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Trump Gives Out Lindsey Grahams Phone Number

What’s Behind President Donald Trump’s Latest Poll Numbers? | Morning Joe | MSNBC

Back in 2015, Trump read aloud Grahams supposed phone number at a South Carolina rally, after Graham called him a jackass for questioning Sen. John McCains war hero status.

Graham later recorded a video with IJReview showing him destroying a cell phone, all set to classical music.

But all thats in the past. Graham reported Tuesday that he heard positive things from Trump about rebuilding the military during their lunch meeting.

I had a great lunch meeting with President Trump today. He is strongly committed to rebuilding our military which is music to my ears, he said. President Trump is in deal-making mode and I hope Congress is like-minded.


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Early Life And Business Career

Trump was the fourth of five children of Frederick Christ Trump, a successful real estate developer, and Mary MacLeod. Donalds eldest sister, Maryanne Trump Barry, eventually served as a U.S. district court judge and later as a judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit until her retirement in 2011. His elder brother, Frederick, Jr. , worked briefly for his fathers business before becoming an airline pilot in the 1960s. Freddys alcoholism led to his early death in 1981, at the age of 43.

Donald Trump attended New York Military Academy , a private boarding school Fordham University in the Bronx and the University of Pennsylvanias Wharton School of Finance and Commerce , where he graduated with a bachelors degree in economics. In 1968, during the Vietnam War, he secured a diagnosis of bone spurs, which qualified him for a medical exemption from the military draft . Upon his graduation Trump began working full-time for his fathers business, helping to manage its holdings of rental housing, then estimated at between 10,000 and 22,000 units. In 1974 he became president of a conglomeration of Trump-owned corporations and partnerships, which he later named the Trump Organization.

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Trump Poll Tests His 2024 Comeback Map

The former president is targeting five swing states that are pivotal to his hopes of winning back the White House.


Former President Donald Trump speaks at a September rally in Georgia, one of the five states that flipped to President Joe Biden in 2020. | Sean Rayford/Getty Images

11/23/2021 04:30 AM EST

As Donald Trump builds out a presidential-campaign-in-waiting, his team is focusing on an electoral strategy that relies on recapturing the five states that flipped to Joe Biden in 2020.

The five states Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin delivered a total of 73 electoral votes in 2020, enough to produce a decisive Electoral College victory for Biden. Since then, Trump has held four rallies, endorsed dozens of candidates and played a key role in shaping contests that could put his allies in top offices in those states in 2024.

Trumps shadow campaign also recently polled Trump-Biden matchups in the five states, all of which were decided in 2020 by fewer than 3 percentage points. According to the poll, a memo of which was obtained by POLITICO, the former president led Biden in Arizona by 8 percentage points, Georgia by 3 points, Michigan by 12 points, Pennsylvania by 6 points and Wisconsin by 10 points.


The poll numbers send a message to those who think Trumps grip on the Republican Party is loosening, said Tony Fabrizio, a top GOP pollster who conducted the surveys for Trumps super PAC, Make America Great Again, Again!

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Trump Support Remains Unmoved By Investigations Poll Finds

Even during peak crises during his presidency, views of him were static. Post-presidency polls have continued the trend.

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The American publics views of former President Donald J. Trump have remained remarkably stable across a number of different measures in recent months, even as he faces multiple investigations and as he remains a central figure in the midterm elections, according to the most recent New York Times/Siena College poll.

Voters held nearly identical views from those earlier in the summer on whether they had a favorable view of Mr. Trump, whether they thought he had committed serious federal crimes, and whom they would support in a hypothetical 2024 Trump-Biden matchup.


Overall, 44 percent of voters viewed Mr. Trump favorably, and 53 percent viewed him unfavorably . The recent poll was fielded early this month, after news of the Justice Departments inquiry into Mr. Trumps handling of confidential documents but before the New York attorney general announced she was suing Mr. Trump and his family business.

The Aftermath Of The 2022 Midterm Elections

8 Poll Numbers That Show Donald Trump Is For Real

A moment of reflection.In the aftermath of the midterms, Democrats and Republicans face key questions about the future of their parties. With the House and Senate now decided, heres where things stand:

Bidens tough choice.President Biden, who had the best midterms of any president in 20 years as Democrats maintained a narrow hold on the Senate, feels buoyant after the results. But as he nears his 80th birthday, he confronts a decision on whether to run again.

Is Trumps grip loosening?Ignoring Republicans concerns that he was to blame for the partys weak midterms showing, Donald J. Trump announced his third bid for the presidency. But some of his staunchest allies are already inching away from him.

G.O.P leaders face dissent.After a poor midterms performance, Representative Kevin McCarthy and Senator Mitch McConnell faced threats to their power from an emboldened right flank. Will the divisions in the partys ranks make the G.O.P.-controlled House an unmanageable mess?


A new era for House Democrats.Speaker Nancy Pelosi, the first woman to serve in the post and the face of House Democrats for two decades, will not pursue a leadership post in the next Congress. A trio of new leaders is poised to take over their caucuss top ranks.

Divided government.What does a Republican-controlled House and a Democratic-run Senate mean for the next two years? Most likely a return to the gridlock and brinkmanship that have defined a divided federal government in recent years.

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Biden Beats Trump Marginally Trails Desantis In New Gop Poll

Though hes not as well-known to voters overall, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is emerging as a bigger potential threat to President Joe Biden than former President Donald Trump, according to a new nationwide poll conducted for the conservative Club for Growth.

The poll shows Trump losing to Biden 41-48% an 8-percentage point disadvantage for the Republican thats outside the polls 3-point error margin. But in a head-to-head matchup against DeSantis, Biden gets 42% of the theoretical vote compared to 45% for the Florida governor, which is essentially a statistical tie, the online survey of 1,035 voters from WPA Intelligence shows.


The poll follows a Suffolk University survey last month that also showed DeSantis marginally beating Biden.

To test peoples knowledge of the candidates, WPA Intelligence used a relatively novel approach in its survey by showing voters a picture of each of the three politicians and then asking respondents to either type the name of the man from memory or click an option acknowledging they didnt know who they were. Both Biden and Trump were known to 98% of the electorate each but only 64% knew who DeSantis was.

Yet despite that name ID deficit, the 44-year-old DeSantis still out-performed the 80-year-old Biden and the 76-year-old Trump.

The club used to be allied with Trump but began to break with him during the 2022 primaries.

Trumps Favorability Rating Drops To New Low: Poll

Former President Trumps favorability rating has dropped to a new low after slowly trickling down over the past few months.


A new NBC News poll released Sunday found that 34 percent of registered voters said they have a positive view of Trump, while 54 percent say they have a negative view of him. Trumps favorability rating was at its lowest in April 2021, when his rating fell to 32 percent in the same NBC poll.

The former presidents favorability score is down slightly since last month, with the same 54 percent saying they have a negative view of Trump, but 36 percent saying they had a positive view of him.

While Trumps favorability score has trickled down, President Bidens score has gone up, though only slightly. This month, 45 percent said they approve of the president a 2-point increase since last month.

Contrarily, 52 percent of voters say they disapprove of Biden, which has gone down 3 percentage points since last month.

Pollsters also questioned voters about their views on the different investigations against Trump, specifically asking whether the various investigations should stop or continue. The poll found that 56 percent of voters believe the investigations should continue, while 41 percent say they should stop.


The NBC News poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters between Sept. 9-13, and has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

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Polling Average Put Biden’s Approval Rating Higher Than 39%

Experts say approval ratings should be calculated by looking at an average between polls not a single poll. On the day the claim was made, the polling average for Biden’s approval rating was 45.2%.

“The best practice to look at multiple polls and not to fixate on an individual poll, which can be cherry-picked to make inaccurate arguments,” Barry Burden, director of the Elections Research Center and professor of political science at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said in an email.

The website FiveThirtyEight rates how different polls vary in terms of accuracy and statistical bias. It calculates approval ratings for presidents based on a weighted average that takes into account poll quality and uncertainty.


According to that polling average, Biden’s approval rate was 45.2% on the day the claim was posted.

The Facebook post appeared to refer to an Economist/YouGov poll conducted Sept. 4-7. It reported 39% of American adults approved of Biden. YouGov noted this was the first time the majority of Americans disapproved of Biden during his presidency.

However, Burden told USA TODAY this poll was “unusually low.”

Fact check:Claim that Biden is withholding benefits from unvaccinated veterans originated as satire

“In the last month YouGov has also reported approval ratings of 44% and 50%,” he said. “Taken as a group it is more accurate to say that Biden’s rating is hovering in the mid-40s.”

Trump Maintains Popularity Among Republicans

Analysis: Donald Trump’s poll numbers are making things very awkward for Republicans

The poll also shows that former President Trump, who announced his campaign in November, is still incredibly popular among Republican voters. Despite prevailing narratives about the party abandoning the former president after a disappointing showing in the 2022 midterms, he maintains large support among the GOP.

All of our polling indicates that President Trump remains a singularly popular figure amongst those who identify with the Republican party, Nteta said. Without a pandemic, the likelihood of President Trump being re-elected was relatively high He garnered a historic number of votes, so this is a candidate that has a clear set of supporters and under the broader label of the Republican party, is a formidable opponent.

DESANTIS:

A head-to-head primary will likely boil down to electability, Nteta said. Republican voters will need to decide which candidate could come out on top in a hotly contested 2024 general election against a strong Democratic opponent.

A recent GOP poll, meanwhile, indicates that in a matchup against President Biden, DeSantis poses more of a threat than Trump. In a head-to-head, Biden defeats Trump 49%-41%, outside the polls 3% margin of error, while DeSantis outperforms the Democratic president 45%-42%.

A poll from Suffolk University shows similar results, with DeSantis narrowly defeating the current president.

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Approval Ratings By State

Approval ratings vary greatly by state and can indicate how a state will vote in the upcoming 2020 Presidential Election. Since his inauguration in January 2017, President Trumps net approval has decreased in every state. President Trumps approval rating is decreasing in important states that he won in his 2016 election, including swing states and states that are consistently Republican in every election. The three key states Trump had in his 2016 election are Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, all of which currently have approval ratings under 50%.

Below are each states approval ratings for President Trump as of February 2020. Data is from a poll by the Morning Consult.

  • Net approval since Trump took office has decreased by 22 percentage points

A Worrisome Poll Number For Donald Trump

A version of this story appeared in The Point newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free here.

Donald Trump is running for president. But according to a new Quinnipiac University national poll, a whole lot of people wish he wasnt.

Nearly 6 in 10 Americans said it is a bad thing that Trump is running again, while just 34% said it is a good thing.

Trumps numbers among Democrats on that question are, not surprisingly, awful, with 88% saying it is a bad thing that he launched a 2024 White House campaign.

But thats not what should worry Trump. Its his numbers among independents and even among Republicans that should be of concern to the former president.

The simple fact made plain by Quinnipiacs poll is that there is a sizable chunk of the public and not just Democrats who believe that another Trump presidential bid is a bad idea for the country.

And thats far from the only negative takeaway from Trump in the poll. There are several data points suggesting that Republicans are not only open to a White House run from Ron DeSantis, but that the Florida governor poses a real threat to Trump.

Six in 10 Republicans said they would like to see DeSantis run for president, while roughly one-quarter said they didnt.

When asked who they prefer win the 2024 GOP nomination, 44% of Republicans picked DeSantis the same percentage who chose Trump.

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Gop Candidates Fare Poorly With Independent Women

Over the course of the 2022 midterms, Suffolk University polling found that independent women, angered by the overturn of Roe v. Wade, prevented a red wave by breaking with independent men who had overwhelmingly supported Republican candidates. In this poll, Republicans continued to fare poorly with independent women. In a hypothetical 2024 Biden-Trump matchup, independent women preferred Biden to Trump by 51%-28% they also preferred Biden to DeSantis, 47%-42%.

New Poll Shows Slight Thaw For Biden Approval Resilient Support For Trump

8 Poll Numbers That Show Donald Trump Is For Real

Once Republicans reclaim House control in January, the U.S. will again be under a divided government, and according to the latest PBS NewsHour/NPR/Marist poll, a majority of Americans have no confidence that lawmakers will be willing to work together to solve the nations complex problems. Thats despite the fact that most of the American public support them working toward compromise instead of partisan gridlock.

Here are some of the new polls top takeaways.

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How Do We Know That Issue Polling Even By The Different Or More Lenient Standards We Might Apply To Them Is Accurate

The reality is that we dont know for sure how accurate issue polling is. But good pollsters take many steps to improve the accuracy of their polls. Good survey samples are usually weighted to accurately reflect the demographic composition of the U.S. public. The samples are adjusted to match parameters measured in high-quality, high response rate government surveys that can be used as benchmarks. Many opinions on issues are associated with demographic variables such as race, education, gender and age, just as they are with partisanship. At Pew Research Center, we also adjust our surveys to match the population on several other characteristics, including region, religious affiliation, frequency of internet usage, and participation in volunteer activities. And although the analysis presented here explicitly manipulated party affiliation among nonvoters as part of the experiment, our regular approach to weighting also includes a target for party affiliation that helps minimize the possibility that sample-to-sample fluctuations in who participates could introduce errors. Collectively, the methods used to align survey samples with the demographic, social and political profile of the public help ensure that opinions correlated with those characteristics are more accurate.

What 2020s Election Poll Errors Tell Us About The Accuracy Of Issue Polling

Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how errors in correctly representing the level of support for Joe Biden and Donald Trump in preelection polling could affect the accuracy of questions in those same polls that measure public opinion on issues. Specifically, if polls about issues are underrepresenting the Republican base the way that many 2020 preelection polls appeared to, how inaccurate would they be on measures of public opinion about issues? We investigated by taking a set of surveys that measured a wide range of issue attitudes and using a statistical procedure known as weighting to have them mirror two different scenarios. One scenario mirrored the true election outcome among voters . For this analysis, we used several surveys conducted in 2020 with more than 10,000 members of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel , an online survey panel that is recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses that ensures that nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. Questions in these surveys measured opinions on issues such as health care, the proper scope of government, immigration, race, and the nations response to the coronavirus pandemic. These opinions were examined to see how they differed between the two scenarios.

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