Thursday, May 16, 2024

Can Bernie Sanders Beat Trump

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Americans Remembered Those Ideas When Sanders Launched His 2020 Campaign

Dem voters: Bernie Sanders Can Beat Trump And ‘Republican Decoy’ Bloomberg | MSNBC

When Sanders announced he was running again in 2019, the New York Times ran the story on its cover.

That fundraising power would continue to propel Sanders to the top of the historically big and diverse field of candidates.

But all the while the moderate wing of the Democratic Party was still sceptical of Sanders beliefs, and even progressives thought he had obstacles to the nomination.

One was the belief that Sanders, age 78, was too old to take on the nomination.

Those worries amplified in October when he suffered a heart attack, the kind of health disaster that would end other candidates campaigns.

For Sanders, the medical emergency was shortly followed by a rise in the polls, thanks in part to the strength of his campaign surrogates. The first rally Sanders held after his heart attack was headlined by Democratic darling Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

He only gained ground from there, earning endorsements from hundreds of celebrities and influencers and becoming the most popular candidate with Democrats under the age of 35.

Even with that popularity or maybe because of it some worried that Sanders stubborn commitment to progressive ideals could never do enough to unify the Democratic base.

Everyones just talking about electability, one Sanders supporter told the ABC ahead of the nations first democratic nominating contest, the Iowa caucuses.

Im putting my money on Biden, and Ill vote for him if hes the one that can beat Trump.

On The Basis Of Sex: Gender Looms Large In 2020 Race

Reynolds and other Democrats also point to the 2018 midterms, when women were elected to office across the country at record levels, as evidence that the general election electorate could be more open to voting for a woman than some assume.

What voters are doing now is kicking the tires of each and every candidate, and they are taking the role of selecting this nominee very, very seriously, Patti Solis Doyle, who managed Hillary Clintons 2008 campaign, said in a phone interview with NBC News. I think, however, when they say that a woman cant beat Donald Trump, I just dont believe that to be true. If you look back at the last election of 2018, not only did more women run than ever before, but more women won than ever before.

Some academics argue that success on the congressional and state level does not necessarily translate into success on the presidential level.

Women do quite well politically when they are perceived as being in service positions and wanting to have power as much as in that they will be serving a local constituency, said Kate Manne, a philosophy professor at Cornell University who has about gender and politics. Problems arise when women are trying to run for the presidency, because that is the ultimate masculine-coded authority position and one is subordinate to no one.

Donald Trump Bernie Bro

The presidents team seems to see the senator from Vermonts candidacy as a no-lose proposition.

Not so long ago, Donald Trump seemed obsessed with just one of the Democrats vying to replace him: Joe Biden. Over the past year, as the former vice president became the front-runner, Trumps campaign spent about $270,000 on Facebook ads targeting Bidenmore than it spent against other top candidates. Then Biden began to collapse and Bernie Sanders started to rise. Trumps social-media ads demonizing Sleepy Joe tailed off. Yet thus far, theres been no appreciable pickup in anti-Sanders ads. Its as if Trumpworld might want to go easy on Sanders.

It does. Team Trump views Sanders as the weakest candidate left on the Democratic side, and isnt eager to do anything to impede his rise, several of the presidents past and present political advisers told me. They seem to see Sanders as a no-lose proposition: The president wins whether the senator from Vermont captures the nomination or not.

Sanders would be every holiday present rolled into one, Sean Spicer, the former White House press secretary and an exsenior adviser to a pro-Trump super PAC, told me. With Bernie, theres a general agreement that hes a gift.

The counterpuncher isnt counterpunching much at allnot yet, anyway. People like his message. Hes got energy, Trump said about Sanders to reporters in the Oval Office earlier this month.

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To Beat Trump Would Require A Candidate Who Could Unite A Coalition Of Never

Former President Donald Trump remains the favored candidate to win the Republican nomination in 2024 should he run, and hes confident its his if he wants it.

If I do run, I think that Ill do extremely well, Trump told Yahoo Finance in an interview earlier this month. Im not only looking at polls, Im looking at the enthusiasm.

Trump has come out ahead in recent polls of potential 2024 contenders, including a Politico-Morning Consult poll released Oct. 13 that found 47% of Republican voters would vote for Trump if the primary was held today. That put Trump far ahead of his nearest competitors, former Vice President Mike Pence, at 13%, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, at 12%. Trump said hes not concerned about any potential challengers.

I think most people would drop out, I think would drop out, and if I faced him Id beat him like Id beat everyone else, frankly, Trump said.

Some polls this year have found a significant segment of Republican voters want someone else as their nominee in 2024, though. A poll earlier this year by Trumps 2020 pollster Fabrizio and Lee found about half of all Republicans would prefer a different nominee, while a Pew Research survey released earlier this month found 52% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents want someone new.

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The Reason Sanders Appears Equally Electable

Bernie Sanders can beat Trump in November

These Bernie or bust voters that come off the sidelines for Sanders in our survey are almost entirely limited to one group: Democrats and independents under age 35. These voters are about 11 percentage points more likely to say they would vote for Democrats if Sanders is nominated and almost all of them say they would not vote at all or vote third party if hes not on the ballot.

However, the Bernie or bust phenomenon appears almost entirely limited to left-leaning young people, who are usually a small share of the overall electorate. This stands in contrast to many theories of Sanderss electoral appeal: For example, whites without a college degree a demographic some speculate Sanders could win over are actually more likely to say they will vote for Trump against Sanders than against the other Democrats. The same is true of the rest of the electorate, except left-leaning young people.

This finding in our data mirrors many other surveys: Morning Consult finds dramatic increases in young Americans stated turnout intentions when asked how they would vote in matchups between Sanders and Trump.

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How Huge Of A Turnout Surge Does Sanders Need To Be As Electable As A Moderate

The case that Bernie Sanders is just as electable as the more moderate candidates thus appears to rest on a leap of faith: that youth voter turnout would surge in the general election by double digits if and only if Bernie Sanders is nominated, compensating for the voters his nomination pushes to Trump among the rest of the electorate.

There are reasons to doubt a Sanders-driven youth turnout surge of this size would materialize. First, people who promise in surveys they will vote often dont, meaning the turnout estimates that Sanderss electability case rests upon are probably extremely inaccurate. Second, such a turnout surge is large in comparison to other effects on turnout. For example, Sanders would need to stimulate a youth turnout boost much larger than the turnout boost Barack Obamas presence on the ballot stimulated among black voters in 2008.

Third, Sanderss electability case requires this 11 percentage point turnout increase among young voters in 2020 to occur on top of any turnout increase that would otherwise occur if another Democrat were nominated.

And this enormous 11 percentage point turnout boost is only enough to make Sanders as electable as the more moderate candidates, given the other votes he loses to Trump. For him to be the most electable Democratic candidate based on his ability to inspire youth turnout, Sanderss nomination would need to increase youth turnout by even more.

Can Joe Biden Beat Donald Trump In 2020

Two of Democratic front-runner Joe Bidens presidential rivals suggested Sunday that he might not have what it takes to defeat Donald Trump in 2020.

What I see is that every time Democrats have won since 1960, theyve won because we had a nominee that excited young people, brought together a new diverse coalition of Americans, and was able to get that victory, presidential hopeful Julian Castro said on CNN.

The winning formula in 2020 is not to play it safe, said Castro, a low-polling candidate who served in the Obama administration and is a former mayor of San Antonio, Texas. Its not to believe that is if we are just little bit different from Republicans we are going to win.

Biden, 76, has positioned himself as the moderate, establishment candidate. He leads the Democratic pack in polls and consistently defeats Trump in head-to-head match-ups. But he has committed a series of gaffes on the campaign trail that have raised questions from rivals about his age and stamina.

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After Strong Finishes In Iowa And New Hampshire Sanders Hopes To Win Texas

By Gromer Jeffers Jr.

9:12 PM on Feb 14, 2020 CST

MESQUITE Bernie Sanders on Friday said he will win Texas on the strength of a multigenerational movement, and then oust President Donald Trump from the White House.

Were going to win the state of Texas,â Sanders told several thousand supporters in Mesquite. Were going to beat Trump. Were going to transform this country.

Sanders said Trump had steered the nation off course and continued to be a flawed president.

We cannot have a president who continues to be a pathological liar, Sanders said.

More than 4,000 people gathered at the Mesquite rodeo arena to hear Sanders, who is riding high after strong finishes in the early contest states of Iowa and New Hampshire.

The Texas presidential primary is March 3, and a win here could cement Sanders as the Democratic Partys front-runner for the nomination against Trump.

Sanders sought to assure voters that his progressive policies were nothing to fear. Rivals have warned that the nomination a self-described Democratic socialist against Trump would lead to certain defeat. He said that was a sign that his campaign is resonating.

The establishment is getting very nervous, Sanders said. He said that his campaign is not just about beating Trump, but taking on the Democratic Party establishment and the greed of powerful corporations what he called the âbillionaire class.

At the rally, Sanders said, this country belongs to all of us, not just the one percent.

Betting Odds For President Donald Trump

Rhode Island’s Dem. governor: Bernie Sanders can’t beat President Trump

Before we weigh each of the Democrats chances of beating Trump, we need to look at the odds for Trump himself and determine if his chances are rising or falling.

Donald Trump

  • Then: +150
  • % Change: +7.62%
  • Trump has been favored to win re-election since the start of the year and his chances of winning have continued to rise in 2019. This is likely due to two factors: 1) Were slowly getting closer to the election and incumbents always have an edge and 2) The public money does not believe he will be impeached, which gives him a clear path to be on the ballot as the Republican nominee when the 2020 election rolls around whereas the Democratic nomination is much more uncertain.

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Pathetically Hillary Clinton Is Smearing Bernie Sanders As Sexist Again

Liza Featherstone

Mainstream Democrats never tire of smearing the socialist senator from Vermont. Hillary Clinton is calling Bernie Sanders a sexist yet again. But his feminist credentials are solid neoliberals like her are the ones failing women.

Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton speaks at a panel discussion during the Vital Voices Global Headquarters for Women’s Leadership on May 5, 2022 in Washington, DC.

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They just never stop, do they?

In a new book, Hillary Clinton accuses Bernie Sanders of being a sexist, reports the New York Post. Of her former rival for the presidency, she hints, with disgraceful innuendo, I know the kinds of things that he says about women and to women.

The neoliberal Democrats never tire of these low-blow attacks on Sanders. Remember when they claimed he was exerting male privilege by pointing his finger too emphatically in a debate? In the book, Clinton revisits an incident from the 2020 campaign, when Elizabeth Warren publicly accused Sanders of having told her privately that a woman couldnt be elected president. When Sanders denied saying that, she huffily made a public incident of it, accusing him of calling her a liar.

At the time, it looked as if Elizabeth Warren was desperately trying to draw attention to her campaign by making Sanders look bad. Reviewing the facts two years later, it still looks that way.


Democrats Are Becoming More Okay With The Idea Of Government

With Sen Elizabeth Warren tiptoeing away from it, Sanders is alone on the debate stage embracing replacing private insurance with government-run health insurance. But in Nevada, entrance polls showed a clear majority of those going to caucus on Saturday supported Medicare-for-all.

Nationally, Democrats seem more okay with it, too. Sanders has made his campaign synonymous with Medicare-for-all. In the Post-ABC poll, 62 percent of Democratic-leaning adults say Sanders is about right on the liberal spectrum, putting him on par with more moderate candidates who oppose it, like Biden and former South Bend, Ind., mayor Pete Buttigieg.

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% Of Democratic Voters Believe Bernie Sanders Would Beat Trump In 2020 Election New Poll Shows

Nearly three-quarters of Democratic voters believe Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont would defeat incumbent President Donald Trump if Sanders were selected to be the party’s presidential nominee, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll released Wednesday.

Pollsters asked respondents who were Democrats or leaned Democratic which candidate they thought would win against Trump if that candidate were to represent the party in November. Seventy-two percent said that they thought Sanders would defeat Trump in a one-on-one match-up, while 24 percent thought Trump would win and 4 percent had no opinion.

Of all the Democratic candidates, Sanders was the one who respondents said they believed had the best chance of defeating the incumbent. Billionaire businessman and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg performed second-best in this question69 percent of respondents said they thought he could beat Trump in the general, while 28 percent said they thought the victory would go to Trump and 3 percent said they did not have an opinion.

Former Vice President Joe Biden, who performed first in most national polls prior to the February 3 Iowa caucuses, was third. Sixty-eight percent of respondents to this question said they expected him to win against Trump if he were selected to represent the party, while 28 percent thought Trump would win and 4 percent had no opinion.

Bernie Sanders Comes Closest To Beating Trump In Texas New Poll Says

A Minnesota district illustrates a Bernie Sanders weakness

President Donald Trump may still be leading the political polls in Texas, but data released Wednesday show Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont is actually the biggest threat to Trump winning the state, although former Vice President Joe Biden is still the current Democratic front runner in Texas.

Polling by the non-partisan organization, the Texas Lyceum, showed that in a trial presidential election ballot, Sanders held 47 percent to Trumpâs 50 percent. When Biden was put up against the president in a hypothetical matchup, Biden scored 46 percent to Trumpâs 51 percent.

Biden did, however, pick up the win for the overall poll as 28 percent of potential Democratic voters in the Texas primary supported Biden. Sanders came in second place with 26 percent while Senator Elizabeth Warren came in a distant third place with 13 percent, a full 13 points behind Sanders.

Newsweek reached out to the Sanders campaign for comment but did not receive a response in time for publication.

Rounding out the top five were billionaire Michael Bloomberg with 9 percent and former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg with 6 percent.

Trump lost the 2016 Texas Republican primary to Texas Senator Ted Cruz by a wide margin. Cruz wound up with almost 44 percent of the vote while Trump came in second with only 26.7 percent. But after Cruzâs popularity spiraled, culminating in a defeat in the Indiana primary, Cruz suspended his campaign.

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Could Bernie Sanders Win This Time Around

In the same poll, 29 percent of Democrats thought Sanders was likely to beat Trump, while only 17 percent thought Biden would a precipitous 12-point drop for Biden from the organizations post-Iowa poll and a six-point increase for Sanders. .

The change in the two men’s prospects is even more pronounced among black voters, who have been some of Bidens strongest supporters their perception of Biden as the most electable candidate fell 10 points to 21 percent, while Sanders rose nine points to 32 percent. That is especially bad for Biden considering that hes centered much of his pitch around being the safest bet against Trump a consideration many Democratic voters, particularly people of color, rank highly in their thinking.

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