic Party enjoyed a wider 8-point advantage in leaned party identification .
Democrats have held the edge in party identification among registered voters since 2004. The current balance of leaned party identification is similar to where it stood in 2016 when 48% of voters identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic and 44% identified with or leaned toward the GOP and in 2012 . See detailed tables.
A Plurality Believe History Will Judge Trump As A The Worst President Ever; Less Than A Quarter Of Young Americans Want Trump To Play A Key Role In The Future Of Republican Politics; Young Republicans Are Divided
Thirty percent of young Americans believe that history will judge Donald Trump as the worst president ever. Overall, 26% give the 45th president positive marks , while 54% give Trump negative marks ; 11% believe he will go down as an average president.
Twenty-two percent of young Americans surveyed agree with the statement, I want Donald Trump to play a key role in the future of Republican politics, 58% disagreed, and 19% neither agreed nor disagreed. Among young Republicans, 56% agreed while 22% disagreed, and 21% were neutral. Only 61% of those who voted for Trump in the 2020 general indicated their desire for him to remain active in the GOP.
If they had to choose, 42% of young Republicans consider themselves supporters of the Republican party, and not Donald Trump. A quarter indicated they are Trump supporters first, 24% said they support both.
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Voter Registration Indicates Growing Democratic Majority In Maine
1 year ago in Local
Democrats currently have 386,786 registered voters and Republicans have 295,122. Though both numbers are expected to change the closer we draw to the 2020 election.
The Maine Secretary of States Office has compiled data that show; enrollments are the highest since at least 1990, the first year with available statistics, the Portland Press Herald reported.
The number of unenrolled voters in the state declined to 339,782. There were more than 367,000 unenrolled voters in the state in 2014, after which the figure began to decline.
The secretary of states office compiled the data after the July 14 primary. Maine is headed into a very competitive general election cycle in which the states electoral votes, a U.S. Senate race and a U.S. House of Representatives race are all under close watch.
Jim Melcher, political science professor at the University of Maine Farmington, credits the boost to the recent primaries since March. He mentions that the gains may simply be an artifact of primary voters who wanted to participate. Maine does not allow unenrolled voters to vote in primary elections.
Republicans also saw some gains since March, largely fueled by the July primaries in the 2nd Congressional District.
Most Republican States 2021
Across the nation, U.S. citizens have different political beliefs. Some citizens lean more to the right or Republican with conservative values. In contrast, others lean more to the left and support the more liberal Democratic party.
While some states are pretty closely divided, there are others where most residents support one party. One way this is measured is through the Cook Partisan Voting Index, also known as the CPVI. This measures how strongly a state leans Republican or Democratic compared to the entire nation. Following each election, this index is updated to provide the most accurate results.
CPVIs is calculated by taking a look at the average Democratic or Republican share of the last two presidential elections compared to the national average. Results of the CPVI are broken down by congressional district and by state. By using this data, you can quickly determine which states are more Republican or more Democratic.
Utah is the second-most Republican state with a voting index of +20. Utah is known for being home to its highest Mormon population, resulting in many of its residents being very socially conservative. In the 2016 presidential election, 45.5% of voters voted for Trump, while 27.5% voted for Clinton.
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