Monday, July 8, 2024

Who’s Winning The Democrats Or The Republicans

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More Than Half Of Young Americans Are Going Through An Extended Period Of Feeling Down Depressed Or Hopeless In Recent Weeks; 28% Have Had Thoughts That They Would Be Better Off Dead Or Of Hurting Themself In Some Way

Fifty-one percent of young Americans say that at least several days in the last two weeks they have felt down, depressed, or hopeless–19% say they feel this way more than half of the time. In addition, 68% have little energy, 59% say they have trouble with sleep, 52% find little pleasure in doing things. 49% have a poor appetite or are over-eating, 48% cite trouble concentrating, 32% are moving so slowly, or are fidgety to the point that others notice — and 28% have had thoughts of self-harm

Among those most likely to experience bouts of severe depression triggering thoughts that they would be better off dead or hurting themself are young people of color , whites without a college experience , rural Americans , and young Americans not registered to vote .

In the last two weeks, 53% of college students have said that their mental health has been negatively impacted by school or work-related issues; overall 34% have been negatively impacted by the coronavirus, 29% self-image, 29% personal relationships, 28% social isolation, 25% economic concerns, 22% health concerns–and 21% politics .

A Plurality Believe History Will Judge Trump As A The Worst President Ever; Less Than A Quarter Of Young Americans Want Trump To Play A Key Role In The Future Of Republican Politics; Young Republicans Are Divided

Thirty percent of young Americans believe that history will judge Donald Trump as “the worst president ever.” Overall, 26% give the 45th president positive marks , while 54% give Trump negative marks ; 11% believe he will go down as an average president.

Twenty-two percent of young Americans surveyed agree with the statement, “I want Donald Trump to play a key role in the future of Republican politics,” 58% disagreed, and 19% neither agreed nor disagreed. Among young Republicans, 56% agreed while 22% disagreed, and 21% were neutral. Only 61% of those who voted for Trump in the 2020 general indicated their desire for him to remain active in the GOP.

If they “had to choose,” 42% of young Republicans consider themselves supporters of the Republican party, and not Donald Trump. A quarter indicated they are Trump supporters first, 24% said they support both.

The Democrats Try To Create Victims By Using Ingratitude As An Agenda Towards Their Adversaries Pragerus The Key To Unhappiness Describes This Theory Perfectly Its A Short Five Minute Must Watch

You see the Republicans defending themselves in court all the time, but they aren’t the ones filing the lawsuits.  And just because a lawsuit is filed against you doesn’t mean you’re the guilty one.  The courts are constantly tied up with bogus lawsuits created by people who just want to make someone’s life miserable or try to prove a point they’ve already lost.  People who file the lawsuits like that are people who have more of a negative attitude than positive.  Read our article on Attitude and Politics, it can really help you live a happier life.

I might be guilty of overload of the media which interprets everything incorrectly.  As a Democrat I don’t think I’m unhappy but maybe I should be?

So, get to know your Republican or Democratic neighbor.  Let’s quit hating each other for what our political views are. After all, we all know that Washington D.C. doesn’t represent the general public.  They are far more caught up in their own bubble screaming and yelling at each other through the media .

This all being said I hope I’m wrong about who’s happy or not.  I think the media and the politicians don’t represent the true American thoughts but rather just their own agendas that we are all caught up in.

Stop talking and do something to change this.

“People are just as happy as they make up their minds to be.” ?Abraham Lincoln

A hopeful Conservative Democrat

Young Americans Are Significantly More Likely To Be Politically Engaged Than They Were A Decade Ago; A Sharp Increase In Progressive Political Values Marked Since 2016

Less than one year after Barack Obama’s election, 24% of young Americans considered themselves to be politically active . Twelve years later, we find the share of politically active Americans increased by half — and now 36% are politically active. The most politically active among this cohort are young Blacks . 

Over the last five years, on a host of issues ranging from health care, to climate, immigration, poverty, and affirmative action–young Americans are increasingly more likely to favor government intervention. For example, we found:

  • A 19-point increase in agreement with the statement “Qualified minorities should be given special preferences in hiring and education” .
  • An 18-point increase in agreement with the statement “Government should do more to curb climate change, even at the expense of economic growth” .
  • A 16-point increase since 2016 in agreement with “The government should spend more to reduce poverty” .
  • A 16-point increase in “Basic health insurance is a right for all people, and if someone has no means of paying for it, the government should provide it” .
  • An 8-point increase in agreement with “Recent immigration into this country has done more good than harm .

Democrats Tend To Have A Lot More Anger And Negativity In Their Rhetoric According To Them If You Support President Trump Well Then You Are A Racist And A Nazi

Democrats practicing for the election outcome.

They generally seem to be out to get someone making things more personal.  Why are they so afraid to use the facts to reinforce what they want to do? It’s agenda first then find or make up facts to support the rhetoric.

If they can’t beat you at the polling booth, they try and beat you in court and that’s just a great example of something that’s not a pleasant experience. And not quite working in the long run. They keep getting overturned.

Forty Percent Of Young Americans Expect Their Lives To Be Better As A Result Of The Biden Administration; Many More Feel A Part Of Bidens America Than Trumps

  • Whites: 30% better, 28% worse
  • Blacks: 54% better, 4% worse
  • Hispanics: 51% better, 10% worse

Forty-six percent of young Americans agreed that they “feel included in Biden’s America,” 24% disagreed . With the exception of young people living in rural America, at least a plurality indicated they felt included. This stands in contrast to “Trump’s America.” Forty-eight percent reported that they did not feel included in Trump’s America, while 27% indicated that they felt included . The only major subgroup where a plurality or more felt included in Trump’s America were rural Americans. 

  • 39% of Whites feel included in Biden’s America, 32% do not ; 35% of Whites feel included in Trump’s America, 41% do not .
  • 61% of Blacks feel included in Biden’s America, 13% do not ; 16% of Blacks feel included in Trump’s America, 60% do not .
  • 51% of Hispanics feel included in Biden’s America, 12% do not ; 17% of Hispanics feel included in Trump’s America, 55% do not .

But When You Watch The Republican In The Media Being Attacked The Majority Tend To Handle It With More Grace Then The Majority Of The Democrats

I don’t think it’s because the Republicans have more money because the Democrats tend to be the wealthier group.  The majority of the richest people in the world are Democrats or Liberals.  Yet, they sure don’t look like a happy group of folks .  I think a lot of people who are rich were their happiest when they were working hard coming up through the ranks and earning their money.  I also think sometimes the social issues they get caught up in when they become wealthy can be frustrating causing many people to lose their tolerance over time.

Nearly A Third Of Young Americans Say That Politics Has Gotten In The Way Of A Friendship; Differences Of Opinion On Race

Thirty-one percent of young Americans, but 37% of young Biden voters and 32% of young Trump voters say that politics has gotten in the way of a friendship before. Gender is not a strong predictor of whether or not politics has invaded personal space, but race and ethnicity are. Young whites are more likely than young Blacks to say that politics has gotten in the way–and nearly half of white Biden voters say politics has negatively impacted a friendship; 30% of white Trump voters say the same.

When young Americans were asked whether a difference of opinion on several political issues might impact a friendship, 44% of all young Americans said that they could not be friends with someone who disagreed with them on race relations. Sixty percent of Biden voters agreed with this sentiment, as did a majority of women and Blacks . Americans between 18 and 24 were more likely than those slightly older to feel that race relations would cause a problem with friendships. Differences of opinion on whether or not to support Trump was an issue for slightly more than a third , followed by immigration , police reform , abortion , climate change , and guns .

Despite The State Of Our Politics Hope For America Is Rising And So Is Youths Faith In Their Fellow Americans

In the fall of 2017, only 31% of young Americans said they were hopeful about the future of America; 67% were fearful. Nearly four years later, we find that 56% have hope. While the hopefulness of young whites has increased 11 points, from 35% to 46% — the changes in attitudes among young people of color are striking. Whereas only 18% of young Blacks had hope in 2017, today 72% are hopeful . In 2017, 29% of Hispanics called themselves hopeful, today that number is 69% .

Reality Check #4: The Electoral College And The Senate Are Profoundly Undemocraticand Were Stuck With Them

Because the Constitution set up a state-by-state system for picking presidents, the massive Democratic majorities we now see in California and New York often mislead us about the party’s national electoral prospects. In 2016, Hillary Clinton’s 3-million-vote plurality came entirely from California. In 2020, Biden’s 7-million-vote edge came entirely from California and New York. These are largely what election experts call “wasted” votes—Democratic votes that don’t, ultimately, help the Democrat to win. That imbalance explains why Trump won the Electoral College in 2016 and came within a handful of votes in three states from doing the same last November, despite his decisive popular-vote losses.

The response from aggrieved Democrats? “Abolish the Electoral College!” In practice, they’d need to get two-thirds of the House and Senate, and three-fourths of the state legislatures, to ditch the process that gives Republicans their only plausible chance these days to win the White House. Shortly after the 2016 election, Gallup found that Republican support for abolishing the electoral college had dropped to 19 percent. The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, a state-by-state scheme to effectively abolish the Electoral College without changing the Constitution, hasn’t seen support from a single red or purple state.

New 2020 Voter Data: How Biden Won How Trump Kept The Race Close And What It Tells Us About The Future

As we saw in 2016 and again in 2020, traditional survey research is finding it harder than it once was to assess presidential elections accurately. Pre-election polls systemically misjudge who is likely to vote, and exit polls conducted as voters leave the voting booths get it wrong as well.

Now, using a massive sample of “validated” voters whose participation has been independently verified, the Pew Research Center has . It helps us understand how Joe Biden was able to accomplish what Hillary Clinton did not—and why President Trump came closer to getting reelected than the pre-election surveys had predicted.

How Joe Biden won

Five main factors account for Biden’s success.

  • The Biden campaign reunited the Democratic Party. Compared to 2016, he raised the share of moderate and conservative Democrats who voted for the Democratic nominee by 6 points, from 85 to 91%, while increasing the Democratic share of liberal Democrats from 94 to 98%. And he received the support of 85% of Democrats who had defected to 3rd party and independent candidates in 2016.
  • How Trump kept it close

    Despite non-stop controversy about his policies and personal conduct, President Trump managed to raise his share of the popular vote from 46% in 2016 to 47% in 2020. His core coalition held together, and he made a few new friends.

    Longer-term prospects


    Reality Check 3: The Democrats Legislative Fix Will Never Happenand Doesnt Even Touch The Real Threats

    It’s understandable why Democrats have ascribed a life-or-death quality to S. 1, the “For the People” bill that would impose a wide range of requirements on state voting procedures. The dozens—or hundreds—of provisions enacted by Republican state legislatures and governors represent a determination to ensure that the GOP thumb will be on the scale at every step of the voting process. The proposed law would roll that back on a national level by imposing a raft of requirements on states—no excuse absentee voting, more days and hours to vote—but would also include public financing of campaigns, independent redistricting commissions and compulsory release of presidential candidates’ tax returns.

    There are all sorts of Constitutional questions posed by these ideas. But there’s a more fundamental issue here: The Constitutional clause on which the Democrats are relying—Article I, Section 4, Clause 1—gives Congress significant power over Congressional elections, but none over elections for state offices or the choosing of Presidential electors.

    Initial And Incomplete First Ranked Choice Results In Nyc Mayoral Race To Be Released Tuesday

    Clinton Rebounds in Democratic Race, Gaining Against ...

    June 29, 2021

    The New York City Board of Elections will release preliminary ranked-choice results today for last Tuesday’s Democratic mayoral primary.  In results released that night, no candidate in the 13 person field got a majority of the vote. As a result, ranked-choice is being used for the first time to determine a winner.

    The BOE is expected to release round-by-round results. In ranked choice voting, the lowest polling candidate is eliminated in each round, with votes reallocated based on the ranking preference of each of his or her voters. The process continues until only two candidates remain, by which point one will have a mathematical majority.

    Today’s results will be the based on in-person voting that occurred during the early voting period and on Election Day. That is, it is the ranked-choice outcome of the results released last Tuesday.  

    Absentee ballots excluded

    Today’s results will not include any absentee ballots cast in the election. By law, the counting of those did not begin until yesterday. Today is also the deadline for the BOE to receive absentee ballots. Those had to be postmarked by June 22.  

    The absentee ballot numbers are significant. There were approximately 800,000 early and same-day votes counted on election night. As of June 28, approximately 124,500 Democratic absentee ballots had been returned.  Not all will be valid, but assuming the vast majority are, these will end up comprising 12-13% or so of the total ballots cast.

    One more complication


    Black Voters And Faith Leaders Rejoice At Warnocks Historic Win: I Think It Speaks Volumes

    ATLANTA — Michael Simmons, 63, has not missed voting in a major election since 1976. The most important for him was 2008, when he cast a ballot for President Barack Obama. But his votes in November’s general election and the Senate runoffs on Tuesday were ranked closely behind.

    The Rev. Raphael Warnock’s success in the Senate runoffs sent a jolt of jubilation through much of Georgia’s African-American community, as they saw a Black man taking an office that had been held by segregationists when he was born. There was also a level of pride in having an emissary of the Black church serve in the highest levels of government.

    “I never would have thunk — put that down, thunk! — I’d see this happen,” said Mr. Simmons, a manager at a nonprofit organization in downtown Atlanta. “Personally, I don’t expect the world to change because we have a Black man in the Senate, but we can see progress.”

    The office of the nonprofit where Mr. Simmons works is just a few blocks from Ebenezer Baptist Church, the renowned congregation that Mr. Warnock leads. Mr. Simmons often saw Mr. Warnock walking around the neighborhood.

    The win carried enormous significance for him: “This was a place where for many years we got the short end of the stick,” Mr. Simmons, who grew up in Alabama and moved to Atlanta after college, said.

    Peach States Two Runoff Elections On Tuesday Will Determine Which Party Controls Us Senate

    Democratic challengers Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock are facing off in runoff elections against Georgia’s two Republican incumbent senators, David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler.

    As Georgians vote Tuesday in two U.S. Senate runoff elections that will determine the balance of power in Washington, betting markets and polls are signaling some confidence in the Democratic Party’s prospects.

    Betting market PredictIt gives Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff a 53% chance of defeating incumbent Republican Sen. David Perdue as of Tuesday afternoon, while in the other Georgia contest, Democratic candidate Rev. Raphael Warnock has a 62% chance of ousting GOP Sen. Kelly Loeffler. PredictIt’s odds had favored Republicans last week. Other sites that enable wagers on politics, such as Smarkets, also give the edge to the Democratic challengers as of Monday.

    Republicans already control 50 seats following November’s elections and can remain the majority party in the 100-seat Senate by winning just one of the two Georgia races. They then would provide a check on policies backed by Democratic President-elect Joe Biden and the Democratic-run House of Representatives.

    Polls show Ossoff leading Perdue by 0.5 percentage point, and Warnock is ahead of Loeffler by 0.5 percentage point, according to RealClearPolitics moving averages of surveys for the two races. To be sure, pollsters are coming off a rough November in which they missed badly on some races.

    But That Shouldnt Stop Democrats From Embracing Big And Sweeping Changes While They Can

    It’s time for Democrats to stop cowering in the face of Republican threats.

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    I am not worried about what Mitch McConnell will do should Republicans take back the Senate in 2022. I am not worried about what Republicans will do should they retake all of government in 2024. I am not worried, because I already know the answer: When Republicans have power again, they will do “the worst.” I don’t waste a lot of time or mental energy contemplating the worst, because history has shown that I am simply not creative enough to imagine what evil Republicans will come up with next. No matter where I think the bottom is, Republicans will always find a new one.

    Unfortunately, many centrist and moderate Democrats seem paralyzed by the fear of what Republicans will do if they take back the Senate or the White House. They’re afraid to pass sweeping policy or procedural reforms because of how they think Republicans will punish Democratic politicians in the future. It’s hard to even have a debate about big, structural changes to how government functions because too many arguments devolve to “If Democrats do anything, Republicans will be super mean.”

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    Will Democrats Or Republicans Win Congress In 2020 Here’s What The Polls Have To Say

    U.S.Congress2020 ElectionDemocratic PartyRepublican Party

    Democrats and Republicans currently split control of Congress, but one party could win it all in this November’s elections.

    Polls show that Democrats have the upper hand in the race for the legislative branch. According to FiveThirtyEight forecasters, Democrats have an 8-point lead over the GOP for control of Congress.

    The FiveThirtyEight projection is based on surveys that ask voters which party they would support in an election. As of Friday, 48.6 percent of voters said they’d back Democratic congressional candidates, while 40.8 percent said they’d support Republican candidates.

    A recent poll from Morning Consult showed a similar picture. Forty-six percent of registered voters surveyed said they’d support a Democratic candidate for Congress, while 38 percent said they’d back a Republican candidate. The survey, conducted in early April, polled 1,990 voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

    The two parties currently split control of Congress, after Democrats took back the House of Representatives during the 2018 midterm elections. The GOP has maintained its majority in the Senate since 2014.

    But one party could sweep the balloting in November. The chamber to watch is the Senate, as Democrats need to flip only three or four seats to gain a majority. Republicans also have to defend far more territory this election cycle, as 23 of the 36 Senate seats in play are held by conservatives.

    Democrats Republicans Will Decide Tuesday: Whos Our Best Shot At Beating Mayor Walsh

    From left to right: Khalid Bey and Michael Greene, Democrats; Thomas Babilon and Janet Burman, Republicans.Dennis Nett | [email protected]

    Chris Baker | [email protected]

    Syracuse, N.Y. — Ben Walsh broke a 100-year tradition of Democrats and Republicans controlling city hall when he won the mayor’s race in 2017.

    Now, as those parties’ voters head to the polls to decide who will run against him in November, they’ll be looking for a candidate who can solve a political challenge:

    Can anyone defeat Walsh?

    Historically, incumbents are difficult to oust from top positions in Central New York. Walsh heads into November with a big fund-raising advantage, the power of the mayor’s office and perhaps the most recognizable name in local politics.

    But the Democratic Party has a massive voter enrollment advantage in the city — more than half of registered voters are Democrats. And a viable Republican candidate could play spoiler if he or she can peel away enough of the voters who supported Walsh four years ago. Who knows, a Republican could even win.

    Democrats Tuesday will choose between two Common Councilors who have both previously won election citywide: Khalid Bey and Michael Greene, who is backed by the Onondaga County Democratic Committee.

    Republican have a choice between Thomas Babilon, an attorney, and Janet Burman, an economist who was picked to run by the Onondaga County Republican Committee.

    So will those Republicans who voted for Walsh four years ago stick with him again?

    Senate: Sinema To Challenge Flake In Arizona; Blackburn Likely To Run In Tennessee

    September 29, 2017

    Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema announced she will run for U.S. Senate in 2018. This gives the party a high-profile candidate in their efforts to unseat incumbent Republican Jeff Flake. While Arizona hasn’t had a Democratic Senator in over 20 years, next year’s race is expected to be highly competitive. The Democratic nominee may even be favored if Flake loses a primary to former State Senator Kelli Ward. A recent poll by GBA Strategies showed him losing to Ward by a 58-31% margin.  

    Flake’s national visibility was raised earlier this summer with the publication of his book “”, which harshly critiqued President Trump and his own party. Needless to say, this hasn’t helped his standing with Arizona Republicans. The GBA Strategies poll gave Flake just a 25% approval rating among Republican primary voters in the state.

    In her first run at U.S. Senate, Ward lost the Republican primary to Sen. John McCain in 2016. 

    Sinema becomes the 26th House member to pass on running for reelection to the House in 2018. The next such announcement is likely to come from Tennessee, where Republican Marsha Blackburn is likely to run for the seat being vacated by Sen. Bob Corker. 

    The Arizona Senate race is currently considered a toss-up, while Tennessee is very likely to remain in Republican hands.

    Tennessee Rep Blackburn Announces Bid For Senate; Gov Bill Haslam Declines To Run

    October 5, 2017

    Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn announced her bid for U.S. Senate, becoming the front-runner to replace retiring Sen. Bob Corker in Tennessee. The move came just after termed-out incumbent Gov. Bill Haslam passed on a run for the office.  

    Blackburn is in her 8th term. She represents a safe Republican district in west-central Tennessee, winning reelection by nearly 49 points this past November. She will start out as a large favorite in the 2018 Senate race. The Volunteer State last elected a Democratic Senator in 1990 .

    Blackburn becomes the 28th House member to pass on reelection in 2018. Included in that are now three of Tennessee’s nine Representatives.

    October 4, 2017

    10/5 UPDATE: Murphy has resigned from Congress effective October 21st.

    Republican Tim Murphy, in his 8th term representing southwestern Pennsylvania in the U.S. House, will not seek reelection in 2018. The pro-life congressman ran into trouble earlier this week when text messages surfaced of him urging a woman with whom he was having an affair to seek an abortion

    Murphy met with Republican leadership who apparently told him that he either had to resign or announce his retirement at the end of the current term.

    Murphy is the 27th Member to announce they are not seeking reelection in 2018. There are 18 Republicans and 9 Democrats. Rep. Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee is expected to join this list in the days ahead. She is expected to run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Bob Corker.

    Making The Call: Why Media Outlets Are Showing Different Electoral Vote Totals

    2014 Midterm Election: Democrats Have An ‘Ad

    November 7, 2020

    Depending on where you look, Joe Biden is projected to have won 253 or 264 or 273 electoral votes. Why the discrepancy? There are several independent organizations making race calls. Each has a ‘decision desk’, where experts analyze incoming election results, and mathematically model what’s yet to be counted. When they are highly certain that the final numbers for a race will favor one candidate, they will make a call. For example, NBC and ABC use a 99.5% level of certainty before making a projection.

    As each of these decision desks works independently, and are sequestered from outside influences, races will be called at different times, although absent the rare situation where a call has to be retracted, they will all eventually get to the same place.

    Here’s how things stand as of Saturday morning, courtesy of this excellent interactive from The New York Times.  In the graphic below, we are showing the states/districts that remain uncalled by one or more outlets.

    Here’s a bit more on some of the players involved here.

    Decision Desk

    National Election Pool

    Associated Press


    Who Is Richer Democrats Or Republicans The Answer Probably Wont Surprise You

    Which of the two political parties has more money, Democrats or Republicans? Most would rush to say Republicans due to the party’s ideas towards tax and money. In fact, polls have shown about 60 percent of the American people believe Republicans favor the rich. But how true is that?  can help you write about the issue but read our post first.

    Former Virginia Governor Mcauliffe Wins Democratic Primary In Governors Race

    Gabriella Borter

    Former Virginia governor Terry McAuliffe speaks at the North America’s Building Trades Unions 2019 legislative conference in Washington, U.S., April 10, 2019. REUTERS/Yuri Gripas

    June 8 – Former Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe easily won the Democratic nomination on Tuesday for the state’s gubernatorial election, securing his spot in a race that could signal where voters stand after the divisive 2020 presidential contest.

    McAuliffe, a 64-year-old moderate who served as governor from 2014 to 2018, was leading four other candidates, with more than 60 percent of the vote with 2,063 precincts of 2,584 reporting. Major news organizations projected him the winner shortly after polls closed at 7 p.m.

    He will face off against the Republican nominee, former private equity executive Glenn Youngkin, 54, in the general election on Nov. 2.

    If McAuliffe wins that contest, he would become Virginia’s second two-term governor since the U.S. Civil War. The state’s constitution prohibits governors from serving consecutive terms.

    “Thank you Virginia!!!” he tweeted on Tuesday night.

    A longtime Democratic fundraiser with close ties to former President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, McAuliffe benefited from his political experience and popularity in the state party.

    On the campaign trail, he touted his achievements as governor, which included expanding voting rights for ex-felons and overseeing a drop in unemployment and a rise in personal income.

    Tim Kaine: End Superdelegates In Democratic Presidential Nominating Process

    November 15, 2017

    Politico reports that “Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine is urging the Democratic National Committee to end its tradition of using superdelegates, which activists say diminish the influence of regular voters at the expense of party bigwigs in the presidential nominating process.”

    Superdelegates are party insiders that can cast their vote for whomever they wish, regardless of the will of the voters in their state. In 2016, Hillary Clinton – with Kaine as her running mate – received the support of almost all of these superdelegates, pushing her across the 2,383 total delegates needed to win the Democratic nomination. 

    While Clinton likely would have ultimately prevailed over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in a nominating process without superdelegates, their existence gave the impression that the party favored the Clinton ticket, depriving Sanders supporters of a fair fight. This, in turn, likely dampened enthusiasm among some of them to turn out for Clinton on Election Day. To that end, it is not unreasonable to hypothesize that the existence of superdelegates in the Democratic nominating process is one of the reasons Donald Trump won the election.


    California Legislature Approves Earlier 2020 Primary; Awaits Gov Signature

    September 16, 2017

    Seeking a more active role for the state in choosing the next Democratic presidential nominee, The California Legislature has approved a bill to move the presidential primary from June 2nd to March 3rd in 2020. The bill has been sent to Gov. Jerry Brown for his signature. 

    The state controlled over 11% of Democratic delegates in 2016, but Hillary Clinton was already the presumptive nominee by the time the state voted that year. If the move becomes law and assuming the same roster of Super Tuesday states – and delegate distribution – in 2020, approximately 1/3 of all delegates will be awarded that day, up from about 20% in 2016. 

    This is not the first time California has moved up its primary.  According to Politico: “In 2008, the state tried to change that by holding a February primary. But more than 20 other states also moved up their contests in response, and while California drew a competitive race, the outcome was not decisive — Hillary Clinton won the primary here but lost the nomination.” If something similar happens in 2020, it could mean a much shorter primary season than 2016, despite the likelihood of a much larger Democratic field.


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